Title: Space Weather and Ionospheric Research Using COSMIC Data
 1Space Weather and Ionospheric Research Using 
COSMIC Data
- Qian Wu. S. C. Solomon, Wenbin Wang, Alan Burns, 
- Liying Qian, Mike Wiltberger, T. L. Killeen 
- High Altitude Observatory 
- National Center for Atmospheric Research 
- For COSMIC Retreat October 28, 2004 
- Peaceful Valley Ranch, Colorado
2Overview
- Space Weather 
- Solar X-ray flare effect on the ionosphere 
- Auroral oval expansion and precipitation 
 enhancement during geomagnetic storms
- Polar cap absorption events 
- Equatorial anomaly 
- Plasmasphere depletion and refilling during and 
 after storms
- F region ion density variation during storms 
- Ionosphere and thermosphere modeling efforts at 
 HAO
- Possible collaboration between the COSMIC team 
 and HAO group on ionosphere studies
3Solar Activities and Space Weather 
 4Space Weather Overview
- Solar activities control the space weather 
- X-ray flare 
- CME 
- Enhanced solar wind (density, speed increases) 
- Southward turning of the interplanetary magnetic 
 field
- X-ray ionization enhancement in D region 
- Precipitation of energetic protons (MeV) inside 
 the polar cap
- Reconnections of the Earth magnetic field lines 
- Releasing energy inside the magnetosphere 
- Auroral enhancement 
- Expansion of the auroral oval 
- Enhancement of cross polar cap potential and 
 strong anti-sunward convection in the polar cap
- Penetration of the high latitude electric field 
 to mid- and lower latitude region
- Plasmapause movement due to storm 
- Joule Heating in the high latitude upper 
 thermosphere
- F region ion density changes 
5Solar X-ray Flare 
 6SolarX- ray Flare of November 4, 2003 
 7Photo-ionization Thermosphere is heated 
by absorption of parts of the solar EUV 
spectrum Photons are sufficiently energetic to 
ionize the gas Ionospheric profile will 
differ from day to night Results in an 
electrically neutral plasma, mainly electrons and 
positive ions attachment processes can produce 
negative ions also Ionosphere stratified into D, 
E, F1, and F2 layers 
 8D Region Ionosphere enhancement During X-ray Flare 
 9Coronal Mass Ejection (CME)
- Coronal mass ejections (CME) are huge bubbles of 
 gas threaded with magnetic field lines that are
 ejected from the Sun over the course of several
 hours.
- Coronal mass ejections are often associated with 
 solar flares and prominence eruptions.
10CME Event Example 
 11IMF and Kp index
300
301
302
303
304
305
306 
 12Auroral Oval Expansion and Precipitation 
Enhancement During Geomagnetic Storm 
 13Solar Proton Event and Polar Cap Absorption Event
- Energetic solar protons (MeV) precipitate into 
 the polar cap through the open field lines.
- Strongly enhance the D-region ionosphere 
- Causing enhanced absorption of cosmic radio 
 noises ( 30 MHz), which are monitored by
 riometers (Relative Ionospheric Opacity METER) on
 the ground in the polar cap.
14Riometer Signal Level vs Quiet Day Curve 
 15Cosmic Radio Noise Absorption Due to A Polar Cap 
Absorption Event 
 16Equatorial Anomaly 
- Ionosphere enhancement on two sides of the 
 geomagnetic equator.
- Caused by the fountain effect from the F-region 
 eastward electric field.
- The F region eastward electric field is caused by 
 the E-region dynamo generated by the lower
 thermosphere neutral winds (mainly the diurnal
 tide).
- E-region dynamo can be affected by penetration of 
 high latitude electric field during geomagnetic
 storms
17Diagram for Equatorial Anomaly
E x B
E (eastward electric field) Looking west 
 18Equatorial Anomaly 
 19GPS TEC Observation of Equatorial Anomaly During 
Geomagnetic Storms 
 20Plasmasphere
- Plasma in donut shape corotates with the Earth 
- Cold (1 eV), 
- Dense (up to 103/cm) 
- Populated by the outflow of ionospheric plasma 
 along mid- and low-latitude magnetic field lines
 lt 60 MLAT
- H 80 , He 20
21Plasmasphere During Storms
- When the magnetosphere is disturbed by a magnetic 
 storm, enhanced convection "erodes" the outer
 plasmasphere, capturing plasma in the
 afternoon-dusk sector and transporting it outward
 and sunward toward the magnetopause. Some of the
 eroded plasma convected to the magnetopause may
 escape into the solar wind, while some is thought
 to be transported into the magnetotail and
 eventually into the plasma sheet.
- Following erosion, which can last hours to tens 
 of hours, plasma flowing upward along magnetic
 field lines from conjugate ionospheres begins to
 "refill" the depleted plasma trough and
 plasmasphere. Refilling of the plasmasphere
 typically requires several days.
22F-region Ionosphere Variation During Storms
- Enhanced polar cap ion convection due to increase 
 in the cross-polar-cap potential
- Energy transferred into 
- Kinetic energy (increase neutral winds in the 
 thermosphere)
- Joule heating (increase temperature in the 
 thermosphere)
- Raising molecular species into the upper 
 thermosphere
- Increase ion recombination and reduce the ion 
 density in the F-region
23TING Model Simulation of F-region Ionosphere 
During Storms 
 24Modeling Efforts in Our Group
- Center for Integrated Space Weather Modeling 
 (CISM) is a NSF supported Science and Technology
 Center started in August 2002 to build a
 comprehensive, physics-based computer model that
 can accurately simulate the complex, closely
 interconnected variables from explosions on the
 sun to aurora on the earth and almost everything
 in-between
- HAO is involved in the magnetosphere and 
 ionosphere coupling modeling.
- Thermosphere and Ionosphere Nested Grid model 
 (TING)
- The Whole Atmosphere Community Climate Model 
 (WACCM) is a comprehensive model of Earths
 atmosphere from the surface to 140 km.
- HAO is involved in modeling solar variability on 
 the middle and upper atmosphere and their
 possible links to the troposphere.
- Including the solar X-ray effects on the 
 ionosphere
- TIME-GCM The thermosphere-ionosphere-mesosphere-el
 ectrodynamics general circulation model
 (TIME-GCM) is the most elaborate of the
 upper-atmospheric TGCM's and it solves for global
 distributions of neutral and plasma temperatures,
 velocities, and compositions, including all of
 the species that are photochemically important in
 the mesosphere, thermosphere, and ionosphere.
- Including the proton event effect on the polar 
 cap ionosphere
25Simulation of E and F region enhancement during 
X-ray flare 
 26Collaboration between COSMIC Team and HAO group 
for Ionosphere Study
- Validation of the ionosphere model output. 
- Use COSMIC data as input for auroral oval 
 location.
- Testing X-ray flare effect on the ionosphere. 
- Examine the effect of the geomagnetic storm on 
 the equatorial anomaly (enhancement, asymmetry,
 and location).
- Study the polar cap absorption events to see how 
 the enhanced ionization can affect the
 ion-neutral coupling in the polar cap.
- Study the plasmasphere movement during storms. 
- Study F-region ionosphere variations during 
 storms.
- Model output can be used in COSMIC data inversion 
 as the first guess.