Title: Rating Review Presentation
1Korea Western Power Co., Ltd.
- Rating Review Presentation
- to
- Standard Poors
29 June 2006
2KOWEPOs Credit Strengths
Strong Operations Experienced Management
Solid Financials Robust Capital Structure
Prospering Economy Solid Sovereign Credit
Favorable Industry Conditions Regulatory
Environment
- High correlation between electricity demand
growth and Korean GDP growth - Cost Based Pool System expected to continue
- Six Gencos account for over 90 of Korean power
consumption
- Stable revenue and cash flows
- Strong debt servicing ability
- Solid capital structure to support capital
expenditure
- Credit profile benefits from the expected
additional capacity as required by the Power
Supply and Demand Plan - Diversified and secured sources of key raw
materials - Highly sophisticated and experienced management
- Strong outlook for GDP growth
- Outstanding external liquidity position, dynamic
diverse export sectors - Sound financial markets improving financial
sector - Positive credit rating momentum
3Strong Mitigating Factors to Credit Concerns
Business risk under the deregulation plan
- Delayed privatization plan of Gencos
- Performance expected to be further enhanced once
new generating units at Cheongsong and Taean
become operational in Dec 2006 and 2007/2008
respectively - KOWEPO is one of the best performers among Korean
thermal Gencos
Capex requirement to fund capacity expansion
- Strong debt servicing ability due to stable,
recurring revenue and cash flows - Strong balance sheet to support business
expansion - Increasing revenue led by stable growth of
electricity demand
- Ability to fully pass fuel cost to KEPCO under
the current Cost Based Pool system (CBP) - CBP is expected to remain unchanged as MOCIE
halted the distribution sectors separation plan
and suspended the implementation of Two-Way
Bidding Pool system (TWBP)
Exposure to high raw material costs
- Good operating track record of power plants with
low historical incidents and diligent plant
maintenance - Continuing investment to improve reliability of
generation facilities
Exposure to potential generation unit breakdown
4 - Company Overview
- Regulatory Environment
- Operations
- Financial Management
- Concluding Remarks
5Introduction to KOWEPO
Inception
Spun off from KEPCO in April 2, 2001
Ownership
100 owned by KEPCO (54 owned by Korean Govt)
Generation Capacity
8,880 MW (Operation 7,280 MW, Construction
1,600 MW)
Total Assets
2006 Q1 KRW 3,365 bn (USD 3.45 bn) 2005
KRW 3,262 bn (USD 3.22 bn)
Total Revenue
2006 Q1 KRW 680 bn (USD 0.7 bn) 2005 KRW
2,227 bn (USD 2.20 bn)
Net Income
2006 Q1 KRW 79.7 bn (USD 82 mn) 2005 KRW 180.6
bn (USD 178.3 mn)
(KRW/USD FX rate 975.90 as of 31st Mar. 2006,
1013.00 as of 31st Dec. 2005)
6Strategy Maintain Market Position
- KOWEPO plans to maintain its leading market
position and superior operating performance
promoting growth with new plant constructions
KRW billion Not reflected in 2nd Power
Supply and Demand Plan by MOCIE
7Strategy Diversify Revenue Sources
- KOWEPO will diversify its revenue sources by
investing in new business, overseas project, and
new or renewable energy
8- Company Overview
- Regulatory Environment
- Operations
- Financial Management
- Concluding Remarks
9Power Industry Restructuring Process
The power industry restructuring plan has faced
some obstacles, and the implementation of future
plans has been suspended
- Expiration of vesting contracts
- Retail competition
HOLD
- MOCIE announced restructuring plan for power
industry
- Incorporation of generation companies
- Cost-based pool bidding (CBP) mechanism
- IPO of KOSEP was delayed until the offering price
exceeds the book price. The timing of IPO is
unforeseeable
- Implementation of TWBP was suspended
HOLD
1999
2000
2002
2001
2003
2004
2005
2007
2008
2006
2009
- Introduction of vesting contracts for gencos
- Spin off distribution sector from KEPCO
- Wholesale competition
HOLD
- Initiation of KOSEP privatization
- Plan to separate KEPCOs distribution sector was
halted due to substantial risk and uncertain
benefits from the separation plan - Determined that discos will operate as
independent divisions within KEPCO and these
divisions will compete internally within KEPCO
HOLD
- The suspension of disco setup cleared the
industry uncertainty considerably - Expected continued government efforts in the
industry restructuring with a well-paced, gradual
approach
10Power Price Determination
- Prices are determined according to the type of
markets base load and non-base load
Price
Base Load Price (Nuclear and Coal Power Plant)
CP BLMP
Oil / LNG
Capacity Payment
BLMP
Non-BaseLoad
- CP includes construction cost and operation cost
of standard coal fired power plants - Fixed cost is reimbursed to Gencos by KEPCO
regardless of their operation
- If fuel price/kWh is at or above KRW 18.95 - Fuel
costs incurred by each generators are fully
compensated - If fuel price/kWh is below KRW 18.95
- - BLMP is set at the highest fuel cost among
generators dispatched
Coal
Non-Base Load Price (LNG, Oil, Hydro Power) CP
SMP
Base Load
Nuclear
Capacity Payment
SMP
- CP includes construction cost and operation cost
of peak-load power plants - Fixed cost is reimbursed to Gencos by KEPCO
regardless of the operation
- SMP is set at the highest fuel cost among
generators dispatched
Power Demand
- To mitigate financial imbalance caused by oil
price hikes between KEPCO and Gencos, the 5th
Cost Assessment Committee decided to lower CP of
base load units on 29 May 2006 - CP for base load units will be reduced from
KRW20.49/kWh to KRW13.22/kWh from June to August
2006, after which the Committee will analyze the
effects and review whether to continue the
adjustments. The CP adjustments will only be
effective until the end of 2006 at the latest.
11CBP Market Improvements
- Korean Government is continuously working towards
further improvements of the CBP market process.
It requested Korea Development Institute to
prepare for a CBP market improvement plan. The
result was announced in February 2006 - CBP market improvement plan will be implemented
starting from 2007 to 2008 in phases
Unification of Double Market
Regional Price Differentiation
Price Differentiation by Seasons and by Reserve
Margin
- Unify currently split electricity market (base
load and non-base load) into a single market - To solve profit imbalance between KEPCO and
Gencos, it is expected to introduce CfD (Contract
for Difference)
- Differentiate prices among power generators based
on the demand concentration of the location - Generators that are close to metropolitan region
are more beneficial
- Differentiate CP based on high demand periods and
normal periods - Such differentiation allows the procurement of
supply capacity during peak periods of demand
- As CBP system continues, gencos are expected to
continue to generate stable profit and cash flow - After the introduction of CBP market improvement
plan, profitability is expected to remain at
similar levels
12- Company Overview
- Regulatory Environment
- Operations
- Financial Management
- Concluding Remarks
13Operation Overview
- Base load, intermediate load, and peak load
account for 41, 19 and 40 respectively in
terms of generation capacity - 90 of capacity is located in or near the Seoul
and Gyeonggi metropolitan areas - Seoul and Gyeonggi metropolitan areas comprises
approx. 40 of total national demand
Location of Plant Complex
Generation Capacity by Type of Plant (1Q 2006)
4,500
4,000MW
4,000
3,480MW
Taean T/P (1,000 MW)
3,500
CheongsongP/S (600 MW)
3,000
Samrangjin P/S (600 MW)
2,500
2,000
Taean T/P (3,000 MW)
Seoincheon C/C(1,800 MW)
1,400MW
1,500
Pyeongtaek T/P(1,400 MW)
1,000
500
Pyeongtaek C/C (480 MW)
0
Base Load
Intermediate Load
Peak Load
In Operation
Under Construction
Note T/P denotes Thermal Power Plant, C/C
denotes Combined Cycle, P/S denotes Pumped
Storage
14KOWEPOs Market Position
Generation Capacity Market Share (1Q 2006)
Sales Volume Market Share (1Q 2006)
(MW)
(GWh)
(10.7)
(11.6)
(1.7)
(11.0)
(12.4)
(11.4)
(37.7)
(29.0)
(11.5)
(12.3)
(12.0)
(14.1)
(12.0)
(12.7)
Total Generation Capacity63,003 MW
Total Electricity Sales90,755 GWh
15Strong Operational Efficiency
- Thermal efficiency and utilization rate have been
relatively stable over the years.
Thermal Efficiency
Utilization Rate
16Cost Saving Measures
Remarkable Cost Cutting Initiatives
Seoincheon
- Completed all units of Gas Turbines uprate in
April 2006 - Improvements
- Thermal efficiency 3
- Combined generation capacity 10
- NOx emission level reduction 75
- Approximate annual saving of KRW 2.9 billion per
turbine
Pyeongtaek
- Completed Desulfurization facility installment on
February 2005 - Purchased cheaper high sulfur oil (2.59) rather
than low sulfur oil (0.3) - Increased utilization rate from 28.1 in 2004 to
44.8 in 2005 - Fuel cost of saving of approximately KRW 27
billion per year
17- Company Overview
- Regulatory Environment
- Operations
- Financial Management
- Concluding Remarks
18Capital Structure (1Q 2006)
Capital Structure
Assets
- KRW 3,365 billion
- Fixed Assets/Total Assets Ratio 89.6
KRW billion
Liabilities
- KRW 1,144 billion
- Liability-to-Equity Ratio 51.5
Shareholders Equity
- KRW 2,221 billion
- Stake is Wholly Owned by KEPCO
Revenue
Profitability
- EBIT KRW 114.1 billion
- Net Income KRW 79.7 billion
19Financial Performance
- KOWEPO achieved robust performance in 1Q 2006
with revenue of KRW 680 billion and net income of
KRW 79.7 billion despite high fuel costs - KOWEPOs revenue has shown a stable performance
- Net Income in 2004 and 2005 were lower than in
2003 mainly due to - In case of Taean T/P, it does not create margins
in BLMP due to fuel price hikes from 2004
Net Income
Revenue
KRW billion
KRW billion
20Reduced Interest Expense and Leverage
- Coverage ratios have been increased significantly
due to KOWEPOs proactive debt restructuring
activities including early redemptions of
existing high interest rate debts and lowering
funding rate - Leverage ratios have decreased since our
inception in 2001, but have started to increase
slightly due to the expansion of our capacity at
our Taean Plant, which is expected to peak this
year
Coverage
Leverage
Times
21Strong Competitive Position (FY 2005)
Revenue
EBIT
Net Income
KRW billion
KRW billion
KRW billion
Leverage
EBIT Margin
EBITDA Int. Coverage
Times
22Financial Forecast
Revenue Operating Cost Forecasts
KRW billion
23Ratio Analysis
- Profitability would increase in 2008 after the
completion of Taean Plant 7 by 2007 and 8 by
2008 - With lowered debts and strong cash flow, KOWEPO
expects the leverage to fall gradually
Profitability
Leverage
EBITDA margin
EBIT margin
ROA
24Debt Profile and Strategy
- KOWEPO prefers long-term funding of at least 5
years as the plant construction usually takes
around 5 years to complete - The company prefers to borrow 60 to 70 of its
total debt from the domestic capital market and
the remaining from the international markets. - 82 of KOWEPOs debts carry fixed interest rate,
while 18 are in floating rate - All of our debts unsecured and our debt maturity
profile evenly distributed
Debt Repayment
Currency Distribution (1Q 2006)
Type of Instrument (1Q 2006)
KRW billion
KRW billion
Total Debt Profile KRW 711.1 billion
25Capex and Funding
Capital Expenditure Schedule
KRW billion
568
491
290
214
26Risk Management and Hedging Strategy
- KOWEPO introduced risk management in four areas
finance, fuel, electricity bidding, and
generation facilities - Risk management committee was established in
November 2003 to oversee the risk management
initiatives - The committee meets every quarter to discuss key
issues and to make decisions on the topics
discussed - Finance
- Foreign currency risk management committee
oversees the risk management on foreign currency
debt - The committee meets every quarter to establish
foreign currency risk management planning, fix
hedging ratio for foreign currency risk, and
review performance the hedging tools - Fuel
-
- Electricity bidding system KOWEPO has
implemented a market simulator called Plexos
which enables KOWEPO
to predict market price and optimally place
its bid into the power pool - Generation facilities
- Plants under operation are covered by package
insurance based on repurchase prices (market
price) which amount to around KRW 3,400 billion. - As for the plants under construction, all the
risks relating to construction are covered by
erection all risks insurance which amount to
around KRW 780 billion.
Source Tex Report, Argus Coal Information,
2005
27- Company Overview
- Regulatory Environment
- Operations
- Financial Management
- Concluding Remarks
28Concluding Remarks
Favourable Industry Conditions
Prospering Economy Solid Sovereign Credit
Regulatory Environment
Solid Financials Robust Capital Structure
Strong Operations Experienced Management
29Korea Western Power Co. Ltd.
- Additional Information for SP
30Key Assumptions
31Performance and Projection
32Long-Term Supply Contracts
- KOWEPO enters into long-term supply contracts to
- Control the costs of bituminous coal, oil and LNG
amid the rising prices - Assure an adequate supply of the raw materials
for a smooth operation
Bituminous Coal Contracts
Note Long-Term Supply Contracts as of YE2005
Under discussion regarding volume, price, and
terms
33Composition of Liquid Assets (1Q 2006)