Eleni Karali PhD student

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An integrated approach for the analysis of rural
land use change

• Eleni Karali (PhD student)
• Centre for the study of environmental change and
  sustainability
• The University of Edinburgh

5th Annual International Sustainable Development
Conference Sustainability Creating the
Culture Inverness, Scotland, 12/13th November
2008
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outline
background ECOCHANGE approach conclusions

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background 1

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background 2

• ? ? ?
• 1. human dimension ecological
  studies

nature
society
2. conceptualisation of human behaviour 3.
nature of the traditional techniques

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background 3
nature - society
nature
society
models simulations

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ECOCHANGE 1
Advancing the understanding of the human-environme
nt interactions at a landscape level

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ECOCHANGE 2
Feedback
ECOSYSTEM SERVICES
SPECIES DISTRIBUTIONS MODEL
HABITAT MODEL
Feedback
Feedback
HUMAN BEHAVIOUR MODEL
Land Use Decisions
Landscape Metrics
Scenarios
EXOGENOUS DRIVERS
Scenarios
Scenarios

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approach 1
Agent-based models
structure
agents
environment
concepts
learning
adaptation
approach
rule-based
bottom-up

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approach 2
How can we inform human behaviour in agent-based
models of land use change?

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approach 3
Theory construction
Theory testing
Theoretical validation

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conclusions

• real-world heterogeneity
• limited human bias
• reliable and comparable data

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acknowledgements
ECOCHANGE project the Torrance Bequest Prof.
M.D.A. Rounsevell SERI WSL

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• Thank you
• for your attention
• Eleni Karali
• Email E.Karali_at_ed.ac.uk