Gender Specific Effects of Early-Life Events on Adult Lifespan PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Title: Gender Specific Effects of Early-Life Events on Adult Lifespan


1
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  • ?.?. ?????????

2
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  • ??????????? ????????? ????????????
    ??????????????? ????????????? ?????????????
    ??????? (???)
  • ???? ????????? ???????????. ????? ????????
    ????????? ???????. ?????? ??????????? ????? ?
    ???????? 90-?

3
(No Transcript)
4
????????????? ?????? ?????? ? ????
  • ?????????? ?? ????????????? ???.
  • ????? 5 (?????? ?????????? ?????? C51) ?????????
    185 ?????? ??????.
  • ?????????? ???????? ????? ??????????????? ??? ?
    ????????? ?????????? ? ????????-??????????
    ???????????? ? ???????

5
????? ????????????? ?????? ?????? ? ??????
  • ????? ??????? ???? ??????????? ??????????? ?????
    ?????????? ???????????? ????????? ?????????????
    ?????? ??????
  • ? 1999 ?????? ??????? ????? ?????????????,
    ??????????????? 10-?? ?????????? ???
  • ??? ?? ???????? ????????????? ? ?????????????? ???

6
???????? ?????? ?????? ?????? ?????? ??????
?????. ???????
??????? ? ??., Demoscope Weekly, N181-182, 2004
7
???????? ?????? ?????? ?????? ?????? ??????
?????. ???????
??????? ? ??., Demoscope Weekly, N181-182, 2004
8
?????????? ?????? ?????? ? ??????
9
????? ????? ????????????????? ??????????
1989-2000 ?? ??????? ?????? ??????
10
????????? ??????? ?? ??????? ???????????? ??????
???????? ????? ?? ??? ???????? ??????????
???????????????????, ??????????? 5
??????????????? ? ???????????? ???????
????????? ???????? ??????? ??????????? ?????
?????? ?????????? ?? ??????? ????????
11
?????? ?? ???? ?????????? ?? ??????? ????????????
?????? ? ?????? ????? ??????? ?? ?????????
12
?????????? ??????? ?????????? ?? ???????
???????????? ????????? ? ??????
???????
???????
13
???? ??????? ?????? ?????? ????? ??????? ?????? ?
?????? (20-24)
1990 2001
?????? ??????
????????? ??????? ???????????? ?????????
??????? ??????? ?????????????? ???????????? ???????????
??????? ???????????? ????????? ?????????
??????? ??????? ??????? ? ??????? ?????? ??????? ????????????? ???????
14
???? ??????? ?????? ?????? ????? ??????? ?????? ?
?????? (20-24)
1990 2001
?????? ??????
????????? ?????????
??????? ??????? ?????????????? ??????? ??????? ??????????????
?????????? ????? ? ????????????? ??????? ??????? ???????????? ?????????
??????? ??????? ??????? ? ??????? ?????? ???????????? ???????????
15
????? ??????? ?????? ?????????? ??
???????-????????????? ??????????
16
?????????????? ????????????? ??????, ?????????
??????? ??????????????? ????????? ???????
????????? ??????? ???????? ?????? ?????? ?
????????? ???????, ??? ? ??????? ?? ??????
??????????? ?? ??????? ???????????? ?????? ??????
17
????????????????? ???????????? ?????????? ??
????? ? 1996 ?????????? ?????? ? 0-64 ?????Data
from the WebAtlas Project (http//sci.aha.ru/ATL)
18
??????? ?? ??????? ???????????? ?????? ?????? ?
????????? ??????? ?????? ? 2003 ????
  • ????????? ???????????? ?????? (R95)
    3.3
  • ?????????? ? ???? (river, well, pond) (R99)
    13.0
  • ?????????? ???? (R99)
    53.5
  • ?????????? ? ????, ?????? ?????? (R99)
    1.7
  • ?????????? ? ???? ? ???? (R99)
    6.0
  • ?????????? ? ??????? ????????? ? ????? (R99)

    12.3
  • ?????????? ? ??????????? ????? (R99)
    0.7
  • ?????????? ?? ???????? (R99)
    0.3
  • ?????????? ? ????????? ???, ????? (R99)
    1.0
  • ?????????? ? ?????? ????? (R99)
    5.5
  • ?????????? (R99)
    2.3
  • ???????? (R54)
    0.3

19
?????????? ? ?????? ?? ??????? ????????????
????????? ? ????? ? ??????????????? ???????????
20
??????? ???????????? ????????? ? ??????????? ?
??????????????? ??????????????? ?????????
????????????, ??? ??? ??????? ????????
?????????????? ??????
21
???? ??????? ?????? ?????? ?? ??????? ?????? ?
?????? ? 2001 ????
Russia Moscow
???????????? ????????? ???????
??????????? ? ??????????????? ??????????? ??????????? ? ??????????????? ???????????
???????? ?????? ??????
????????? ?????????? ????????? ????????
?????? ?????? ????????????
22
???????? ? ??????
  • ???????????? ??? ????????? ?????? ??????
  • ??????????? ? ?????? ?????????????? ???????,
    ??????? ?????? ?? ????? ?????, ???????????? ?
    ????????????? ???????, ????????? ?? ????, ??????
    ?? ????????????? ??????????? ? ?????? ?? ???? ??
    ??????????????? ??????????????

23
???????? ? ????????????????????? ??????? ? ??????
  • ?????? 34-48 ?????? ?????? ???????
  • 38-54 ?????? ????????? ???????????
  • 35 ?????????? ??????????? ????????

24
?????? ???????? ?????? ??????
25
???????? ???????
  • ????????????????? ??????????
  • ??????? ?????????? ?????????????? ???????
  • ??????? ?????????? ??? ?????????? ??????? ??????
  • ???????????? ????????? ????????????????? ?????

26
????????????????? ??????????
  • ????????????????? ??????????? (?????? ?????)
  • ????????????????? ????????? ??????????
  • ????????????? ???? ?????????? ?????

27
????????????????? ????????? ?????????? ???
Standardized mortality ratio
??? Du - ????????? ????? ??????? ? ?????????
?????????, Msi - ??????????? ?????????? ?
??????????? ????????? ? ?????????? ?????? i, Pui
- ??????????? ????????? ? ?????????? ?????? i ???
????????? ?????????
28
????????????????? ????????? ??????????
  • ??????? ???????????? ??? ????????? ???????? ?
    ?????? ?????? ??????
  • ?? ??????????? ????????????? ?????? ??????????
    ????????????? ??????? ?? ???? ??????

29
????????????? ???? ?????????? ????? Potential
Years of Life Lost (PYLL)
??? T - ??????? ?????????? ???????, ??
???????? ?????????????? ????????? (?????? 70 ???
65 ???), x - ???????? ????????????????
??????????? ?????????.
?????????? ???? ????????????? ?????
?????????????? ??? ????? ???????????? ?????
??????? ?? ????????? ???? ? ?????? ??????????
??????
??????????? ?????????? ??? ????????????? ?????
?????????????? ??????????????   RatePYLL
PYLL/Pu ??? Pu - ??????????? ?????????? ?????????
? ???????? ?? 1 ?? T.
30
??????? ?????????? ?????????????? ???????
31
??????? ?????????? ?????????????? ???????
  • Multiple decrement life tables
  • ????? ???????????? ??? ?????????? ??????
    ?????????? ?? ????????
  • ?????????? ?????? ?? ????????? ??????

32
??????? ?????????? ?????????????? ??????? ?????
??????????
  • ????????? ??????? ??????? ?????????? ?? ????
    ??????
  • ?????????? ??????????? ?????? ?? ??????? k

33
??????? ?????????? ?????????????? ??????? ?????
?????????? (???????????)
  • ?????????? ????? ??????????? ?? ??????? k ?
    ????????? (x, xn)
  • ?????????? ????? ???????? ?? ???????? y ??? ???,
    ??? ? ??????? ??????????? ????? ????? ?? ???????
    k

34
??????? ?????????? ?????????????? ??????? ?????
?????????? (???????????)
  • ?????????? ??????????? ??????? ?? ?????? ???????
    ? ??????? ?????
  • lk/l0
  • ?????????? ??????? ????????? ??????? ???????,
    ????????? ?????????????? Lkx ? Tkx
  • ?????????????? ??? ?? ??? ?????????
    ????????????????? ????? ? ??????? ???????

35
??????? ????????? ??????? ?????? ?? ????????,
??????? ??????
????? ?., ?????? ? ????? 2006
36
??????????? ??? ?????????????? ??????? ??
?????????? ????? ?? ???? ????? ?????? ?????? (??
100 ??????????), ??????? ??????
??? ? ???????. ?????? ??? ????? ?., ?????? ?
????? 2006
37
????????? ????????? ?????????? ?????? ?????? ?
???????? ?????. 1965 ???
????? ?., ?????? ? ????? 2006
38
????????? ????????? ?????????? ?????? ?????? ?
???????? ?????. 2004 ???
????? ?., ?????? ? ????? 2006
39
???????????? ????????????????? ????? ?? ????????
? ???????? ??????
40
????? ????????????
  • ????????? ????????? (1982), ????????? (1982) ?
    ???????? (1984)

41
???????????? ?? ????????
??? ???????? lx, Lx, Tx ???????????? ?????
??????????? ???????? ?? ??????? ???????
??????????, ? ??????? 1 ? 2 ????????????? ??
?????????? ? ???????, ? ????????? 1 ? ????????? 2
?????????????? (?? ???? ???? ????????????
??????????).
?????????? ?????????? ??????? ??????? ??????????
??? ???? ???????????? ?????????
42
???????????? ?? ????????
????????? ???????? ?????????? ????????
43
???????????? ?????? ????????? ?????? ? ????????
?? ????????????????? ?????
??? Rix ?????????? ????????? ??????? ?? ??????? i
? ?????????? ?????? (x, xn), ?? ???? Dix/Dx. ?
?????? ?????? Dix ????????????? ???????????? ????
??????? ?? ??????? i ? ?????????? ????????? (x,
xn), ? Dx - ?????????????? ????? ??????? ??
???? ??????.
44
???????????? ?? ???????? ??????
??????? (1) ? (2) ???????????? ????????????
??????????. ???????? mx ???????????? ?????????
????????????? ?????????? ?? ???? ??????, ???????
????? ???????? ?? ??????? ??????? ??????????,
????????? mx dx/Lx. ? ?????? ??????? ????????
?x ????????????? ?????? ???????? ? ?????????? ??
???? ?????? ? ?????????? ????????? (x, xn) ?
??????????? ???????? ? ?????????
????????????????? ?????. ????? ????????, ??? ?
????? ???
45
???????????? ???????? ? ????????????????? ?????
????? ??????? ? ??? ?? ????????. ???????
USA 1999 Russia 2001. Source Shkolnikov et
a. Mortality reversal in Russia.
46
???????????? ???????? ? ????????????????? ?????
????? ??????? ? ??? ?? ????????. ???????
USA 1999 Russia 2001. Source Shkolnikov et
a. Mortality reversal in Russia.
47
Contribution of different causes of death to
changes in LE, men
48
Contribution of different causes of death to
changes in LE, women
49
Age and cause components of LE increase due to
anti-alcohol campaign Men
50
Age and cause components of LE increase due to
anti-alcohol campaign Women
51
????? ????????? ?????? ?????? ? ???????? ?? ??
????? ?????????????? ? ????????? 40e20(CA) -
40e20(Slav)??????? (total difference 2.90
years)
52
????? ????????? ?????? ?????? ? ???????? ?? ??
????? ?????????????? ? ????????? 40e20(CA) -
40e20(Slav)??????? (total difference .28 years)
53
??????? ?????????? ??? ?????????? ??????? ??????
54
??????? ?????????? ??? ?????????? ??????? ??????
  • ?????????? ???????? ???????????? ????????????
    ??????????
  • ????? ????? (1978) ????????? ??????????????????
    ?????????? ?? ????????? ??????

55
???????? ??????? ??? ??????? ??????? ??????????
??? ?????????? ??????? ??????
? ?????? ??????? ?????? k ???????? ?? ??????????
? ???????, ? ??? ????, ??? ?????????? ????????? ?
??????, ????? ??????? ?????? k ?????????.
??????????? ?????????????????? rk ????? ????????
?? ????????? ??????????? ????? ??????? ? ??????
?????????? ?????????
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