Come judgment day

1
Come judgment day
2
Scenario 1. Full fundingStill work to be done

• Finalize where CARMA contributes to monitoring of
  reference herds in respect to collection,
  handling, analysis of samples
• Finalize contribution to extensive herd
  monitoring
• Finalize targeted communities/co-management
  boards
• Develop CARMA-specific data management system
• Develop remote sensing linkages and strategy to
  best meet CARMA needs
• Develop integration and comparative analysis
  tools
• Develop decision support tools
• Coordinate CARMA related activities
• Develop communication and curriculum products

3
Scenario 2 Reduced fundingMaintaining project
activities

• Reduce herds considered
• Reduce reference herds
• Just do extensive herds
• Just do reference herds
• Reduce indicators for extensive herds
• Reduce indicators for reference herds
• Reduce community/co-management partners
• Seek more at home analysis of samples
• Rely more on data management partners
• Rely on CBMP for remote sensing products (and
  thus the data management of r. s. products)

4
Scenario 3. Greatly reduced fundingChange scope
of project

• Focus on CARMA value-added activities
• Monitoring is responsibility of agencies
• CARMA simply coordinates the CARMA mission
• Coordinate CARMA activities (meetings, website)
• Remote sensing products available
• Conduct retrospective analysis
• Develop and provide protocols
• Develop and maintain data management
• Develop decision support tools
• Facilitate comparative analysis

5
Reference versus Extensive

• What are current parasite loads in the Leaf River
  Herd?
• How do parasite loads relate to spring habitat
  conditions?
• Are there regional/circumpolar differences in
  parasite loads?
• What is the functional response between body
  condition and parasite loads?
• Where are there a strongest functional response
  between parasite loads and body condition and
  why?
• What is the role of parasites in the productivity
  of circumpolar wild Rangifer populations?
• Which populations are most vulnerable to future
  climate change due to the functional response
  between parasites and weather and parasites and
  herd productivity?

6
Criteria for reference herd selection

• Agency support
• Active research and monitoring program in place
  or planned
• Good retrospective data base
• Contributes to heterogeneity
• Population increasing/declining
• Density high/low
• Climate warming/cooling
• Predator rich/predator free
• Strong co-management/weak co-management
• Development heavy/light

7
Review of Current Reference Herds
Active
Historical