Title: How to trade with the trend
1How to Trade with Trends
2Introduction
- If we divide the word Trade Following we easily
understand what Trend Following is. Trends mean
when price moves up and down and moves in a
unique direction over a while. On the other hand
following means to follow. In this way trend
Following means simply to follow the movement of
the price curve.
3- There is no fixed Trend following technique
rather there are some sates of guidelines that
help to understand the Trend. If two traders
follow the same Trend Following strategy in the
same market still might have distinct entries and
exits but both of them can bring profit in both
Bull markets and Bear markets.
4Principal, you need to follow
- There are few principals we need to follow while
trading the trend such as you can buy high and
sell low. Just follow the price to understand the
trends. You can risk a fraction of your equity.
You should not have any obdurate profit targets.
5 It is better to trade in all markets. If you are
not a professional trend follower still you might
use this principle and find a positive result in
your trading. If the price looks overbought it
is better to stay out because it could reverse at
any point. The Above picture first shows the
overbought price but over time, price becomes
more overbought by another 1200 Pips. In this
picture, the price looks oversold so it is best
to stay out as it could reverse anytime.
6- From this, we can understand that which is high
can go higher and on the other hand, which is low
can go further lower. Trend follower can make a
profit between these high and low situations. - How you like to Trade with Trends As an
Investor or Trader? - What would you call yourself, Investor or
traders? Most of the time people want to be
investor not traders but if you look at the
market most of the people who made fortune from
this business are traders, not investors.
7- Most of the investors put their money in the
business assuming that over the time it will
grow. As the value of the investment increases
the person increases his investment but if the
market goes up it yields profits but when it goes
down the investor incur a loss. If they are in
the bull market they make a profit but if they
are in the bearish market they lose the money.
8- Without knowledge of analysis, investor fears the
bear market because they do not know how to
survive in the bear market. Traders have definite
plans for winning money. They do not care about
the investment they just follow the trends and
try to optimize their money. -
- Trend Followers Simply Follow the Price Trend
When we try to forecast the market after a
certain time, it starts to dominate
9- our judgments. As a result, this leads to serious
trading flaws. Like we try to take loss because
we want to be precisely right, we try to average
our losses because we have a tendency to minimize
our loss, when we incur a loss we have a tendency
to take revenge on the market because we want to
make good to our loss but rather doing all these
things the best way is to follow the price. -
- If we look at the above picture we can see
resistance is continuously breaking with a series
of higher laws so, in the long run, it shows an
uptrend.
10- The above picture is just the opposite of the
uptrends. If we look at the above picture support
is contentiously broken with a series of lower
highs and it shows downtrend in the long run. - How do we know it is time to take away while we
are following the trends? - When you find that the price is maintaining a
higher-low, where the resistance level is
gradually breaking, it suggests an uptrend. In
this situation you should look for long. When you
see that the price is maintaining a lower-low
where the support is gradually breaking then it
provides the indication of downtrend. In this
situation you should look for short.
11Do not try to probe how low or how high the
market can go because it doesnt even matter what
you or I think. It follows its own trends. Which
also means traders psychology affects the
movement of market. So in one sentence
Trend following means make research on uptrend
and downtrend and try to understand the patterns
of price. Do not try to predict how high or low
the market can go, if the price is high look for
long if the price is low go for short. Whenever
you feel the market will reverse just take a note
on paper. After 30-40 attempts try to see how
accurate your guess was and you would surprise at
the result.
12The opportunity for trend followers?
The professional trend follower can trade in all
the markets. There are usually other sectors
where trend followers can trade while they are
working in the forex market. If the forex
business is dull there are a variety of other
markets in which we can trade like insides,
agriculture, bonds, etc. That is the reason why
trend followers always make profits. You alone
cannot trade all the market so it is low volatile
and safe. Now in the ordinary way when we look
at the directions of the trend or most of our
traders like to trade from predetermined levels
of supports and resistances. However
unfortunately sometimes there is not just the
opportunity to do that.
13Conclusion
- If you wait for those levels to take the shot you
would have already missed the moves. People talk
about supports and resistances but they dont
look at the psychology behind it. -
- People do not try to understand how these types
of trade work. So If you kind of understand how
it works and if you have the sense of it, you
will have confidence and your trade will improve. - Sometimes if we use different indicators at a
time and try to project the moves than it becomes
a little bit complex than it is because
sometimes less can be more.
14THANKS!