EBA Investment Attractiveness Index 5th wave

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EBA Investment Attractiveness Index(5th wave)
Conducted by EBA with the support of InMind
research company
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Project summary

• The results of 5th wave of investment climate in
  Ukraine tracking research.
• Methodology The EBA Investment Attractiveness
  Index is assessed as the mean value based on the
  following five questions
• What do you think about the investment climate in
  Ukraine?
• How would you estimate the investment climate for
  your company in Ukraine at the moment compared to
  the previous three months?
• What are your expectations of the investment
  climate in Ukraine over the next three months?
• In your opinion, would it be profitable for new
  entrants to invest in Ukraine over the next three
  months?
• What are your expectations of the business
  environment of your primary industry over the
  next three months?
• Participants CEOs of EBA members companies
• Timing September, 2 30, 2009
• Survey Implementation the Survey was conducted
  by EBA with the support of InMind research company

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Key findings
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Key findings
2nd wave
1st wave
3rd wave
4th wave
5th wave
Investment Climate in Ukraine
2,3
2,2
2,3
3,1
2,0
Investment Climate Dynamics last 3 months
1,8
2,8
2,1
2,7
2,5
Investment Climate Dynamics Expectations next 3
months
2,2
3,1
2,2
2,8
2,6
Profitability for new entrants next 3 months
2,3
3,4
2,4
2,7
2,6
Investment Climate of Primary Industry next 3
months
2,7
2,9
2,5
3,3
2,4
General EBA Index
General EBA Index
General EBA Index
General EBA Index
General EBA Index
2,22
3,14
2,22
2,64
2,56
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Key findings
(January, 19 February, 12)
(April, 6 May, 14)
(September,3-7)
(September,8-21)
(September,22-28)
(September, 29-October,2)
(October, 23-31)
(September, 2-30)
N103
N78
N59
N33
N53
N42
N26
N50
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EBA IndexComponents
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Investment Climate in Ukraine
The Investment Climate in Ukraine is (5 point
scale)

0

Mean 2,3
Mean 3,1
Mean 2,0
Mean 2,3
Mean 2,2
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Investment Climate Dynamics last 3 months
The Investment Climate in Ukraine (5 point
scale)

0

Mean 2,8
Mean 1,8
Mean 2,1
Mean 2,7
Mean 2,5
9
Investment Climate dynamics expectations next 3
months
The Investment Climate in Ukraine (5 point
scale)

0

Mean 3,1
Mean 2,8
Mean 2,2
Mean 2,2
Mean 2,6
10
Profitability for New entrants next 3 months
Profitability for New Entrants (5 point scale)

0

Mean 3,4
Mean 2,7
Mean 2,3
Mean 2,4
Mean 2,6
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Investment Climate of primary industry next 3
months
Investment climate of primary industry (5 point
scale)

0

Mean 3,3
Mean 2,5
Mean 2,4
Mean 2,7
Mean 2,9
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Key findings

• Five-grade scale is used to evaluate the
  investment climate, where 1 stands for the
  lowest evaluation and 5 stands for the highest
  evaluation

• In the 3rd quarter of 2009 the EBA Investment
  Attractiveness Index remained practically at the
  same level of 2.56 on a 5 point scale with the
  slight trend to decrease compared to 2.64 in the
  2nd quarter of 2009

• During 2009 the Index shows very graduate
  changes. After the sharp decrease in September
  2008 and reaching the lowest marks in October08
  and January09 the Index slightly grew to 2.6 in
  April and remains almost unchanged until
  September09

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Key findings

• The current investment climate estimation
  remains as the lowest Index component reaching
  only 2.2 while the expectation for the primary
  industries reached the highest score 2.9.
  Therefore investors demonstrate more optimistic
  estimation of the investment climate in their
  primary industries within the coming 3 months
  compared to the overall climate. The
  profitability for the new entrants estimations
  became more polarized compared to the previous
  period neutral estimations.

• There is a tendency of growing gap between past
  periods versus coming periods expectations
  evaluations that reveals moderate optimism in
  investors expectations

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Thank you!