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'Are there Shorfalls in MENA Trade?' by Miniesy-Nugent. Giuseppe De Arcangelis. University of Rome 'La Sapienza' 'Beyond Remittances... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Comments to


1
  • Comments to
  • Beyond Remittances in the MED
  • the financing of local development
  • by Romagnoli-Mengoni
  • Are there Shorfalls in MENA Trade?
  • by Miniesy-Nugent
  • Giuseppe De Arcangelis
  • University of Rome La Sapienza

2
Beyond Remittances...
  • Main question of the paper Can Migration Help
    LED in the MED? How?
  • Remittances, (i) to finance physical and human
    capital accumulation, but also consumption (ii)
    labor substitution effect
  • Accumulation of skills, conditional to return
    migration
  • Numerous examples reported from the literature
    (Mesnard, 2004 Dustmann-Kirchkamp, 2003 etc.)

3
Beyond Remittances ...
  • Excellent overview and presentation of the
    material
  • Open questions
  • Is there a MED specificity?
  • Can migration be particularly helpful in the MED,
    or not? Why?
  • Possible failures on the MED migrants' side (i)
    low saving rate, (ii) low altruism, (iii) low
    probability of return
  • Possible failures in the local environment (i)
    scarse market mechanisms, (ii) lack of
    functioning institutions, etc.

4
Beyond Remittances ...
  • Regarding A), there does not seem to be major
    differences with respect to other nationalities
  • Much more should be done to improve B)
  • Discussion on this

5
Are there Shortfalls...
  • Main question Is MENA intra-trade and world
    trade below or above potential?
  • Motivation trade and growth linkage
  • Impressive dataset!!!
  • Inclusion of many interesting additional
    variables to the original gravity (e.g. the
    government indicator)

6
Are there Shortfalls...
  • Interpretation of MENA2 and MENA2_World an
    effect on the intercept term for belonging to the
    MENA countries,...
  • but not on the slope what about if the slope is
    higher for some covariates?
  • Discussion what can explain the difference
    between trade potential and actual trade?
  • Some other technical questions
  • Why not including an importer and exporter
    distinction?
  • How do you deal with time-invariant variables
    (i.e. distance or area) in the panel estimation?
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