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Comments on The Economic System in Late Dynastic Chosun: Characteristics of the WideArea Economic In

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Why would anyone borrow grain when there were good harvests? ... Are year to year variation in grain prices lower in Choson Korea than elsewhere? ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Comments on The Economic System in Late Dynastic Chosun: Characteristics of the WideArea Economic In


1
Comments on The Economic System in Late
Dynastic Chosun Characteristics of the Wide-Area
Economic Integration (Park Ti Taek and Rhee
Young Hoon)
  • Cameron Campbell (UCLA)

2
Key points
  • Overlapping economies
  • Customary economy
  • Peasants distribution
  • Periodic markets
  • Command economy
  • Public finance distribution
  • Redistribution
  • Market economy
  • Long-distance
  • Merchants
  • Conclusion Command economy primary

3
Evidence against a merchant economy
  • Low urbanization limited opportunities for
    merchants
  • Economy was not monetized
  • Silver was not widely used except for trade with
    China
  • Coins were difficult to transport over long
    distances
  • Taxation was predominantly in kind, not in cash
  • Collection of coins for tax kept peasants happy
    by giving them an option when they were short of
    rice or cotton
  • High rates of state grain storage

4
Grain storage
  • Lots of it!
  • Per capita storage 5 times as much in Chosun as
    in China
  • Per capita carryover twice as much
  • Why?
  • Good harvests
  • Loaning
  • Moral economy

5
Periodic markets
  • How was the prevalence of periodic markets
    associated with characteristics of the
    prefecture?
  • Stored grain
  • Households
  • Military men
  • Taxable land
  • Correlations between these in Table 3 are
    extremely strong

6
Periodic markets
  • Holding number of households constant, more
    frequent in wealthier areas
  • Military men per household, kyuls per household
    (Table 4)
  • Other aggregate characteristics appear
    unimportant
  • Ship ownership, paddies, cotton cloth paying
  • Regression (Table 5) confirms population and
    taxable land are primary determinants of
    frequency of markets

7
Grain storage
  • Regional characteristics
  • Numbers of military men
  • Regional characteristics
  • Very different pattern of effects from that
    observed for periodic markets

8
Specifics
  • Monetization
  • Were coins really restricted to local trade?
  • Coins moved over long distances in China
  • Land transportation may have been prohibitive,
    but what about coastal shipping?
  • What about settlement devices used by merchants
    elsewhere to avoid transportation costs?
  • Letters of credit, networks of kin, etc.
  • Claims about monetization, or lack of it, rely
    heavily on deduction
  • Perhaps empirical basis is well-known to Korea
    specialists, but not obvious to non-specialists

9
Grain storage
  • Was all of the grain referred to in the analysis
    part of the redistributive system?
  • China had distinct civilian and military
    procurement systems
  • Correlation between military men raises the
    possibility that analyzed data refers to all
    grain, not just civilian grain
  • Does the papers description of grain storage
    refer primarily to the 18th century?
  • Kim paper indicates that the system deteriorated
    in the 19th century

10
Grain storage
  • Is it possible figures exaggerate amount
    available by neglecting storage?
  • To what extent was loaning a way of unloading
    stale or otherwise bad grain on the populace, and
    replacing it with fresh grain?
  • Why would anyone borrow grain when there were
    good harvests?
  • Is it possible to put the 10 rate in context?

11
Grain storage
  • How did it work?
  • How were decisions about purchases or releases
    made?
  • China had a reporting system for local food
    prices
  • Were purchases compulsory or voluntary?
  • How important were interregional movements?
  • The text focuses on intertemporal movements, i.e.
    storage
  • The appendix refers to interregional movements

12
Grain storage
  • Assessing its effectiveness
  • Larger capacity should have helped dampen annual
    price fluctuations
  • How do year to year fluctuations in prices
    compare with those in China and elsewhere?
  • Tests
  • Are year to year variation in grain prices lower
    in Choson Korea than elsewhere?
  • Is annual variation in taxable lands (used as a
    measure of harvest) only weakly correlated with
    prices?
  • Is annual variation in taxable lands only weakly
    correlated with demographic rates?
  • If interregional movements were important, prices
    should have been correlated across large areas.

13
Grain storage
  • Characterization of Chinese system on p. 10 and
    11 perhaps needs amendment
  • A price reporting system allowed the bureaucracy
    to identify emerging problems in small areas and
    act accordingly.
  • The transportation system was developed enough
    that interprovincial movements of grain could be
    carried out
  • See Will, Wong, and Lees Nourish the People
  • Entire chapter on Shandong province

14
General
  • Context
  • How does this fit into existing debates and
    controversies in Korean economic history?
  • How does the assessment differ from the
    previously prevalent views?
  • To what extent are the sources and methods here
    novel?

15
General
  • The political economy of Chosun Korean appears to
    resemble early and middle imperial China than
    late imperial China.
  • More explicitly Confucian
  • The Qing Chinese state was also heavily involved
    in redistribution, but its approach coexisted
    with and took advantage of private markets
  • See Will, Wong and Lee Nourish the People

16
General
  • Data
  • A great deal of economic data appear to be
    available.
  • Cross-sectional economic data on regions, at
    least at specific points in time
  • Price series
  • Real wage series
  • Population estimates
  • Taxable land time series
  • Is it possible to make use of more of these data
    to address the issues in this paper?
  • What other data are available?
  • Why didnt the grain storage system, or the
    bureaucracy, generate more time series data, as
    it did in China?

17
General
  • Population
  • What are the prospects for linking these economic
    data to demographic data from Korean household
    registers?
  • Measurement of implications of economic
    organization for population outcomes?
  • If the goal of the moral economy was to ensure
    stability and wellbeing, success or failure may
    be apparent in demographic outcomes but not
    classic economic measures of living standards.

18
General
  • What are the prospects for replicating in Korea
    analyses from Life Under Pressure?
  • Price and household register data
  • Associations between grain prices and demographic
    outcomes
  • Death rates in Asia (Liaoning and Fukushima) were
    less sensitive to prices than in Europe (Sart,
    Scania, northern Italy)
  • We attributed this difference to differing
    orientations of East Asian and European states
  • Our analysis of Liaoning made use of household
    registers similar in format and content to
    historical Korean registers

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