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Economics 324: Labor Economics

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When estimates are negative the income effect dominates ... Why so many elasticity estimates? Measurement error (Whipple effect for hours of work) ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Economics 324: Labor Economics


1
Economics 324 Labor Economics
  • For next time, please read Angrist Evans (AER,
    1998)
  • For the answer to a question which came up in
    class last time, see the last bullet point below.
    It seems that UI (unemployment insurance) is
    indeed taxed as regular income.
  • Benefits
  • In general, benefits are based on a
    percentage of an individual's earnings over a
    recent 52-week period - up to a State maximum
    amount.
  • Benefits can be paid for a maximum of 26
    weeks in most States.
  • Additional weeks of benefits may be
    available during times of high unemployment (see
    Extended Benefits). Some States provide
    additional benefits for specific purposes.
  • Benefits are subject to Federal income
    taxes and must be reported on your Federal income
    tax return. You may elect to have the tax
    withheld by the State Unemployment Insurance
    agency.
  • Source http//www.workforcesecurity.doleta.gov/un
    employ/uifactsheet.asp

2
Changing Non-labor Income
  • What happens to hours of work when we change V?
  • Shock ? V due to bigger dividends, beneficiary
    in a will, bigger unemployment insurance check,
    etc.
  • Wage is held constant
  • Leisure could be normal or inferior good
  • Income effect impact on the D for leisure of a
    change in non-labor income, holding the wage
    constant
  • (?L/ ?V) w gt 0 or equivalently, (?h/ ?V) w
    lt 0 , if Leisure is a normal good (which we
    will assume)
  • How does ? V affect the reservation wage?
  • 2 effects of ? V (1) lowers the probability of
    working (?WRES) (2) decreases
    hours worked, if you work

3
Changing the Wage Rate
  • What happens to hours of work when we change w ?
  • Shock ?w due to a raise at work, perhaps
  • Non-labor income (V) is held constant
  • Total effect is ambiguous
  • Two competing effects
  • (1) Income effect higher w ? greater purch power
    ? demand more L
  • (2) Substitution effect higher w ? higher
    Pleisure ? demand less L
  • Isolating the Substitution effect
  • Draw the new budget line. Move this new budget
    line parallel to itself until it is tangent to
    the old IC (at point Y) SE (?L/ ?w) U,V
    lt 0
  • Isolating the Income effect
  • Draw a new IC tangent to the new budget line at
    some point.

4
Individuals Labor Supply Curve
  • Backward-bending Labor Supply curve
  • (?h/ ?w) V gt 0 ? SE gt IE
  • (?h/ ?w) V lt 0 ? SE lt IE
  • SE dominates initially, but IE is stronger
    eventually
  • Empirically, data shows that female labor supply
    is backward-bending, while men generally have a
    positive slope, with a short vertical range
    (10-20/hour)
  • Commuting costs and labor supply curve
  • Wont work 1 hour per week
  • Enter LF at h hours (say 20)

IE gt SE
w
SE gt IE
Wreservation
h
0
Hours of work
5
Which Effect Dominates?
  • The size of the income effect depends on
    where you start
  • bigger at point A than B
  • Z is the extreme, IE 0
  • Empirically
  • Cross-sectional data reveals that IE and SE are
    small for men (estimates for women are
    complicated by child care and household work)

C
A
B
Z
0
Leisure
6
Optimal Labor-Leisure Choice example
  • Suppose Jacks utility function is given by U
    L? C?
  • Find the demand function for leisure hours, L
    L (w, V, T)
  • Assuming ? ¾, ? ¼, V 0, T 400 and w
    4 what are the initial optimal values?
  • Now suppose welfare program passed giving 200 of
    income if you dont work at all. As you earn
    income benefits are scaled back 0.20 per dollar
    earned.
  • What is the break-even point and what are the
    effects on labor supply?
  • Decompose, graphically and numerically, the
    change in demand due to the subsidy and tax into
    the substitution and income effects.
  • What if U L¼ C¾ ?

7
Labor Supply Elasticity
  • Definition
  • Consensus estimate for prime-aged men is -0.1
  • .1 for SE, -.2 for IE
  • When estimates are negative the income effect
    dominates
  • Labor supply for men tends to be inelastic
  • As time period increases, labor supply becomes
    more elastic
  • Why so many elasticity estimates?
  • Measurement error (Whipple effect for hours of
    work)
  • tends to overemphasize the importance of the
    income effect
  • relevant marginal wage rate for salaried workers
  • sample selection bias
  • Nonlabor income

8
Labor supply of women
  • Substantial cross-country differences in womens
    labor force participation rates
  • Over time, womens participation rates have
    increased
  • In most studies on women, substitution effects
    dominate income effects
  • Reverse causality -- Angrist Evans (AER, 1998)

9
Cross-Country Relationship Between Growth in
Female Labor Force and the Wage, 1960-1980
  • Source Jacob Mincer, Intercountry Comparisons
    of Labor Force Trends and of Related
    Developments An Overview, Journal of Labor
    Economics 3 (January 1985, Part 2) S2, S6.
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