Title: ACCEPTANCE SAMPLING FOR ATTRIBUTES
1ACCEPTANCE SAMPLING FOR ATTRIBUTES
- Types Of Sampling Plans
- Mistakes To Avoid, And Their Statistical
Equivalents - AQL LTPD
- Single-sampling Plans
- Â Average Outgoing Quality
- ISO 2859 Dodge-Romig Plans
2IS THIS SHIPMENT ANY GOOD?
- Can you trust your vendor's quality?
- If so, great!
- If not, inspect each shipment that arrives
- Sorting out good from bad shipments
3OPTIONS FOR VENDOR QUALITY
- Objective ensure vendor delivers quality
supplies - Two ways to reach objective
- Inspect vendor's shipments
- Acceptance" sampling
- Have vendor performing QM
- Vendor supplies customer with relevant control
charts - Customer certifies vendor in QM
- The first approach is traditional, but the second
is preferable in general and necessary for lean
operations
4"ACCEPTANCE" SAMPLING
- Basic idea
- Inspect a random sample of each lot
- Classify each item as ok/not ok
- Conclude entire lot is either
- Ok -- accept it
- Not ok -- reject it and/or sort it
5ATTRIBUTE VS. VARIABLE SAMPLING PLANS
- Simplest sampling plans are attribute
- Based on binomial (or hypergeometric)
distribution - May lose variable data on several QC'S
- Requires large sample size
- Plans based on variable data
- Based on normal distribution
- Provide more information on source of quality
problems - Require smaller samples for same a, b
6SINGLE, DOUBLE, MULTIPLE SAMPLING PLANS
- Single sampling plans
- Make accept/reject decision based on one sample
- Double sampling plans
- Make accept/reject/take-another- sample decision
based on first sample - Make accept/reject decision based on second
sample (if taken) - Can have "triple", "quadruple", or any other
multiple sampling plan - Multiple sampling plans require more but smaller
samples for same a, b
7SINGLE (ATTRIBUTE-BASED) SAMPLING PLANS
- Define
- N -- number of parts in shipment
- n -- number of parts in a sample from shipment
- c -- acceptance number
- Acceptance sampling has 3 easy steps
- For each shipment of N parts, a sample of size n
is taken - Inspect each of the n parts
- Reject the shipment if the number of defects
exceeds c units. Otherwise, accept the shipment
8MISTAKES TO AVOID, THEIR STATISTICAL
EQUIVALENTS
- As with product quality control, there are two
types of mistakes to avoid - Type I -- Conclude the shipment is bad when in
fact it is good (false alarm) - Type II -- Conclude the shipment is good when in
fact it is bad (overlooked problem) - Probability of each type of mistake
- Type I -- a Type II -- b
- This is standard hypothesis testing with the
following null hypothesis - H0 the shipment is good
9DOUBLE SAMPLING PLANS
- Define
- n1 -- sample size on first sample
- c1 -- acceptance number for first sample
- d1 -- defectives in first sample
- n2 -- sample size on second sample
- c2 -- acceptance number for both samples
- d2 -- defectives in second sample
- Take sample of size n1
- Accept if d1 c1 reject if d1 gt c2
- Take second sample of size n2 if c1 lt d1 c2
- Accept if d1d2 c2 reject if d1d2 gt c2
10DEFINING GOOD AND BAD SHIPMENTS AQL VERSUS LTPD
- Instead of simply "good" versus "bad", we will
define "really good", "really bad", and "ok, but
not great" shipments - p -- True (unknown) percent defective in shipment
- AQL -- Acceptable quality level
- LTPD -- lot tolerance percent defective
- Then
- A really good shipment has p lt AQL
- A really bad shipment has p gt LTPD
- Anything in between (AQL lt p lt LTPD) is ok, but
not great
11THE OPERATING-CHARACTERISTIC (OC) CURVE
- For a given a sampling plan and a specified true
fraction defective p, we can calculate - Pa -- Probability of accepting lot
- If lot is truly good, 1 - Pa a
- If lot is truly bad, Pa b
- A plot of Pa as a function of p is called the OC
curve for a given sampling plan
12THE OPERATING-CHARACTERISTIC (OC) CURVE
- The ideal sampling plan discriminates perfectly
between good and bad shipments - Both a and b are zero in this example!
- This requires a sample size equal to the
population -- not feasible
13CONSTRUCTING AN (OC) CURVE
- For a specified single sampling plan, the OC
curve may be constructed using a binomial
distribution if n is small relative to the lot
size - p -- true fraction nonconforming
- n -- sample size
- c -- acceptance number
- We know that
Excel
14CONSTRUCTING AN (OC) CURVE
- Suppose we have a sampling plan defined by the
following parameters - n 100
- c 2
- What is the probability of accepting a lot with
0.5 defectives?
15CONSTRUCTING AN (OC) CURVE
16USING AN (OC) CURVE
- How do we find a and b using an OC curve?
- AQL 0.01
- LTPD 0.05
- Then a 1 Pa(p0.01) 1 - 0.9206 0.0794
- And b Pa(p0.05) 0.1183
17AVERAGE OUTGOING QUALITY
- Consider a part with a long-term fraction
nonconforming of p - Samples of size n are taken from a lot of size N
and inspected - Any defectives in the sample of size n are
replaced, accept or reject - When a lot of is accepted, we expect p(N-n)
defectives in the remainder of the lot - When a lot is rejected, it will be sorted and
defective units replaced, leaving N-n good units
in the remainder - This is referred to as "rectifying" inspection
18AVERAGE OUTGOING QUALITY
- If Pa is the probability of accepting a lot, then
the average outgoing quality is
- The worst possible AOQ is the AOQ Limit or AOQL
Excel
19AVERAGE TOTAL INSPECTION
- Rectifying plans have greater inspection
requirements - The Average Total Inspections
20ISO 2859 (ANSI/ASQC Z1.4)
- One of oldest sampling systems
- Covers single, double, multiple sampling
- AQL-based Type I error ranges 9-1 as sample
size increases - Minimal control over Type II error
- Type II error decreases as general inspection
level (I, II, III) increases - Special inspection levels when small samples
needed (and high Type II error probability
tolerated) - Mechanism for reduced or tightened inspection
depending on recent vendor performance - Tightened -- more inspection
- Reduced -- less inspection
21ISO 2859 (ANSI/ASQC Z1.4)
- A vendor begins at a "normal" inspection level
- Normal to tightened 2/5 lots rejected
- Normal to reduced
- Previous 10 lots accepted (NOT ISO 2859)
- Total defectives from 10 lots ok (NOT ISO 2859)
- If a vendor is at a tightened level
- Tightened to normal 5 previous lots accepted
- If a vendor is at a reduced level
- Reduced to normal a lot is rejected
22ISO 2859
- A vendor begins at a "normal" inspection level
- Normal to reduced
- Switching score set to zero
- If acceptance number is 0 or 1
- Add 3 to the score if the lot would still have
been accepted with an AQL one step tighter else
reset score to 0 - If acceptance number is 2 or more
- Add 3 to the score if the lot is accepted else
reset score to 0 - If score hits 30, switch to reduced inspection
23USING ISO 2859
- Choose the AQL
- Choose the general inspection level
- Determine lot size
- Find sample size code
- Choose type of sampling plan
- Select appropriate plan from table
- Switch to reduced/tightened inspection as required
24USING ISO 2859
25USING ISO 2859
26USING ISO 2859
27USING ISO 2859
28DODGE-ROMIG PLANS
- Developed in the 1920's
- Rectifying plans
- Requires knowledge of vendor's long-term process
average (fraction non-conforming) - Choice of LTPD or AOQL orientation
- Both minimize ATI for specified process average
- Type II error 10,
29DODGE-ROMIG PLANS
- AOQL plans
- 1) Determine N, p, and AOQL
- 2) Use table to find n and c
- Finds plan with specified AOQL which minimizes
ATI - Calculate resulting LTPD with Type II error 10
- LTPD plans
- 1) Determine N, p, and LTPD
- 2) Use table to find n and c
- Finds plan with specified LTPD which minimizes
ATI - Calculate resulting AOQL
30DODGE-ROMIG PLANS
31DODGE-ROMIG PLANS