CSU

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CSUs EPA-FUNDEDPROGRAM ONSPACE-TIME AQUATIC
RESOURCEMODELING and ANALYSIS PROGRAM
(STARMAP)

• N. SCOTT URQUHART
• SENIOR RESEARCH SCIENTIST
• DEPARTMENT OF STATISTICS
• COLORADO STATE UNIVERSITY

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TODAY

• EPAs REQUEST FOR APPLICATIONS (RFA)
• CSUs RESPONSE STARMAP
• EXPANSION ON PROJECT 4
• LEARNING MATERIALS
• EXAMPLES OF TECHNIQUES

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EPAs REQUEST FOR APPLICATIONS(RFA)

• CONTENT REQUIREMENTS
• RESEARCH IN STATISTICS
• DIRECTED TOWARD USING, IN PART, DATA GATHERED
  BY PROBABILITY SURVEYS OF THE EMAP-SORT.
• TRAINING OF FUTURE GENERATIONS
  OF ENVIRONMENTAL STATISTICIANS
• OUTREACH TO THE STATES and TRIBES
• ADMINISTRATIVE REQUIREMENTS

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EPAs REQUEST FOR APPLICATIONS(RFA) - continued

• MAJOR ADMINISTRATIVE REQUIREMENT
• EACH OF THE TWO PROGRAMS ESTABLISHED WILL
  INVOLVE COLLABORATIVE RESEARCH AT MULTIPLE,
  GEOGRAPHICALLY DIVERSE SITES.
• CLOSE COOPERATION BETWEEN TWO PROGRAMS
• CSU and OSU SUBMITTED A PAIR OF COORDINATED
  PROPOSALS

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EPAs REQUEST FOR APPLICATIONS(RFA) - continued
III

• THE TWO PROGRAMS
• DESIGN-BASED/MODEL ASSISTED SURVEY METHODOLOGY
  - _at_ OSU
• SPATIAL AND TEMPORAL MODELING, INCORPORATING
  HIERARCHICAL SURVEY DESIGN, DATA ANALYSIS,
  MODELING - _at_ CSU
• CHECK ON THE RFA _at_
• http//es.epa.gov/ncerqa/rfa/aquastat01.html

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RESPONSE to RFA from CSU

• INSTITUTIONS
• COLORADO STATE UNIVERSITY
• STATISTICS
• NATURAL RESOURCES ECOLOGY LAB
• FOREST SCIENCE
• BIORESOURCE AND AGRICULTURAL ENGINEERING
• OREGON STATE UNIVERSITY (PROGRAM 1, too)
• SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA COASTAL WATER RESEARCH
  PROJECT
• WATER QUALITY TECHNOLOGY, INC

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WHO IS INVOLVED?

• Jay Breidt
• Richard Davis
• Jennifer Hoeting
• Hari Iyer
• Scott Urquhart
• Dave Theobald - Natural Resources Ecology Lab
• Robin Reich - Forest Science
• Jim Loftis - Bioresources Engineering
• Collaborators at OSU, SCCWRP, WQTI

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CSU PROPOSAL - APPROACH

• TAKE EXISTING SETS OF
• PROBABILITY
• NON-PROBABILITY DATA
• START WORKING WITH THE DATA WITH A PERSPECTIVE
  OF DRAWING INFERENCES
• IDENTIFY ISSUES WE DONT KNOW HOW TO HANDLE
• HAVE POST-DOCS AND PRE-DOCTORAL
  STUDENTS CONDUCT RESEARCH ON THESE TOPICS

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WHAT IS DISTINCTIVE ABOUTAQUATIC RESOURCES?

• THEY ARE THINGS LIKE
• STREAMS
• RIVERS
• WETLANDS
• LAKES PONDS
• ESTUARIES
• PRAIRIE POTHOLES
• NEAR COASTAL OCEANIC WATERS

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WHAT IS DISTINCTIVE ABOUTAQUATIC
RESOURCES?CONTINUED

• FOR MOST AQUATIC RESOURCES,
• THERE ARE MANY SMALL ONES
• PROGRESSIVELY FEWER AS THEY GET BIGGER
• INTEREST, BIOLOGICAL SOCIETAL, TENDS TO STAY
  CONSTANT OR EVEN INCREASE WITH SIZE
• SIMPLE RANDOM SAMPLING WOULD SELECT MOSTLY
  SMALL ONES, FEW BIG ONES.
• IMPLICATION
• UNEQUAL PROBABILITY SAMPLING

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WHAT IS DISTINCTIVE ABOUTAQUATIC
RESOURCES?CONTINUED II

• SPATIAL STATISTICS TENDS TO FOCUS
  ON TWO-DIMENSIONAL SPACE
• STREAMS AND RIVERS ESSENTIALLY AMOUNT TO
  ONE-DIMENSIONAL OBJECTS IN TWO-SPACE
• BUT MUCH LANDSCAPE INFORMATION IS COMPLETE
  COVERAGE IN TWO-SPACE
• CHALLENGE
• MERGE THESE PERSPECTIVES

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FUTURE NEEDS - STATES TRIBES

• STATES AND TRIBES MUST REPORT ON THE CONDITION
  OF ALL WATERS UNDER THEIR JURISTICTION
• A REQUIREMENT OF SECTION 305b OF THE CLEAN
  WATER ACT
• RESULTS IN BIANNUAL REPORT TO CONGRESS
• STARTING IN 2002 THE RECOMMENDED STANDARDS WILL
  CHANGE TO BEING BASED ON PROBABILITY SAMPLING
• OUTREACH PROJECT OPPORTUNITY!

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CSU PROPOSAL - CONTENT

• 1. COMBINING ENVIRONMENTAL DATA
• 2. LOCAL INFERENCE
• 3. DEVELOPING AQUATIC INDICATORS
• 4. OUTREACH
• 5. ADMINISTRATION/COORDINATION

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CSU PROPOSAL - CONTENTCONTINUED

• 1. COMBINING ENVIRONMENTAL DATA
• FROM SURVEYS TO REMOTELY SENSED
• POSSIBLY INCLUDING INFORMATION
  FROM HAND-PICKEDSITES
• JENNIFER HOETING
• DAVIS, BREIDT, REICH, STEVENS (OSU), WEISBERG
  (SCCWRP), LEECASTER (INL)

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CSU PROPOSAL - CONTENTCONTINUED

• 2. LOCAL INFERENCE
• SMALL AREA ESTM DECONVOLUTION
• JAY BREIDT
• DAVIS, HOETING, GITELMAN (OSU)

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CSU PROPOSAL - CONTENTCONTINUED II

• 3. AQUATIC INDICATORS
• DEVELOPING DATA TO USE IN SPATIAL ANALYSES
• LANDSCAPE ECOLOGY
• REGIONAL TAXONOMIC RICHNESS
• DAVE THEOBALD, NATURAL RESOURCES ECOLOGY LAB
• URQUHART, RITTER (SCCWRP)

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CSU PROPOSAL - CONTENTCONTINUED III

• OUTREACH
• PROPOSALS SHOULD SPECIFICALLY ADDRESS THE
  EXTENSION OF EXPERTISE ON DESIGN AND ANALYSIS TO
  STATES AND TRIBES
• HARI IYER NSU PREPARED THIS PART OF THE CSU
  RESPONSE
• DAVIS, REICH,
• JIM LOFTIS (BIORESOURCES ENGINEERING),
• STEPHEN JOHNSON (WATER QUALITY TECHNOLOGY)

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CSU PROPOSAL - CONTENTCONTINUED III

• 5. ADMINISTRATION
• INTEGRATION AND COORDINATION
• URQUHART DAVIS
• STEVENS (OSU)
• AQUATIC SUPPORT HERLIHY HUGHES (OSU)

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CSU PROPOSAL - FUNDED ACTIVITIESAPPROXIMATE
ANNUAL LEVELS

• POST DOCTORAL FELLOWS 2.5
• DOCTORAL STUDENTS 2
• FACULTY TIME 1 FTE (12M)
• OTHER
• SUBCONTRACT TO OSU 120K
• COMPUTING EQUIPMENT - ONE TIME 20K
• SUPPORT/TRAVEL AMPLE

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OSU COMPANION PROPOSAL

• SIMILARILY STRUCTURED
• MAJOR DIFFERENCE FOCUS
• DESIGN-BASED/MODEL ASSISTED
• OSU SUBCONTRACT TO CSU THE SAME SCALE AS CSU
  SUBCONTRACT TO OSU
• BOTH PROGRAMS HAVE OTHER SUBCONTRACTORS THE
  FIRST YEAR

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DISTINCTIVE EMAP PERSPECTIVE

• DEFINE THE POPULATION OF INTEREST
• CONDUCT A PROBABILITY SURVEY OF IT
• CAREFULLY DEFINE THE SAMPLING FRAME
• VARIABLE PROBABILITY SELECTION OF SITES,
  BUT WITH SPATIAL BALANCE
• CAREFULLY DEFINE RESPONSES TO BE EVALUATED
• TRAIN FIELD CREWS WELL
• MANAGE DATA WITH CARE AND AN AUDIT TRAIL
• LEARN FROM PAST MISTAKES, THROUGHOUT

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DISTINCTIVE EMAP PERSPECTIVECONTINUED

• IF DISCIPLINES LACK TOOLS, SUPPORT DEVELOPMENT
  OF THEM
• STATISTICS INCLUDED
• EXAMPLE EXTEND CONCEPTS OF SAMPLING
  FROM FINITE POPULATION TO SPATIALLY
  CONTINUOUS POPULATIONS
• NATIONAL RESEARCH CENTER FOR STATISTICS AND THE
  ENVIRONMENT ( 1M/YEAR)
• UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON PAST 5 YEARS
• NOW TO BE AT UNIVERSITY OF CHICAGO
• TWO PROGRAMS UNDER DISCUSSION HERE

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FUTURE NEEDS - STATES TRIBESCONTINUED

• PROJECT 4 WILL HELP
• IDENTIFY NEEDED SKILLS IN THE STATES TRIBES
• DEVELOP THE NEEDED SKILLS
• IF POSSIBLE, WE HOPE TO TRANSMIT THE LEARNING
  MATERIALS IN WEB-COMPATIBLE DOCUMENTS
• RECORDED ON A CD ROM USABLE AT ANY REMOTE SITE

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MORE ON LEARNING TOOLS

• AN EXPANSION ON PROJECT 4