A Decade of Biotech Crops, 1996 2005

1
A Decade of Biotech Crops, 1996 2005 Global
Status and Future Prospects
by Clive James, Chair, ISAAA Board of
Directors International Service for the
Acquisition of Agri-biotech Applications (ISAAA)
http//www.isaaa.org
2
Global Food, Feed and Fiber Security and the
Alleviation of Poverty, Hunger and Malnutrition
Source Clive James 2006

• Global population
• 6 billion in 2000 - 9 billion in 2050
• Crops are principal source of food, feed and
  fiber 6.5 billion MT/yr valued at 1.7
  trillion
• Challenge - double crop production on same area
  of land in a sustainable agricultural system by
  2050 to produce affordable food/feed
• A contribution (not solution) to alleviation of
  poverty (1.3 billion), and malnutrition (850mill)
  

3
Accumulated Global Area (Million Acres) of
Biotech Crops, The First Decade - 1996 to 2005
1 Billion Acres
404.7 Million Hectares
Source Clive James, 2005
4
Global Area of Biotech Crops, million hectares
The First Decade - 1996 to 2005 Industrial and
Developing Countries
Source Clive James, 2006
5
2005 Highlights

• One billionth acre, or 400 millionth hectare of a
  biotech crop planted in 2005, with 10 area
  stacked
• 90 m. has (10 stacked) in 21countries, up from
  81 m has in 17 countries in 2004, with 4 new
  countries
• 8.5 mill. biotech farmers, of which 90 or 7.7
  mill. are resource-poor farmers in developing
  countries
• Biotech Bt rice commercialized for first time in
  Iran
• 1996 2005, double digit growth every single
  year with 9 mill has more , eq. to 11 growth, in
  2005
• Source Clive James 2006

6
Global Area (Million Hectares) of Biotech Crops,
1996 to 2005, by Country
Source Clive James, 2006
7
Global Adoption Rates () for Principal Biotech
Crops (Million Hectares)
160
147
Conventional
140
Biotech
120
100
91
80
60
35
40
26
20
0
60
28
18
14
Soybean
Cotton
Canola
Maize
Source Clive James, 2006
8
Developing countries record bigger gains in
biotech area than industrial countries in 2005
Source Clive James , 2006

• During 1996 to 2005, of global area of biotech
  crops in developing countries increased every
  single year
• Biotech area in developing countries grew 6.3
  million hectares, or 23 in 2005, compared with
  2.7million hectares or 5 in industrial
  countries
• The five lead biotech crop developing countries -
  
• China, India, Argentina, Brazil and South
  Africa,
• with a combined population of 2.6 billion (40
  of global) grew 31.6 million hectares of biotech
  crops in 2005, equivalent to 35 of global total

9
The five lead developing countries deploying
biotech crops

• China 6.4m small farmers benefit from Bt cotton
  in 2005
• 5 billion benefits projected for 2010 from rice
  cotton
• India adopted Bt cotton in 2002 x 3 fold
  increase to 1.3 mill has in 2005 benefiting 1
  mill small farmers
• Argentina - 2 biotech country - 20 global area
  in 2005
• Benefits 2 billion/yr from biotech soy,
  maize cotton
• Brazil 9.4m has RR Soy - largest increase 4.4m
  in 2005
• Pot. benefits of 1b/yr from soy, cotton
  maize alone.
• South Africa Lead biotech country in Africa
  in 2005 biotech maize, white (food), yellow
  (feed), soy cotton.
• Source Clive James 2006

10
Summary - Major Benefits of Biotech Crops
Source Compiled by Clive James , 2006

• IMPROVED PRODUCTIVITY AND INCOME Increased
  yields of 5 to 40. Farm income gains of 6.5
  billion in 2004 27 billion 1996-2004 biotech
  crop production value of 50 billion in 2005
• PROTECT BIODIVERSITY - Double crop production on
  same area of land - save the forests/biodiversity
  - 13m ha loss/year in DCs
• ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT - Reduce need for external
  inputs saving of 172,000 MT a.i. from 1996 to
  2004. The future - fertilizers - Conservation
  of soil WATER SUSTAINABILITY
• YIELD STABILITY - control of abiotic/biotic
  stresses promising progress with drought
  tolerance major cause of famines
• SOCIAL BENEFITS - Alleviation of poverty,
  improved environment health- a time saving
  technology more affordable food, feed and fiber
  

11
Biotech Crops - Global Economic Benefits 1996 to
2004, and 2004
1996-2004
2004
27.0 billion 10.7 billion 10.1 billion
4.2 billion 0.8 billion 0.8 billion
0.1 billion 0.3 billion
ALL COUNTRIES USA Argentina China Brazil
Canada India Others Source Brookes 2005
6.5 billion
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Challenges for the Future

• Improved Communication with Society.
  Knowledge-based decisions re Biotech crops

13
ISAAAs Global Knowledge Center (KC) on Crop
Biotechnology Network of Biotechnology
Information Centers (BICs)
Russia
Italy
China
Bulgaria
Egypt
Bangladesh
Pakistan
Vietnam
Mali
Mexico
India
Senegal
Philippines ISAAAs Global KC
Thailand
Nigeria
Costa Rica
Kenya
Malaysia
Brazil
Indonesia
South Africa
Chile
Argentina
Knowledge and Experience Sharing
18 Near-term nodes
4 Future nodes
Global Knowledge Center (KC), based at ISAAA,
S.E.Asia Center in the Philippines
14
CropBiotech Update Subscribers, 2001-05
200000
185,580
181727
180000
Total No. of recipients 185,580 Growing at
approx. 1,500-2,000/month thirst for knowledge
Aug '05
182762
July '05
160000
140000
120000
100000
82161
80000
71886
60000
56718
40000
35579
15089
20000
24931
4084
65
684
0
Jan '01
June '01
Dec '01
June '02
Dec '02
June '03
Dec '03
June '04
Dec '04
June '05

• Includes recipients of Crop Biotech Update
  translations in Bahasa Indonesia, Bangla,
  French, Italian, Portuguese (Brazil), Thai, and
  Vietnamese
• Does not include subscribers to other list
  serves that pick up articles from the Crop
  Biotech Update estimated at 30,000

15
Knowledge Sharing with Global Society
Publications Impact of ISAAA Annual Reviews
No. of media articles gt1000 No. of
countries reached 22 No. of people reached
165 mill. No. of translations
12 90 of articles positive or neutral
Annual Review Global Status of GM Crops
Preview 2003
16
Challenges for the Future

• Improved Communication with Society.
  Knowledge-based decisions re Biotech crops
• The Future of Biotech Crops ?

17
Projections for the next decade,2006- 2015
2005
2015
of Biotech Countries of Farmers Planting
Biotech Crops Global Biotech Area
21 8.5 million 90 mill. has (222 mill. acres)
40 20 million 200 mill. has (500 mill.
acres)
Source Clive James, 2006
18
Challenges for the Future

• Improved Communication with Society.
  Knowledge-based decisions re Biotech crops
• Increase in of Biotech countries, farmers and
  area
• Ensure that developing countries have option to
  use biotech crops in conjunction with
  conventional technologies to CONTRIBUTE to a more
  Sustainable Agriculture, Global Food, Feed
  Fiber Security, Alleviation of Poverty and a
  Safer Environment
• Source Clive James 2006