Title: Strategic Market Manangement 7th Edition
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2Chapter Fifteen
Strategies in Declining and Hostile Markets
3Anyone can hold the helm when the sea is
calm. - Publilius Syrus
4Where there is no wind, row. - Portuguese
proverb
5There is nothing so useless as doing effectively
that which should not be done at all. - Peter
Drucker
6Routes to Revitalizing a Stagnant Market
New Markets
New Products
Revitalized Markets
Super Premium Arena
New Applications
Revitalized Marketing
Governmental-Stimulated Growth
Exploitation of Growth Submarkets
Figure 15.1
7Milk or Harvest
- Conditions Favoring a Milking Strategy
- Implementation Problems
- When the Premises are Wrong
- Forecasting and Managing the Flow of Funds from
Milking - The Hold Strategy
8Strategies for Declining or Stagnant Industries
Business Position in Key Segments
- Industry Environment
- Rate of Decline
- Pockets of Demand
- Price Pressure
Figure 15.2
9The Investment Decision in a Declining Industry
- Some Strategic Uncertainties
- Market Prospects
- 1. Is the rate of decline orderly and
predictable? - 2. Are there pockets of enduring demand?
- 3. What are the reasons for the decline is it
temporary? - Competitive Intensity
- 4. Are there dominant competitors with unique
skills or competencies? - 5. Are there many competitors unwilling to exit
or contract gracefully? - 6. Are customers brand loyal? Is there product
differentiation? - 7. Are there price pressures?
Figure 15.3
10The Investment Decision in a Declining Industry
- Some Strategic Uncertainties
- Performance/Strengths
- 8. Is the business profitable? What are its
future prospects? - 9. What is the market-share position and trend?
- 10. Does the business have some SCAs with
respect to key segments? - 11. Can the business manage costs in the face of
declining sales? - Interrelationships with Other Businesses
- 12. Is there synergy with other businesses?
- 13. Is the business compatible with the firms
current strategic thrust? - 14. Can the firm support the cash needs of the
business? - Implementation barriers
- 15. What are the exit barriers?
- 16. Can the organization manage all the
investment options?
Figure 15.3
11Six Phases of Hostility
- Phase 1 - Margin pressure
- Phase 2 - Share shifts
- Phase 3 - Product proliferation
- Phase 4 - Self-defeating cost reduction
- Phase 5 - Consolidation and shakeout
- Phase 6 - Rescue
Figure 15.4
12Strategies That Win in Hostile Markets
- Focus on large customers
- Differentiate on reliability
- Cover broad spectrum of price points
- Turn price into a commodity
- Have an effective cost structure
13Key Learnings
- One strategic option in a declining or stagnant
industry is to create a growth context,
revitalizing the industry by seeking new markets,
technologies, applications-marketing tactics,
government-stimulated demand, and growth
submarkets. - Another option is to be the profitable survivor
by strengthening a leadership position and
encouraging others to exist, perhaps by buying
their assets. - A milking or harvesting strategy (generating cash
flow by reducing investment and operation
expenses) works when the involved business is not
crucial to the firm financially or
synergistically. For milking to be feasible,
though, sales must decline in an orderly way. - The exit decision can be optimal, even though it
is psychologically and professionally painful and
usually must face organizational barriers. A
proactive divestiture policy will be better than
waiting until the situation deteriorates to the
point that the decision is obvious.
14Key Learnings
- The investment decision in declining markets
should rely on an analysis of market prospects,
competitive intensity, business strengths,
interrelationships with other businesses in the
firm, and implementation barriers. - Hostile markets, caused by too many competitors
as well as declining demand, typically go through
phases margin pressures, share shifts, product
proliferation, self-defeating cost reductions,
consolidation, and rescue. - Two strategies to gain above-average returns in
hostile markets are represented by Golds (number
one or two firms with economies of scale and
substantial presence) and Silvers (number three
or lower firms that focus on a smaller segment,
usually at the high end of the market.
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16Ancillary Slides
17Nothing is more difficult, and therefore more
precious, than to be able to decide. - Napoleon
Bonaparte
18Once you learn to quit, it becomes habit. -
Vince Lombardi
19Dont let adverse facts stand in the way of a
good decision. - Colin Powell
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