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METEOALARM Weather and natural hazards warnings

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EFAS, EFFIS. Windstorm, LM's . . . National level. Sat Obs, Sat Rep. forecasters ... EFAS, EFFIS. Windstorm . . . Coordination. data exchange. National levels ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: METEOALARM Weather and natural hazards warnings


1
  • METEOALARM Weather and natural hazards warnings
  • Michael Staudinger

2
One dimensional situation
3
Tourism - numbers
4
Tourism - numbers
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Tourism - numbers
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METEOALARM operational maps for today tomorrow
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METEOALARM operational maps for today tomorrow
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(No Transcript)
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METEOALARM operational maps for today tomorrow
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METEOALARM operational maps for today tomorrow
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3rd level information
12
METEOALARM warning scheduleRedagno 2006
Damage / Impact What to do? Used how often? (Area approx. 300 000 km2) Meteo Treshholds Rain area damage related
Green - - - usual phenomena Examples
yellow exposed objects (avoidable) caution with exposed activities gt 30 per year gt 54 mm/12h
orange general damages (not avoidable) keep informed in detail, follow advice of authorities 1 to 30 per year gt 80 mm/12h
red extreme damage and /or casualties extreme damage (mostly) on large areas, threatning life and properties (not avoidable, even in otherwise safe places) follow order of authorities under all circumstances be prepared for extraordinary measures less then 1 year large (5000km2) scale phenomena gt 140 mm/12h
13
METEOALARM warning scheduleRedagno 2006
Damage / Impact What to do? One word
Green - - - usual phenomena Weather report
yellow exposed objects (avoidable) caution with exposed activities Be aware!
orange general damages (not avoidable) keep informed in detail, follow advice of authorities Be prepared!
red extreme damage and /or casualties extreme damage (mostly) on large areas, threatning life and properties (not avoidable, even in otherwise safe places) follow order of authorities under all circumstances be prepared for extraordinary measures Take action!
14
Access to the METEOALARM Website
Hits up to 12 Mio/day (1 billion since start)
15
Statistics August 2007 April 2008
16
Feedback from users
  • System well understandable both by professionals
    and public
  • Most common requests
  • 1 Extension of warned parameters
  • Flood forecasts
  • Coastal sea area forecasts
  • 2 Direct input in other info systems
  • RSS feeds, CAP etc.
  • 3 More participating countries (Eastern
    Europe)
  • 4 Europe of regions
  • 5 Longer time periods for the warnings

17
1.1 Flood forecasts Austria
18
Optimized Forecasts
Combination of different input sources Numerica
l Models Know How of the Forecasters INCA
Nowcasting tool Hydro model interface
Hydro model
19
GFE grafic forecast editor
Modifications Area Time step Enhancement
diminuation smoothing
Control points (CP)
20
Homogenisation of forecasting work
forecasters discussion forum

21
decision tree for red
no red / lower level
criteria at one point/station
no red / lower level
area criteria (parameter) met?
no red / lower level
extreme impact possible 1
no red / lower level
Pos feedback from civ pro?
optional steps
red
1 might be caused by a combination of parameters
22
1.1 Decision team for red (flood)
  • Senior forecaster (teamleader)
  • Hydrologist
  • Board of institution
  • Expert on climate conditions
  • Media expert
  • Civil protection

23
1.1 Flood forecasts Austria
Rain and/or floods
Flood warning for Carinthia local floodings
expected from the afternoon onwards
ltlt link Meteo
Flood information
ltlt link Hydro
24
1.2 Coastal sea area warnings
25
1.2 Coastal sea area warnings
26
1.2 Coastal sea area warnings
  • Experiences
  • High number of accidents of weekend sailors
    limited experience
  • Warning products already existing, but not known
    across boarders
  • Simple colour code brings attention for further
    info

27
1.2 Coastal sea area warnings - coastal zones
28
1.2 Coastal sea area warnings - coastal zones
29
1.2 Coastal sea area warnings Guidance for
thresholds
Month
30
1.2 Coastal sea area warnings Warning scheme
31
2. Input in other Info systems
  • RSS feeds
  • CAP

32
2. Input in other Info systems
  • RSS feeds
  • CAP

33
2. More participating countries
  • Joined after project start
  • Operational In technical preparation
  • Slovakia Malta
  • Czech Republic Croatia
  • Slovenia Serbia
  • Poland Estonia
  • Romania Latvia

34
2. More participating countries
  • Necessities for new partners
  • EUMETNET Council agreement
  • Agreement with national Civil Protection
  • Quality control
  • Quality assurance
  • Cooperation with the MeteoAlarm forecasters /
    expert group
  • Technical abilities (GIS / XML etc.)

35
4. Europe of regions
36
5. 5 - day forecast (password protected
Intranet only)
Day 0
Day 1
(Internet)
Day 2
Day 3
Day 4
(Intranet)
37
5. 5 - day forecast (password protected
Intranet only)
Alert / Early Warning / watch / weather info for
day 3 to 5 Available at Partly on public
NMHS websites Intranet websites for Civil
Protection General media (warnings sell well)
38
5. 5 - day forecast (password protected
Intranet only)
Region Salzburg Day 0 Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4
Rain
Snow / Road conditions
Wind
Extreme Temperatures
39
Weather Service Info for Civil Protection
public
Civil protection
40
From Weather Services to Civil Protection
Infos for civil protection Scenarios Probabilite
s Detailed time line
public
Civil protection
41
From Weather Services to Civil Protection
Infos for civil protection Scenarios Probabilite
s Detailed time line etc. Infos for the
public Concise Clear advice Tangible
public
Civil protection
42
From data to warnings how do institutions
co-operate?
National level
In situ data
Meteo Models
Data exchange training
forecasters Hydrometeo e.g. SMHI
Civil protection SE (Protected website)
SE Media public
EFAS, EFFIS Windstorm, LMs . . .
Sat Obs, Sat Rep
43
Information flow of
meteo warnings
National levels
In situ data
Meteo Models
Civil protection SE nationally defined
datasets (Protected website)
SE Media public
forecasters Hydrometeo e.g. SMHI
Data exchange training
GMES Info EFAS, EFFIS Windstorm . . .
Sat Obs
Coordination data exchange
Coordination data exchange
Coordination data exchange
Coordination data exchange
Meteo e.g. FMI
In situ data
Civil protection SF nationally defined
datasets (Protected website)
Data training
SF Media public
Meteo Models
GMES Info EFAS, EFFIS Windstorm . . .
Data training
Hydro e.g. Finland
Sat Obs
44
proposed information
flow of meteo warnings
European level
EU Media Public www.meteoalarm.eu
EUMETNET meteoalarm Alert levels Day 1 2
In situ data
Forecasters Hydro / Met (Europe 30 other areas)
Meteo Models
Definition operational communication
EUMETNET meteoalarm / MIC Intranet Alerts Day 1
to 6
GMES Info EFAS, EFFIS Windstorm . . .
Sat Obs
Coordination data exchange
Coordination data exchange
Coordination data exchange
Coordination data exchange
National levels
In situ data
Meteo Models
Civil protection SE nationally defined
datasets (Protected website)
SE Media public
forecasters Hydrometeo e.g. SMHI
Data exchange training
ECMWF, Consortia, EUMETNET- WMO Programs, GMES,
commercial access . . .
GMES Info EFAS, EFFIS Windstorm . . .
Sat Obs
Meteo e.g. FMI
In situ data
Civil protection SF nationally defined
datasets (Protected website)
Data training
SF Media public
Meteo Models
GMES Info EFAS, EFFIS Windstorm . . .
Data training
Hydro e.g. Finland
Sat Obs
45
Many thanks for your attention!
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