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Lecture 2b

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market risk premium equity 'beta' Beta measures the relative risk of ... company return = alpha beta market return. For regulated companies Beta should be 1 ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Lecture 2b


1
Lecture 2b
  • The cost of capital and CAPM

2
Overview
  • The cost of capital
  • Risk
  • Risk and return
  • Cost of equity CAPM

3
Cost of capital
  • Terms on which privatised companies can raise
    funds for regulated businesses
  • Two main types of capital
  • Debt
  • Equity

4
Debt or bond finance
  • Guaranteed interest payments (before equity
    holders)
  • Tax deductible
  • Normally lower cost than equity
  • Cost of debt risk free rate plus risk premium
  • Risk free rate measured by govt stocks
  • Risk premium depends on rating assessed by rating
    agencies

5
Equity finance
  • Gives shareholders rights to residual incomes
  • higher risk than debt
  • Shareholders can spread risk by holding balanced
    portfolio of equities
  • But even a completely balanced equity portfolio
    has a risk market risk cannot be diversified
  • This market risk has a risk premium
  • market risk premium (topic for another day)

6
Calculating the cost of capital
  • Weighted average cost of capital
  • cost of debt ? proportion of debt in financing
  • cost of equity ? proportion of equity in
    financing
  • cost of finance risk free rate risk premium
  • Equity risk premium market risk premium ?
    equity beta
  • Beta measures the relative risk of the companys
    equity with that of the market as a whole
  • Based on Capital Asset Pricing Model

7
Different Betas

8
Company Beta
  • Ideally should relate to regulated company rather
    than plc
  • Based on degree to which company reutrns vary
    with those of market.
  • Estimated from regression equationcompany
    return alpha beta ? market return
  • For regulated companies Beta should be lt1

9
Using data
  • Returns to stock
  • price increase log(pt)-log(pt-1) plus
  • dividend added in at day goes ex-dividend
  • Regressed on stock market return
  • price change plus dividends
  • Rough measure, data easily found
  • just look at price changes - see today's lab

10
Further reading
  • A study into certain aspects of the cost of
    capital for regulated utilities in the UK
  • February 2003
  • Paper 08/03 from Ofgem
  • Authors are academics and core paradigm is
    nondiversifiable risk.
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