Title: Anomalies of the Snow Cover: Origin and Climatic Role
1Anomalies of the Snow Cover Origin and
Climatic Role
- (some results of experiments with global climate
model)
2Global Climate Model of Laboratory of Climatology
IGRAS (LC IGRAS)
3- The climatic model is created on the basis of
model of Oregon State University (OSU),
developed under direction of Prof. M.Schlesinger
(1984). Under direction of Prof. G.L.Stenchikov
this model was further developed at the Computer
Center of the Russian Academy of Sciences. The
version of this model is improved at the
Laboratory of climatology of IGRAS.
4- Two-Level Atmospheric General Circulation Model.
The centers of layers approximately correspond to
levels 800 mbar and 400 mbar. - Above 200 mbar up to the top border of the
atmosphere there is a modelling thermodynamic
stratosphere whose dynamics is not considered,
and the temperature is calculated based on its
radiation balance. In the stratosphere, annual
change of distribution of ozone and water vapor
is set.
5-
- Horizontal approximation is executed in s -
system of coordinates on grid with resolution of
4 by latitude and 5 by longitude. - The spectral radiation model is used.
Calculation of radiation fluxes is done at 5
levels by vertical (4 levels in troposphere and 1
in stratosphere) for 40 spectral intervals. - Precipitation large-scale condensation and
moist convective adjustment.
6- Cloudiness 4 types (the bottom level,
"stratus", "cumulonimbus", top level
("cirrus")). - The sensitive and latent heat fluxes between the
surface and the atmosphere are calculated based
on vertical gradients of temperature and
humidity. The factor of the turbulent exchange is
calculated depending on parameter of the
aerodynamic roughness and Richardson number. - Evapotranspiration Factor is set to be equal to
one soon after precipitation, while for the lack
of precipitation it decreases monotonously up to
the minimal value prescribed for each type of
landscape.
7- Active land layer represents a layer with the
fixed thermal capacity set various for various
types of the landscape, and its temperature is
calculated on the basis of the heat balance
equation. - The temperature of ocean surface and
distribution of sea ice is set on empirical data. - Landscapes 10 types (tropical forest, steppe,
semidesert, desert, extratropical forest,
tundra, cultivated landscape, continental ice,
sea ice, ocean).
8- Snow cover it is formed at tsn lt 0C
- tsn 0.5 (tg (t3
?Z3)) , (1) - where tg mean active layer temperature (C),
t3 and Z3 - temperature (C) and height at the
bottom level of model (about 800 mbar), ? - moist
adiabatic gradient. - Snow cover melts if daily average values of tsn
exceeds 0C. Thus the quantity of the melted snow
is defined by the formula - Smel Kmel ?rb tsn ,
(2) - where Smel - the snow water equivalent (SWE)
which have melted during a day, cm - Kmel - temperature factor of melting,
0.3 cm SWE/?C - ?rb - the correcting factor for
large values of net radiation of the surface. It
is calculated by the formula - ?rb max(1, 0.025 R) ,
(3) - where R - net radiation of the surface,
W/m2. - With the Smel value, necessary expenses of heat
for its melting are calculated.
9Calculation of Modern Climate
- Sea level pressure
- Sea-level air temperature
- Precipitation (mm/day)
- Snow depth (cm). January
- Snow depth (cm). Maximal winter
10Sea-level Pressure (Mbar)
January
July
11Sea-level air temperature (?)
January
July
12Precipitation (mm/day)
January
July
13Snow depth (cm). January
14Snow depth (cm). Maximal winter
15Experiments on the role of snow cover anomalies
in climate system
- Spring anomalies of snow water equivalent over
Eurasia - Winter anomalies of the area of snow cover over
Eurasia
16Role of Spring Anomalies of snow water equivalent
of Eurasia
- Spring anomalies of the snow cover were
simulated as follows on March 1st of each
modelling year, the snow water equivalent (SWE)
at each point of Eurasia was multiplied by factor
K - 1) K 1 2Cv for it is abnormal small,
- 2) K 1 2Cv for it is abnormal great
values of the spring SWE. - Here Cv - average for Eurasia coefficient of
variation of SWE , calculated according to
empirical data it was set to be equal to 0.18. - The difference between the two experiments is
analyzed.
17Changes of the some meteorological fields under
positive anomaly of spring snow cover over Eurasia
- Air temperature. April
- Air temperature. May
- Air temperature. June
- Radiation balance of the Earth-atmosphere system
18Change of radiation balance of the
Earth-atmosphere system (W/m2)
May
June
19Change of air temperature. April
Bottom of Troposphere
Surface
20Change of air temperature. May
Bottom of Troposphere
Surface
21Change of air temperature. June
Bottom of Troposphere
Surface
22Role of winter anomalies of the area of snow
cover over Eurasia
- For base calculation was suggested that from
November till March of each year, the snow cover
over Eurasia can form only to the north from 52º
N, and to the south from it, solid precipitation
is not formed. For the forced calculation, during
the same time interval of each year the snow
cover can form only to the north from 40º N. - The difference between two experiments is
compared.
23Changes of some meteo elements at shift of the
snow cover border from 52N to 40N
- Radiation balance of the Earth- atmosphere
system - Air temperature. January
- Air temperature. February
- Precipitation
24Change of radiation balance of the
Earth-atmosphere system (W/m2)
January
February
25Change of air temperature. January
Bottom of Troposphere
Surface
26Change of air temperature. February
Bottom of Troposphere
Surface
27Change of precipitation (mm/day)
January
February
28The origin of anomalies of the snow cover
- Role of winter anomalies of air temperature in
formation of spatial structure of anomalies of
the snow cover over Northern Eurasia. - Role of winter anomalies of evaporation and
temperature of Atlantic ocean surface in
formation of the snow cover features over
Northern Eurasia.
29Role of negative winter anomalies of air
temperature in formation of the spatial structure
of snow cover anomalies over Northern Eurasia.
- For simulation of the negative anomalies of
air temperature, a dependence between descending
atmospheric flows and quantity of clouds was
used. For the testing regions, climatic regimes
with cloudiness decreased by 50 due to
descending atmospheric movements from November
till February of each year,were evaluated.
30Experimental regions
- A North Eurasia to the north from 52?N
- B North Eurasia to the north from 52?N and to
the east from 22.5?E - C North Eurasia to the north from 52?N and to
the east from 57.5?E - D North Eurasia to the north from 48?N and to
the east from 87.5?E
31Temperature and snow water equivalent changes for
experiment A
Temperature January
Snow () March
32Temperature and snow water equivalent changes for
experiment B
Temperature January
Snow () March
33Temperature and snow water equivalent changes for
experiment C
Temperature January
Snow () March
34Temperature and snow water equivalent changes for
experiment D
Temperature January
Snow () March