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Title: asa


1
Key Findings
https//www.iea.org/reports/africa-energy-outlook-
2022/key-findings
2
Africa Energy Outlook 2022- KEY FINDINGS
  • Africa in an evolving global context. Todays
    global energy crisis has underscored the urgency,
    as well as the benefits, of an accelerated
    scale-up of cheaper and cleaner sources of
    energy.
  • Russias invasion of Ukraine has sent food,
    energy and other commodity prices soaring,
    increasing the strains on African economies
    already hard hit by the Covid-19 pandemic.
  • The overlapping crises are affecting many parts
    of Africas energy systems, including reversing
    positive trends in improving access to modern
    energy, with 4 more people living without
    electricity in 2021 than in 2019. They are also
    deepening financial difficulties of utilities,
    increasing risks of blackouts and rationing.
  • These problems are contributing to a sharp
    increase in extreme poverty in sub-Saharan
    Africa, with the number of people affected by
    food crises quadrupling in some areas.

https//www.iea.org/reports/africa-energy-outlook-
2022/key-findings
3
Africa Energy Outlook 2022- KEY FINDINGS
  • Africa is already facing more severe climate
    change than most other parts of the world,
    despite bearing the least responsibility for the
    problem.
  • With nearly one-fifth of the worlds population
    today, Africa accounts for less than 3 of the
    worlds energy-related carbon dioxide (CO2)
    emissions to date and has the lowest emissions
    per capita of any region.
  • Africans are already disproportionately
    experiencing the negative effects of climate
    change, including water stress, reduced food
    production, increased frequency of extreme
    weather events and lower economic growth all of
    which are fuelling mass migration and regional
    instability.
  • -----------
  • Africa Population 1,43 billion (Feb. 2023)
    (17.8 of the world population)
  • World Population 8,02 billion (Feb. 2023)
    (Source Worldometer)

https//www.iea.org/reports/africa-energy-outlook-
2022/key-findings
4
Africa Energy Outlook 2022- KEY FINDINGS
  • For all of these difficulties, the global clean
    energy transition holds new promise for Africas
    economic and social development.
  • As of May 2022, countries representing more than
    70 of global CO2 emissions have committed to
    reach net zero emissions by around mid-century.
  • This includes 12 African countries that represent
    over 40 of the continents total CO2 emissions.
  • These ambitions are helping set a new course for
    the global energy sector amid declining clean
    technology costs and shifting global investment.
  • African countries nearly all of which are party
    to the Paris Agreement on Climate Change are
    poised to capture the technology spillovers of
    these changes and attract increasing flows of
    climate finance.

https//www.iea.org/reports/africa-energy-outlook-
2022/key-findings
5
Africa Energy Outlook 2022- KEY FINDINGS
  • This (African Energy Outlook 2022 Outlook
    explores a Sustainable Africa Scenario (SAS) in
    which Africa rides these shifting tides to
    achieve all African energy-related development
    goals on time and in full.
  • This includes universal access to modern energy
    services by 2030 and the full implementation of
    all African climate pledges.
  • Realising all of these goals is a formidable
    undertaking.
  • African countries need to take the lead with
    clear strategies and policies, while
    international institutions must reinforce their
    commitment to significantly increase their levels
    of support.

https//www.iea.org/reports/africa-energy-outlook-
2022/key-findings
6
Africa Energy Outlook 2022- KEY FINDINGS
  • Energy Access Affordable energy for all Africans
    is the immediate and absolute priority. Universal
    access to affordable electricity, achieved by
    2030 in the SAS, requires bringing connections to
    90 million people a year, triple the rate of
    recent years.
  • At present, 600 million people, or 43 of the
    total population, lack access to electricity,
    most of them in sub-Saharan Africa.
  • Countries such as Ghana, Kenya and Rwanda are on
    track for full access by 2030, offering success
    stories other countries can follow.
  • Our (IEA) detailed analysis shows that extending
    national grids is the least costly and most
    prudent option for almost 45 of those gaining
    access to 2030.
  • In rural areas, where over 80 of the
    electricity-deprived live, mini-grids and
    stand-alone systems, mostly solar based, are the
    most viable solutions.

https//www.iea.org/reports/africa-energy-outlook-
2022/key-findings
7
Share of people gaining ACCESS TO ELECTRICITY by
technology in Africa in the Sustainable Africa
Scenario, 2022-2030
Share of people gaining ACCESS TO CLEAN COOKING
by technology in Africa in the Sustainable Africa
Scenario, 2022-2030
Ethanol 6
Biogas 10
Stand alone 27
Improved cookstoves 41
Electricity 10
Grid 42
Mini grid 31
LPG 33
8
Additional information
  • Stand-alone power system (SAPS or SPS), also
    known as remote area power supply (RAPS), is an
    off-the-grid electricity system for locations
    that are not fitted with an electricity
    distribution system. Typical SAPS include one or
    more methods of electricity generation, energy
    storage, and regulation.
  • In remote locations, stand-alone systems can be
    more cost-effective than extending a power line
    to the electricity grid (the cost of which can
    range from 15,000 to 50,000 per mile). But
    these systems are also used by people who live
    near the grid and wish to obtain independence
    from the power provider or demonstrate a
    commitment to non-polluting energy sources.
  • Successful stand-alone systems generally take
    advantage of a combination of techniques and
    technologies to generate reliable power, reduce
    costs, and minimize inconvenience.

https//www.energy.gov/energysaver/grid-or-stand-a
lone-renewable-energy-systems
9
Additional information
  • Stand-alone power system (SAPS or SPS)
    (continues)
  • Some of these strategies include using fossil
    fuel or renewable hybrid systems and reducing the
    amount of electricity required to meet your
    needs.
  • In addition to purchasing photovoltaic panels, a
    wind turbine, or a small hydropower system, you
    will need to invest in some additional equipment
    (called "balance-of-system") to condition and
    safely transmit the electricity to the load that
    will use it.
  • This equipment can include
  • Batteries
  • Charge controller
  • Power conditioning equipment
  • Safety equipment
  • Meters and instrumentation.

https//www.energy.gov/energysaver/grid-or-stand-a
lone-renewable-energy-systems
10
Additional information
  • Mini Grid also sometimes referred to as a "micro
    grid or isolated grid", can be defined as a set
    of electricity generators and possibly energy
    storage systems interconnected to a distribution
    network that supplies electricity to a localized
    group of customers. "They involve small-scale
    electricity generation (10 kW to 10MW) which
    serves a limited number of consumers via a
    distribution grid that can operate in isolation
    from national electricity transmission networks.
  • Mini-grids have a unique feature as they can
    operate autonomously without being connected to a
    centralized grid. However, the mini-grid may be
    designed to interconnect with the central grid
    which means it operates under normal conditions
    as part of the central grid with disconnection
    occurring only if power quality needs to be
    maintained. For instance in the case of a central
    grid failure. Alternatively, a mini-grid may be
    designed to operate autonomously in a remote
    location with the option to connect to a central
    grid when grid extension occurs.

Mini-grid policy toolkit http//www.minigridpolic
ytoolkit.euei-pdf.org/policy-toolkit
11
Additional information
  • Sizing -There is no one single definition about
    the size of the mini-grids. Some organizations
    define mini-grids in terms of the generation
    capacity i.e. between 10 kW to 10 MW. Others
    define it in terms of customers reached i.e.
    mini-grids reaching 20-100 customers are called
    micro mini-grids and mini-grids reaching over 500
    customers are called full mini-grids. A general
    consensus is that mini-grids should supply more
    than a few kW of electricity to multiple
    consumers such as community, hospitals or
    schools.
  • Technologies - Mini-grids can be powered with
    different technologies such as solar, hydro,
    biomass or wind and are also coupled with energy
    storage systems such as batteries. The most
    common types of mini-grid technologies are
  • Solar mini-grids
  • Wind mini-grids
  • Hydro mini-grids (MHP) has the lowest levelized
    cost of generation and is at par with grid
    electricity. Unlike large hydropower, they do not
    require a dam/reservoir for water storage. They
    are mostly run-of-river and therefore have very
    little environmental impacts.
  • Hybrid mini-grids - Mini-grids with renewables
    sources when coupled with non-renewable sources
    such as diesel systems or with other renewable
    sources are called hybrid mini-grids. These
    mini-grids are flexible as they can generate
    power on demand. Examples of hybrid systems are
    solar-diesel mini-grids and solar biomass
    mini-grids.

Mini-grid policy toolkit http//www.minigridpolic
ytoolkit.euei-pdf.org/policy-toolkit
12
Africa Energy Outlook 2022- KEY FINDINGS
  • Achieving universal access to clean cooking fuels
    and technologies by 2030 requires shifting 130
    million people away from dirty cooking fuels each
    year.
  • Today, 970 million Africans lack access to clean
    cooking.
  • Liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) is the leading
    solution in urban areas, but recent price spikes
    are making it unaffordable for 30 million people
    across Africa, pushing many to revert to
    traditional use of biomass. Countries are
    re-evaluating clean fuel subsidy schemes and
    exploring alternatives such as improved biomass
    cook stoves, electric cooking and biodigesters.
    The improvement rates needed for universal clean
    cooking access by 2030 are unprecedented, but the
    benefits are huge reducing premature deaths by
    over 500 000 a year by 2030, drastically cutting
    time spent gathering fuel and cooking, and
    allowing millions of women to pursue education,
    employment and civic involvement.

https//www.iea.org/reports/africa-energy-outlook-
2022/key-findings
13
Africa Energy Outlook 2022- KEY FINDINGS
  • The goal of universal access to modern energy
    calls for investment of USD 25 billion per year.
  • This is around 1 of global energy investment
    today, and similar to the cost of building just
    one large liquefied natural gas (LNG) terminal.
  • Stimulating more investment requires
    international support aided by stronger national
    institutions on the ground laying out clear
    access strategies only around 25 African
    countries have them today.

https//www.iea.org/reports/africa-energy-outlook-
2022/key-findings
14
What is LPG?
  • LPG (Liquified Petroleum Gas) is a portable,
    clean and efficient energy source which is
    readily available to consumers around the world.
    LPG is primarily obtained from natural gas and
    oil production but is also produced increasingly
    from renewable sources.
  • Its unique properties make it a versatile energy
    source which can be used in more than 1,000
    different applications.
  • In its liquid form, LPG looks like water. Yet,
    because of its unique properties, one litre of
    liquid LPG, expands to 270 litres of gaseous
    energy allowing a lot of energy to be transported
    in a compact container.
  • The Story of LPG (8 min.)
  • https//www.youtube.com/watch?voRbrfzPluTEt3s
  • Global Renewable LPG Pathways to 2050 (2 min)
  • https//www.youtube.com/watch?vdd2sv_Uapcs

https//www.wlpga.org/about-lpg/what-is-lpg/
15
What is LNG?
  • LNG (Liquified Natural Gas) is natural gas that
    has been cooled to 260 F (162 C), changing
    it from a gas into a liquid that is 1/600th of
    its original volume. This dramatic reduction
    allows it to be shipped safely and efficiently
    aboard specially designed LNG vessels.
  • Specialized ships link worldwide LNG production
    and regasification facilities to create a safe,
    reliable and efficient network to transport
    liquefied natural gas around the world. LNG ships
    are equipped with sophisticated leak detection
    technology, emergency shutdown systems, advanced
    radar and positioning systems, and numerous other
    technologies designed to ensure the safe and
    secure transport of LNG.

https//www.chevron.com/operations/liquefied-natur
al-gas-lng
16
What is LNG?
  • LNG is returned to a gaseous state at LNG import
    and regasification terminals around the world.
  • Once it has been warmed to become natural gas, it
    is dispersed through pipelines for use by homes
    and businesses. It can be used in a variety of
    ways Residential uses for natural gas include
    cooking, heating homes and generating
    electricity, while commercial uses for natural
    gas include heating, generating electricity,
    manufacturing products like fertilizers, paints
    and medicines, and occasionally fueling
    commercial vehicles.
  • Regasification refers to the conversion of LNG
    back to natural gas. After arriving at its
    destination, LNG is warmed to return to its
    gaseous state and delivered to natural gas
    customers through local pipelines.
  • Liquified Natural Gas From Treatment To
    Transport ExxonMobil (413 min.)
  • https//www.youtube.com/watch?vrjlRTFyennU

https//www.chevron.com/operations/liquefied-natur
al-gas-lng
17
What is LNG? (CONOCO Chevron videos)
  • LNG 101 Pt. 1 Right for the Times (527 min)
  • https//www.youtube.com/watch?vjcnxweX9jsQ
  • LNG 101 Pt. 2 Liquefaction (344 min)
  • https//www.youtube.com/watch?vk5Ah32zX2JE
  • LNG 101 Pt. 3 Comparative Technologies (437
    min)
  • https//www.youtube.com/watch?vdOI9F3e8vjI
  • LNG 101 Pt. 4 Compressor Drivers (419 min.)
  • https//www.youtube.com/watch?v2h0nI24yUEo
  • LNG 101 Pt. 5 Heat Exchangers (337 min.)
  • https//www.youtube.com/watch?vKTkOjIH5B18
  • Safe and Reliable Delivery of Liquified Natural
    Gas (LNG) (241 min)
  • https//www.youtube.com/watch?vNYNoFGzzHLo

18
Africa Energy Outlook 2022- KEY FINDINGS
  • Energy demand and efficiency As Africas demand
    for modern energy grows, efficiency keeps it
    affordable
  • Demand for energy services in Africa is set to
    grow rapidly maintaining affordability remains
    an urgent priority.
  • Africa has the worlds lowest levels of per
    capita use of modern energy. As its population
    and incomes grow, demand for modern energy
    expands by a third between 2020 and 2030 in the
    SAS. However, under existing subsidy schemes,
    current price spikes risk doubling energy subsidy
    burdens in African countries in 2022 an
    untenable outcome for many facing debt distress.
  • Some countries, including Egypt, Ethiopia and
    Uganda, are being driven to halt or reduce
    subsidies, or to reinstate fuel taxes due to
    growing financial burdens. International support
    must play a role in the near term to manage
    prices, but better targeting of subsidies to the
    households most in need is essential.

https//www.iea.org/reports/africa-energy-outlook-
2022/key-findings
19
Africa Energy Outlook 2022- KEY FINDINGS
  • Efficiency helps temper demand growth, reduces
    fuel imports, strain on existing infrastructure
    and keeps consumer bills affordable.
  • Energy and material efficiency reduces
    electricity demand by 230 terawatt-hours in 2030
    30 of electricity demand today.
  • Building codes and energy performance standards,
    which restrict the sale of the least efficient
    appliances and lighting, make up 60 of these
    savings.
  • Energy demand for fans and air conditioning still
    quadruples over the decade as urbanisation and
    climate change rapidly increase the need for
    cooling in Africa, calling for a strong focus on
    efficient cooling solutions.
  • (Note Material efficiencyusing less of a
    material to make a product or supply a serviceis
    gaining attention as a means for accomplishing
    important environmental goals. The ultimate goal
    of material efficiency is not to use less
    physical material but to reduce the impacts
    associated with its use.
  • Material efficiency strategies include, for
    example, products that last longer,
    remanufacturing and modular manufacturing, reuse
    and recycling of product components, using less
    material in product designs, or redesigning
    manufacturing processes to use less energy, less
    water or less raw materials.)

https//www.iea.org/reports/africa-energy-outlook-
2022/key-findings
20
Africa Energy Outlook 2022- KEY FINDINGS
  • As Africas industry, commerce and agriculture
    expand, so too does the need for productive uses
    of energy.
  • In the SAS, energy demand in industry, freight
    and agriculture grows by almost 40 by 2030.
  • Increased production of fertiliser, steel and
    cement as well as manufacturing of appliances,
    vehicles and clean energy technologies helps to
    reduce the burden of imports in Africa, which
    stands at over 20 of GDP today.
  • Some parts of industry expand their use of the
    latest, most efficient technologies. In
    agriculture, which represents one-fifth of
    Africas GDP, irrigation pumps are electrified,
    reducing diesel generator use, and cold-chains
    (temperature-controlled supply chains) are
    extended, boosting agricultural productivity and
    the scope for these products to reach urban
    markets.

https//www.iea.org/reports/africa-energy-outlook-
2022/key-findings
21
Africa Energy Outlook 2022- KEY FINDINGS
  • Fuel supply Electricity will underpin Africas
    economic future, with solar leading the way.
  • Electricity is the backbone of Africas new
    energy systems, powered increasingly by
    renewables. Africa is home to 60 of the best
    solar resources globally, yet only 1 of
    installed solar PV capacity.
  • Solar PV already the cheapest source of power
    in many parts of Africa outcompetes all sources
    continent-wide by 2030. Renewables, including
    solar, wind, hydropower and geothermal account
    for over 80 of new power generation capacity to
    2030 in the SAS. Once coal-fired power plants
    currently under construction are completed,
    Africa builds no new ones, underpinned mainly by
    Chinas announcement to end support for coal
    plants abroad. If the investment initially
    intended for these discontinued coal plants were
    redirected to solar PV, it could cover half of
    the cost of all Africas solar PV capacity
    additions to 2025 in the SAS.

https//www.iea.org/reports/africa-energy-outlook-
2022/key-findings
22
Power generation capacity additions in Africa in
the Sustainable Africa Scenario, 2011-2030
Levelised cost of electricity by technology in
Africa in the Sustainable Africa Scenario,
2020-2030
GW
USD per MWh
Gas CCGT
Renewables 242 GW
Renewables 25 GW
Fossil fuels 83 GW
Fossil fuels 46 GW
CCGT Combined Cycle Gas Turbine (The design uses
a gas turbine to create electricity and then
captures the resulting waste heat to create
steam, which in turn drives a steam turbine
significantly increasing the system's power
output without any increase in fuel. GW Gigawatt
1 billion watts 1000 Megawatts
23
Africa Energy Outlook 2022- KEY FINDINGS
  • Flexibility is key to integrating more variable
    renewables, with grid interconnections,
    hydropower and natural gas plants playing notable
    roles.
  • Regional power pools contribute to improving
    reliability of supply a major problem in
    Africa.
  • Expanding and modernising Africas electricity
    infrastructure requires a radical improvement in
    the financial health of public utilities, which
    have been battered by recent economic crises and
    longstanding under-pricing of electricity.
  • Regulatory reforms are a priority, particularly
    cost-of-service electricity pricing reforms,
    which are in place or under discussion in 24
    African countries to date.

https//www.iea.org/reports/africa-energy-outlook-
2022/key-findings
24
Africa Energy Outlook 2022- KEY FINDINGS
  • Gas and oil production focuses on meeting
    Africas own demand this decade.
  • Africas industrialisation relies in part on
    expanding natural gas use. Natural gas demand in
    Africa increases in the SAS, but it maintains the
    same share of modern energy use as today, with
    electricity generation from renewables
    outcompeting it in most cases.
  • More than 5 000 billion cubic metres (bcm) of
    natural gas resources have been discovered to
    date in Africa which have not yet been approved
    for development. These resources could provide an
    additional 90 bcm of gas a year by 2030, which
    may well be vital for the fertiliser, steel and
    cement industries and water desalination.
    Cumulative CO2 emissions from the use of these
    gas resources over the next 30 years would be
    around 10 gigatonnes. If these emissions were
    added to Africas cumulative total today, they
    would bring its share of global emissions to a
    mere 3.5.

https//www.iea.org/reports/africa-energy-outlook-
2022/key-findings
25
Modern energy demand in Africa by selected fuel
in the Sustainable Africa Scenario, 2020 and 2030
Cumulative energy-related CO2 emissions and CO2
emissions from using gas from Africas
discovered, not yet approved fields
Share in TPED ()
Gt CO2
Africa (1890-2020) 41Gt
EJ
Natural Gas
Renewables
Rest of world (1890-2020) 1 500 Gt
8 EJ
7 EJ
6 EJ
5 EJ
EJ Exajoule
26
Africa Energy Outlook 2022- KEY FINDINGS
  • Production of oil and gas remains important to
    African economic and social development, but the
    focus shifts to meeting domestic demand.
  • Global efforts to accelerate the clean energy
    transition in the SAS risks dwindling export
    revenues for Africas oil and gas.
  • Between now and 2030, Africas domestic demand
    for both oil and gas accounts for around
    two-thirds of the continents production.
  • This puts greater emphasis on developing
    well-functioning infrastructure within Africa,
    such as storage and distribution infrastructure,
    to meet domestic demand for transport fuels and
    LPG.
  • In parallel, African countries focus on
    strengthening energy efficiency policies, and
    expanding renewables and other clean energy
    technologies.

https//www.iea.org/reports/africa-energy-outlook-
2022/key-findings
27
Africa Energy Outlook 2022- KEY FINDINGS
  • Near-term market opportunities must not distract
    from declining oil and gas export revenues in the
    future.
  • New projects benefit from speed to market,
    minimising project costs and delays, and reducing
    methane emissions.
  • Current price surges are providing a short-term
    boon to African producers, with new deals signed
    to deliver Algerian gas to Europe, along with
    renewed momentum to develop and expand LNG
    terminals in Congo, Mauritania and Senegal. With
    the European Union aiming to halt Russian gas
    imports towards 2030, Africa in principle could
    supply an extra 30 bcm in 2030. Reducing flaring
    and venting could quickly make at least 10 bcm of
    African gas available for export without the
    development of new supply and transport
    infrastructure. New long lead time gas projects
    risk failing to recover their upfront costs if
    the world is successful in bringing down gas
    demand in line with reaching net zero emissions
    by mid-century.

https//www.iea.org/reports/africa-energy-outlook-
2022/key-findings
28
Africa Energy Outlook 2022- KEY FINDINGS
  • Critical minerals Critical minerals present a
    major economic opportunity.
  • Africas vast resources of minerals that are
    critical for multiple clean energy technologies
    are set to create new export markets, but need to
    be managed well.
  • Africa accounts for over 40 of global reserves
    of cobalt, manganese and platinum key minerals
    for batteries and hydrogen technologies. South
    Africa, Democratic Republic of the Congo and
    Mozambique have a significant share of global
    production today, but many other countries may
    hold undiscovered deposits.
  • In the SAS, Africas revenues from critical
    mineral production more than double by 2030.
    However, investment in mineral exploration in
    Africa has been declining in recent years.
    Reversing this trend hinges on improved
    geological surveys, robust governance, improved
    transport infrastructure and a particularly
    strong focus on minimising the environmental and
    social impacts of mining operations.

https//www.iea.org/reports/africa-energy-outlook-
2022/key-findings
29
Africa Energy Outlook 2022- KEY FINDINGS
  • Critical minerals Critical minerals present a
    major economic opportunity.
  • Africas vast resources of minerals that are
    critical for multiple clean energy technologies
    are set to create new export markets, but need to
    be managed well.
  • Africa accounts for over 40 of global reserves
    of cobalt, manganese and platinum key minerals
    for batteries and hydrogen technologies. South
    Africa, Democratic Republic of the Congo and
    Mozambique have a significant share of global
    production today, but many other countries may
    hold undiscovered deposits.
  • In the SAS, Africas revenues from critical
    mineral production more than double by 2030.
    However, investment in mineral exploration in
    Africa has been declining in recent years.
    Reversing this trend hinges on improved
    geological surveys, robust governance, improved
    transport infrastructure and a particularly
    strong focus on minimising the environmental and
    social impacts of mining operations.

https//www.iea.org/reports/africa-energy-outlook-
2022/key-findings
30
Revenues from copper and battery metals in
Sub-Saharan Africa in the Sustainable Africa
Scenario, 2020-2030
Lithium, 0.5 billion
Graphite, 0.2 billion
Nickel, 1.5 billion
Manganese, 5.7 billion
Cobalt, 14.9 billion
Billion US Dollars
Graphite, 0.1 billion
Nickel, 1.5 billion
Manganese, 3.1 billion
Cobalt, 3.1 billion
Copper 24.6 billion
Copper 13.7 billion
2020
2030
https//www.iea.org/reports/africa-energy-outlook-
2022/key-findings
31
Africa Energy Outlook 2022- KEY FINDINGS
  • Hydrogen - Africa can become a leading player in
    hydrogen made from renewables
  • Africa has huge potential to produce hydrogen
    using its rich renewable resources.
  • A number of low-carbon hydrogen projects are
    underway or under discussion in Egypt,
    Mauritania, Morocco, Namibia and South Africa.
  • These are focused primarily on using
    renewables-based power to produce ammonia for
    fertiliser, which would strengthen Africas food
    security.
  • Global declines in the cost of hydrogen
    production could allow Africa to deliver
    renewables-produced hydrogen to Northern Europe
    at internationally competitive price points by
    2030.
  • With further cost declines, Africa has the
    potential to produce 5 000 megatonnes of hydrogen
    per year at less than USD 2 per
    kilogrammeequivalent to global total energy
    supply today.

https//www.iea.org/reports/africa-energy-outlook-
2022/key-findings
32
https//www.iea.org/reports/africa-energy-outlook-
2022/key-findings
33
US Dollars/kg
H2 production potential, Million tons)
https//www.iea.org/reports/africa-energy-outlook-
2022/key-findings
34
Africa Energy Outlook 2022- KEY FINDINGS
  • People-centred transition - People must be at the
    centre of Africas new energy economy
  • Home-grown energy industries can reduce imports,
    create jobs and build the local capital base.
  • In the SAS, around 4 million additional
    energy-related jobs are needed across the
    continent by 2030, largely to reach universal
    energy access in sub-Saharan Africa.
  • Many of the jobs offer entry into the formal
    economy and increase entrepreneurial
    opportunities for women.
  • African energy companies play an increasing part,
    with joint ventures and technology transfer
    helping develop local know-how.
  • Implementing an African Continental Free Trade
    Area also helps broaden domestic markets for
    African energy firms.

https//www.iea.org/reports/africa-energy-outlook-
2022/key-findings
35
Africa Energy Outlook 2022- KEY FINDINGS
  • Investment Climate change calls for investment
    in adaptation
  • Africa will remain a minor contributor to global
    emissions, yet it needs to do far more to adapt
    to climate risks than the rest of the world.
  • By 2050, Africa accounts for no more than 4 of
    cumulative global energy-related CO2 emissions,
    regardless of the scenario.
  • With todays policies, the global average
    temperature rise is likely to hit 2 C around
    2050, but this would probably result in a median
    temperature rise of 2.7 C in North Africa.
  • That would reduce African GDP by around 8 in
    2050 relative to a baseline without any climate
    impacts.
  • Losses in some regions such as East Africa would
    reach around 15.

https//www.iea.org/reports/africa-energy-outlook-
2022/key-findings
36
Africa Energy Outlook 2022- KEY FINDINGS
  • Investment (continues)
  • Urgent action to adapt to climate change would
    reduce the severity of these economic effects but
    require much more investment.
  • Funding for climate adaptation could reach USD
    30-50 billion per year by 2030 a huge increase
    on the USD 7.8 billion that was provided by
    advanced economies for adaptation projects in
    2019.
  • Some of this will be needed to make Africas
    energy systems more resilient against climate
    risks three-fifths of Africas thermal power
    plants are at high or very high risk of being
    disrupted by water stress and one-sixth of
    Africas LNG capacity is vulnerable to coastal
    flooding.

Water stress occurs when the demand for water
exceeds the available amount during a certain
period or when poor quality restricts its use.
Water stress causes deterioration of fresh water
resources in terms of quantity (aquifer
over-exploitation, dry rivers, etc.)
https//www.iea.org/reports/africa-energy-outlook-
2022/key-findings
37
Africa Energy Outlook 2022- KEY FINDINGS
  • Unlocking more finance remains key to Africas
    energy future
  • Multilateral development banks must make
    increasing financial flows to Africa an absolute
    priority.
  • To mobilise the amount of investment envisioned
    in the SAS, they will need to increase
    concessional finance to Africa and use it more
    strategically to better leverage private capital.
  • This includes domestic financial markets, which
    need to more than double in size by the
    second-half of this decade.
  • New capital sources, such as climate finance and
    carbon credits, can bring more international
    financial flows to bear.
  • However, cross-cutting investment risks such as
    high debt burdens remain a challenge.

https//www.iea.org/reports/africa-energy-outlook-
2022/key-findings
38
Billion US Dollars
Average annual energy investment in the
Sustainable Africa Scenario, 2016-2030.
192 billion
99 billion
2016 - 2020
2026 - 2030
https//www.iea.org/reports/africa-energy-outlook-
2022/key-findings
39
Africa Energy Outlook 2022- KEY FINDINGS
  • Unlocking more finance remains key to Africas
    energy future
  • Achieving Africas energy and climate goals means
    more than doubling energy investment this decade.
  • This would take it over USD 190 billion each year
    from 2026 to 2030, with two-thirds going to clean
    energy.
  • The share of energy investment in Africas GDP
    rises to 6.1 in the 2026-30 period, slightly
    above the average for emerging market and
    developing economies.
  • But Africas energy investment in that period is
    still only around 5 of the global total in the
    IEAs Net Zero Emissions by 2050 Scenario.

https//www.iea.org/reports/africa-energy-outlook-
2022/key-findings
40
Africa Energy Outlook 2022- KEY FINDINGS
  • Unlocking more finance remains key to Africas
    energy future
  • Africas energy future requires stronger efforts
    on the ground that are backed by global support.
  • The COP27 Climate Change Conference in Egypt in
    late 2022 provides a crucial platform for African
    leaders to work globally to identify ways to
    drive these changes.
  • This decade is critical, not only for global
    climate action, but also for the foundational
    investments that will allow Africa home to the
    worlds youngest population to flourish in the
    decades to come.

https//www.iea.org/reports/africa-energy-outlook-
2022/key-findings
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