Title: Fullyintegrated Flow and Transport Modelling
1Canadian Water Network Researcher
Retreat Victoria, BC, June 24-26, 2008
Integrated Surface-Subsurface Flow Transport
Modelling from the Watershed-Scale and Beyond A
Framework for Quantitative Analysis
E. A. Sudicky Department of Earth Environmental
Sciences University of Waterloo Waterloo,
Ontario, Canada N2L 3G1 (email
sudicky_at_sciborg.uwaterloo.ca)
2Integrated Surface/Subsurface Hydrologic
ModellingA Grand Challenge in Water Resources
Simulation
- Attempt to account for all interactions between
the surface and subsurface flow regimes - Simultaneously solve surface and subsurface flow
transport equations - Simulate the complete hydrologic cycle
3Some Issues
- Quantify spatial/temporal distribution of GW
recharge, surface water/groundwater interactions
in streams and wetlands - Impacts of groundwater extraction on surface
water - Effects of urbanization/land-use/climate change
on water quantity quality, health of aquatic
ecosystems - Restoration of adversely-impacted streams,
wetlands, etc. - Subsurface versus overland migration pathways of
contaminants pathogens
4Challenges
- Disparate time frames between surface/subsurface
flow and transport regimes - Very large unstructured grids, irregular
topography, complex boundary conditions, surface
properties geological features - Strong nonlinearities in governing equations
- Data availability and upscaling issues
5Waterloo/Laval HydroGeoSphere Model
- First Generation Code Integrated Hydrologic
Model (InHM, VanderKwaak, U of Waterloo, PhD
Thesis, 1999), Evolved from FRAC3DVS (Therrien
Sudicky, JCH, 1996) - Consortium of HydroGeoSphere developers/research
ers - Sudicky et al. (Earth Sciences, Univ. Waterloo,
Ontario) - Therrien et al. (Geology, Univ. Laval, Quebec)
- Forsyth (Computer Science, Univ. Waterloo,
Ontario) - Panday, Guvanasen Huyakorn (HydroGeoLogic,
Herndon, VA) - Matanga et al. (US BOR, Sacramento, CA)
6Overview of Current HydroGeoSphere Model
Features
- 2D overland/stream flow (Diffusion-wave
equation), including stream/surface drainage
network genesis - 3D variably-saturated flow (Richards equation
ET) in porous medium - 3D variably-saturated flow in macropores,
fractures and karst conduits (dual-porosity,
dual-permeability or discrete fractures) - Advective-dispersive, reactive solute/thermal
transport in all continua, snow
accumulation/melting, soil freeze/thaw - Groundwater age, life expectancy (Park et al.,
WRR, 2008 Cornaton et al., WRR, 2008) - Allows for complex topography, irregular surface
subsurface properties, density-dependent flow,
subgridding subtiming (Park et al., AWR, 2008) - Fully-coupled, simultaneous solution of
surface/subsurface flow and transport via
Control-Volume Finite Element Method.
7Integrated Model Parameterization
- Geology and Stratigraphy Aquifer
characterization - DEM Surface elevation, Channel definition
- Radar data Precipitation
- Met. stations Temp., Humidity, Wind, Reference
Evapotranspiration - Hydrology databases Lakes, ponds and hydraulic
structures location, connectivities and
characteristics structure operations channel
geometries - Well permitting databases pumping estimates,
depths
8Integrated Model Parameterization Continued
- GIS coverages surface parameterization
- Land-Use / Land Cover (at various times) LAI
Canopy Interception Mannings friction Root
Distribution Evaporation Distribution Surface
Leakance Crop Coefficient Rill and Obstruction
heights - Soils Data Moisture retention, porosity
hydraulic conductivity field-capacity and
wilting-point saturations - Other GIS coverages Hydrography Septic systems
Agricultural returns Water Supply System Service
Areas pumping locations Geographic landmarks
9Catchment-Scale Study Laurel Creek Watershed,
Waterloo, Ontario, Canada
10Laurel Creek
Rural
Urban (Waterloo)
Discharge to Grand River
11Physical System Geometry
12Land Use
Manning Coefficients
- Water
- Wetland
- Forest
- Urban
- Agricultural
0.04 0.05 0.6 0.012 0.2
13Surficial Soils
14Subsurface Hydrostratigraphy
15Simulated vs. Observed Drainage
16Simulated vs. Observed Hydrograph
Simulated
Observed
17Water Exchange Fluxes
Note negative values denote discharge from
subsurface to surface
18Analysis of the Impact of Surficial Contaminant
Releases on Stream Water Quality
19Subcatchment of Laurel Creek Watershed,Waterloo,
Ontario, Canada
20Surficial Contaminant Source
Rainfall to the surface is the only water into to
the system
First-type solute boundary condition Co 1.0
Critical depth boundary
21Plume Migration on Land Surface
t 0
Under mean annual rainfall of 0.36 m/year
22Plume Migration on Land Surface
t 1 year
Under mean annual rainfall of 0.36 m/year
23Plume Migration on Land Surface
t 2 years
Under mean annual rainfall of 0.36 m/year
24Plume Migration on Land Surface
t 3 years
Under mean annual rainfall of 0.36 m/year
25Plume Migration on Land Surface
t 5 years
Under mean annual rainfall of 0.36 m/year
26Plume Migration on Land Surface
t 10 years
Under mean annual rainfall of 0.36 m/year
27Plume Migration on Land Surface
t 30 years
Under mean annual rainfall of 0.36 m/year
28Breakthrough Curve at Stream Outlet
29Subsurface Plume Migration
Under mean annual rainfall of 0.36 m/year
Cross-Section
30Subsurface Plume Migration
t 0
Under mean annual rainfall of 0.36 m/year
31Subsurface Plume Migration
t 1 year
Under mean annual rainfall of 0.36 m/year
32Subsurface Plume Migration
t 2 years
Under mean annual rainfall of 0.36 m/year
33Subsurface Plume Migration
t 3 years
Under mean annual rainfall of 0.36 m/year
34Subsurface Plume Migration
t 5 years
Under mean annual rainfall of 0.36 m/year
35Subsurface Plume Migration
t 10 years
Under mean annual rainfall of 0.36 m/year
36Subsurface Plume Migration
t 30 years
Under mean annual rainfall of 0.36 m/year
37Solute Breakthrough at Channel Outlet
38Solute Exchange Fluxes at Stream Nodes A, B and C
Stream Node A
Stream Node B
Stream Node C
39Application of HydroGeoSphere to a Large-scale
Watershed in 3D Duffins Creek, Ontario
40Duffins Creek Watershed
- 286 km2 in area
- Hydro-eco concerns due to urban development
41Geology and Hydrogeology
- Bedrock shale Whitby Formation (Late Ordovician)
- Quaternary sediments 0 m (absent) to 200 m thick
- Eight hydrostratigraphic units including three
aquifers
42Discretization
43Calibration Results Steady-State Subsurface Heads
RMS error 14 m
44Calibration Results Stream Baseflow
Mean error 0.0024 m3/s
45Steady-state Surface Drainage Network
Surface/Subsurface Exchange Fluxes
Surface Water Depths
Surface/Subsurface Exchange Fluxes
46Transient Model Hydrographs
47Impact of The Wisconsinian Glaciation on Canadian
Continental Groundwater Flow
48Last Glacial Maximum (-21kyr)
49Computational Domain
50Wisconsinian Glaciation Progression
GM3
GM2
GM1
51Topography Ice Sheet Thickness
Tarasov and Peltier, 2005
52Isostasy
Surface elevation and ice thickness variation in
Waterloo, Ontario
53Ice Sheet Margins Surface Water Depths
Tarasov and Peltier, 2005
54Permafrost Evolution
Last Interglacial
Last Glacial Maximum
Tarasov and Peltier, 2005
55Subglacial Meltwater Production at LGM
Tarasov and Peltier, 2005
56Hydraulic Properties Distribution
57Boundary Conditions
- Model Forcing University of Toronto Glacial
Systems Model - Ground surface elevation
- Relative sea Level
- Ice thickness
- Permafrost thickness
- Meltwater rate
- Surface water depth
58Cross Section Location
59Geological Cross Section
Vertical exaggeration 125
60Hydraulic Head and Permafrost Distribution
Hydraulic Head
Vertical exaggeration 100
Permafrost
61Relative Concentration at LGM (1 265 g/l)
Groundwater Age Distribution at LGM
Vertical exaggeration 100
62Surface/Subsurface Water Interaction
- Groundwater Recharge and Meltwater Ratio
63Impact of Climate Change on Canadian Water
Resources
- Full coupling of HydroGeoSphere with NCARs
Community Climate System Model (CCSM) - Replace CCSM land surface module with
HydroGeoSphere to include a groundwater component - Examine impact of global warming on both surface
and groundwater resources (quantity and quality) - Basin to Canadian-landmass scale simulations
64Community Climate System Model
Atmosphere
Coupler
Land
HydroGeoSphere
Ice
Ocean
65Model Domain
663D Grid Resolution for Future Climate Computations
- covers entire Canadian landscape
- timescales of 1-2 centuries
- includes both unsaturated
- saturated zones
- framework could be applied to
- other regions
67HydroGeoSphere Computed (Hydrodynamic) Surface
Water Depths For Present-Day Climate
68Lessons from Experience
- Integrated models are successful in
characterizing hydrologic cycle processes at
multiple scales in watersheds - Parameterization There is always missing data
- Computational challenges remain, but with modern
numerical solution methods HPCs, there is
optimism for handling very large complex systems - Fully coupled solution is robust and provides a
holistic view of water, contaminant heat
transport - Model uncertainty is reduced due to simultaneous
examination of coupled processes