What to do

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What to do
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Threats to the American Economy
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Neighborhood A
Neighborhood B
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US New House Size Up 55
Average Square Feet
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2000s
UK Planning Regime House Size Down 55
1920s
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Comparative Cost of Housing
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Portland Urban Growth Boundary
Rationing Raises Prices
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Portland Poor Business Climate
Unemployment Rate 2004March
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Downzoning Reduces Ownership
Households Driven ? From Market
Downzoning from ¼ Acre to 1 Acre
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Impact Fees Reduce Ownership
Households Driven ? From Market
20,000 Impact Fee
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Sacramento 185,000
Anti-Sprawl Policies Create Sprawl POPULATION
GROWTH 2000-2003
60 miles
San Francisco Bay Area 61,000
Stockton 65,000 Modesto 45,000 Merced 21,000
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Subsidies Set Asides Not the Answer
Federal Housing Programs
Unmet Needs
Funding
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House Price Relative to Income PER CENSUS OREGON
HIGHEST IN NATION
1990-2000 Calculated From US Census Data
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A Tale of Two Cities
Atlanta
Portland, Oregon
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Portland Retreats on Densification
Developed Acres Plan
Trend 2040
Actual 2004
2040 Plan
1997
Other Smart Growth Climbdowns Maryland New
Jersey Minneapolis-St. Paul Suburban Washington
Portland Vote Against Density
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Atlanta Housing Affordability
Homes Affordable by Median Income Household
2001
Largest Loss In USA 1990s
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Land Rationing the Market

1. Higher land prices.
2. Small builders driven out.
3. Builders go up-market.
4. Less standardization.
5. Infill more expensive.

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Housing Opportunity in Atlanta 1,000,000 PEOPLE
ADDED TO SUBURBS IN 1990
White Non-Hispanic 32
Minorities 68
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A Tale of Two Cities 2
Limit of Suburbs
Equal scale
Automobile 40 minutes
London
Paris
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Home Ownership Paris
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Home Ownership Tokyo
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Home Ownership USA
1,002 Municipalities 2000
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The Role of Home Ownership
Mexican Dream Leon
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Democratization of Prosperity is Associated with
Sprawl
Urban Population per Square Mile
Paris
London
New York
Los Angeles
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Modern Urban Area Densities Compared To Pre-Auto
Urban Areas (1900)
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Osaka-Kobe-Kyoto Suburbs
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Tokyo House Expo
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Copenhagen Suburbs
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London Suburbs
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Brussels Suburbs
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Brussels suburbs
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Barcelona Suburbs
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Paris Suburbs
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Stuttgart Suburbs
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Bucharest Suburbs
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Portland Suburbs
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Athens Suburbs
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20 Year Land Market Example SHOWING THEORETICAL C
HANCES OF SALE FOR EACH PROPERTY
Urban Area
100
20 YEAR URBAN GROWTH BOUNDARY ?
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15 MILES
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Paris from a Rental Car
Paris suburbs
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House Value Multiple 2000 US CENSUS DATA
LARGE URBAN AREAS
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Freedom, Opportunity Affluence
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Europe of Tourists Planners
Paris Avenue de lopéra