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ACCEPTANCE SAMPLING FOR ATTRIBUTES

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If not, inspect each shipment that arrives. Sorting out good from bad shipments ... The ideal sampling plan discriminates perfectly between good and bad shipments ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: ACCEPTANCE SAMPLING FOR ATTRIBUTES


1
ACCEPTANCE SAMPLING FOR ATTRIBUTES
  • Types Of Sampling Plans
  • Mistakes To Avoid, And Their Statistical
    Equivalents
  • AQL LTPD
  • Single-sampling Plans
  •  Average Outgoing Quality
  • ISO 2859 Dodge-Romig Plans

2
IS THIS SHIPMENT ANY GOOD?
  • Can you trust your vendor's quality?
  • If so, great!
  • If not, inspect each shipment that arrives
  • Sorting out good from bad shipments

3
OPTIONS FOR VENDOR QUALITY
  • Objective ensure vendor delivers quality
    supplies
  • Two ways to reach objective
  • Inspect vendor's shipments
  • Acceptance" sampling
  • Have vendor performing QM
  • Vendor supplies customer with relevant control
    charts
  • Customer certifies vendor in QM
  • The first approach is traditional, but the second
    is preferable in general and necessary for lean
    operations

4
"ACCEPTANCE" SAMPLING
  • Basic idea
  • Inspect a random sample of each lot
  • Classify each item as ok/not ok
  • Conclude entire lot is either
  • Ok -- accept it
  • Not ok -- reject it and/or sort it

5
ATTRIBUTE VS. VARIABLE SAMPLING PLANS
  • Simplest sampling plans are attribute
  • Based on binomial (or hypergeometric)
    distribution
  • May lose variable data on several QC'S
  • Requires large sample size
  • Plans based on variable data
  • Based on normal distribution
  • Provide more information on source of quality
    problems
  • Require smaller samples for same a, b

6
SINGLE, DOUBLE, MULTIPLE SAMPLING PLANS
  • Single sampling plans
  • Make accept/reject decision based on one sample
  • Double sampling plans
  • Make accept/reject/take-another- sample decision
    based on first sample
  • Make accept/reject decision based on second
    sample (if taken)
  • Can have "triple", "quadruple", or any other
    multiple sampling plan
  • Multiple sampling plans require more but smaller
    samples for same a, b

7
SINGLE (ATTRIBUTE-BASED) SAMPLING PLANS
  • Define
  • N -- number of parts in shipment
  • n -- number of parts in a sample from shipment
  • c -- acceptance number
  • Acceptance sampling has 3 easy steps
  • For each shipment of N parts, a sample of size n
    is taken
  • Inspect each of the n parts
  • Reject the shipment if the number of defects
    exceeds c units. Otherwise, accept the shipment

8
MISTAKES TO AVOID, THEIR STATISTICAL
EQUIVALENTS
  • As with product quality control, there are two
    types of mistakes to avoid
  • Type I -- Conclude the shipment is bad when in
    fact it is good (false alarm)
  • Type II -- Conclude the shipment is good when in
    fact it is bad (overlooked problem)
  • Probability of each type of mistake
  • Type I -- a Type II -- b
  • This is standard hypothesis testing with the
    following null hypothesis
  • H0 the shipment is good

9
DOUBLE SAMPLING PLANS
  • Define
  • n1 -- sample size on first sample
  • c1 -- acceptance number for first sample
  • d1 -- defectives in first sample
  • n2 -- sample size on second sample
  • c2 -- acceptance number for both samples
  • d2 -- defectives in second sample
  • Take sample of size n1
  • Accept if d1 c1 reject if d1 gt c2
  • Take second sample of size n2 if c1 lt d1 c2
  • Accept if d1d2 c2 reject if d1d2 gt c2

10
DEFINING GOOD AND BAD SHIPMENTS AQL VERSUS LTPD
  • Instead of simply "good" versus "bad", we will
    define "really good", "really bad", and "ok, but
    not great" shipments
  • p -- True (unknown) percent defective in shipment
  • AQL -- Acceptable quality level
  • LTPD -- lot tolerance percent defective
  • Then
  • A really good shipment has p lt AQL
  • A really bad shipment has p gt LTPD
  • Anything in between (AQL lt p lt LTPD) is ok, but
    not great

11
THE OPERATING-CHARACTERISTIC (OC) CURVE
  • For a given a sampling plan and a specified true
    fraction defective p, we can calculate
  • Pa -- Probability of accepting lot
  • If lot is truly good, 1 - Pa a
  • If lot is truly bad, Pa b
  • A plot of Pa as a function of p is called the OC
    curve for a given sampling plan

12
THE OPERATING-CHARACTERISTIC (OC) CURVE
  • The ideal sampling plan discriminates perfectly
    between good and bad shipments
  • Both a and b are zero in this example!
  • This requires a sample size equal to the
    population -- not feasible

13
CONSTRUCTING AN (OC) CURVE
  • For a specified single sampling plan, the OC
    curve may be constructed using a binomial
    distribution if n is small relative to the lot
    size
  • p -- true fraction nonconforming
  • n -- sample size
  • c -- acceptance number
  • We know that

Excel
14
CONSTRUCTING AN (OC) CURVE
  • Suppose we have a sampling plan defined by the
    following parameters
  • n 100
  • c 2
  • What is the probability of accepting a lot with
    0.5 defectives?

15
CONSTRUCTING AN (OC) CURVE
16
USING AN (OC) CURVE
  • How do we find a and b using an OC curve?
  • AQL 0.01
  • LTPD 0.05
  • Then a 1 Pa(p0.01) 1 - 0.9206 0.0794
  • And b Pa(p0.05) 0.1183

17
AVERAGE OUTGOING QUALITY
  • Consider a part with a long-term fraction
    nonconforming of p
  • Samples of size n are taken from a lot of size N
    and inspected
  • Any defectives in the sample of size n are
    replaced, accept or reject
  • When a lot of is accepted, we expect p(N-n)
    defectives in the remainder of the lot
  • When a lot is rejected, it will be sorted and
    defective units replaced, leaving N-n good units
    in the remainder
  • This is referred to as "rectifying" inspection

18
AVERAGE OUTGOING QUALITY
  • If Pa is the probability of accepting a lot, then
    the average outgoing quality is
  • The worst possible AOQ is the AOQ Limit or AOQL

Excel
19
AVERAGE TOTAL INSPECTION
  • Rectifying plans have greater inspection
    requirements
  • The Average Total Inspections

20
ISO 2859 (ANSI/ASQC Z1.4)
  • One of oldest sampling systems
  • Covers single, double, multiple sampling
  • AQL-based Type I error ranges 9-1 as sample
    size increases
  • Minimal control over Type II error
  • Type II error decreases as general inspection
    level (I, II, III) increases
  • Special inspection levels when small samples
    needed (and high Type II error probability
    tolerated)
  • Mechanism for reduced or tightened inspection
    depending on recent vendor performance
  • Tightened -- more inspection
  • Reduced -- less inspection

21
ISO 2859 (ANSI/ASQC Z1.4)
  • A vendor begins at a "normal" inspection level
  • Normal to tightened 2/5 lots rejected
  • Normal to reduced
  • Previous 10 lots accepted (NOT ISO 2859)
  • Total defectives from 10 lots ok (NOT ISO 2859)
  • If a vendor is at a tightened level
  • Tightened to normal 5 previous lots accepted
  • If a vendor is at a reduced level
  • Reduced to normal a lot is rejected

22
ISO 2859
  • A vendor begins at a "normal" inspection level
  • Normal to reduced
  • Switching score set to zero
  • If acceptance number is 0 or 1
  • Add 3 to the score if the lot would still have
    been accepted with an AQL one step tighter else
    reset score to 0
  • If acceptance number is 2 or more
  • Add 3 to the score if the lot is accepted else
    reset score to 0
  • If score hits 30, switch to reduced inspection

23
USING ISO 2859
  • Choose the AQL
  • Choose the general inspection level
  • Determine lot size
  • Find sample size code
  • Choose type of sampling plan
  • Select appropriate plan from table
  • Switch to reduced/tightened inspection as required

24
USING ISO 2859
25
USING ISO 2859
26
USING ISO 2859
27
USING ISO 2859
28
DODGE-ROMIG PLANS
  • Developed in the 1920's
  • Rectifying plans
  • Requires knowledge of vendor's long-term process
    average (fraction non-conforming)
  • Choice of LTPD or AOQL orientation
  • Both minimize ATI for specified process average
  • Type II error 10,

29
DODGE-ROMIG PLANS
  • AOQL plans
  • 1) Determine N, p, and AOQL
  • 2) Use table to find n and c
  • Finds plan with specified AOQL which minimizes
    ATI
  • Calculate resulting LTPD with Type II error 10
  • LTPD plans
  • 1) Determine N, p, and LTPD
  • 2) Use table to find n and c
  • Finds plan with specified LTPD which minimizes
    ATI
  • Calculate resulting AOQL

30
DODGE-ROMIG PLANS
31
DODGE-ROMIG PLANS
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