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Doom The Politics of Catastrophe
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Description
quotAlldisasters are in some sense
man-made.quotSeting the annus horribilis of 2020
in historical perspective, Niall Ferguson
explains why we are getting worse, not better,
at handling disasters.Disasters are inherently
hard to predict. Pandemics, like
earthquakes, wildfires, financial crises. and
wars, are not normally distributed there is no
cycle of history to help us anticipate the next
catastrophe. But when disaster strikes, we ought
to be better prepared than the Romans were when
Vesuvius erupted, or medieval Italians when
the Black Death struck. We have science on our
side, after all. Yet in 2020 the responses
of many developed countries, including the United
States, to a new virus from China were badly
bungled. Why? Why did only a few Asian countries
learn the right lessons from SARS and MERS? While
populist leaders certainly performed poorly in
the face of the COVID-19 pandemic, Niall Ferguson
argues that more profound pathologies were at
work--pathologies already visible in our
responses to earlier disasters.In books going
back nearly twenty years, including Colossus, The
Great Degeneration, and The Square and the Tower,
Ferguson has studied the foibles of modern
America, from imperial hubris to bureaucratic
sclerosis and online fragmentation.Drawing from
multiple disciplines, including economics,
cliodynamics, and network science, Doom offers
not just a history but a general theory of
disasters, showing why our ever more bureaucratic
and complex systems are getting worse at
handling them.Doom is the lesson of history that
this country--indeed the West as a
whole--urgently needs to learn, if we want to
handle the next crisis better, and to avoid the
ultimate doom of irreversible decline.