Recovery Goal, Objectives, and Scenarios

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Recovery Goal, Objectives, and Scenarios

• Oregon Lower Columbia
• Recovery Plan
• April 18, 2006

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Hierarchical Viability Criteria(TRT recs)
ESU
ESU Status
Major Population Group, Strata, Geographic Region
Stratum 2
Stratum 3
Stratum 1
Pop Status
Pop Attributes
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ESU Criteria

• All historical strata should have low risk of
  extinction
• Until all ESU viability criteria are met, no
  population can deteriorate
• More pops should be targeted for recovery than
  needed (all attempts will not be successful)
• Case specific evaluation can provide exceptions

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Stratum Criteria

• How many and which populations?
• Should consider
• Catastrophes
• Diversity
• Metapopulation Process
• Historical Reference
• ROUGHLY greater of 2 or 50 of historical
  populations need to be viable

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Population Level Criteria

• Viable population is lt5 extinction risk in 100
  years
• Viable Salmonid Population (VSP) Parameters
• Abundance
• Productivity
• Spatial Structure
• Diversity

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Washingtons Approach

• NOAA approved interim plan April 2005
• Oregon populations considered in consultation
  with ODFW
• Oregon retained option to modify priorities and
  targets for Oregon populations

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Example Population Trajectories Corresponding to
Scenario Designations
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Oregon Can Do Better?

• Our Approach
• Aim high
• No initial population priorities
• Determine management actions to reach proposed
  goal
• Evaluate the feasibility of reaching proposed
  goal
• Choose preferred alternative

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Proposed Recovery Goal

• Populations of naturally produced salmon and
  steelhead are sufficiently abundant, productive,
  and diverse that the ESU as a whole
• (a) will be self-sustaining, and
• (b) will provide significant ecological,
  cultural, and economic benefits

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Recovery Objectives

• By the year 2050, Oregon intends to achieve the
  following objectives
• All Lower Columbia salmon and steelhead
  populations are highly viable ( 1 POE)
  throughout their historic range
• The majority of Lower Columbia salmon and
  steelhead populations are capable of contributing
  social, cultural, economic and aesthetic benefits
  on a regular and sustainable basis
• Out-of-basin limiting factors to recovery are
  reduced to the level that they do not pose a
  significant limitation on the beneficial effects
  of in-basin recovery efforts.

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Actions Needed to Accomplish theGoal and
Objectives

• Management actions are based on a strategic
  priority framework that recognizes the importance
  of protection, enhancement, and restoration
  throughout the life cycle of the species.
• Collaborative management processes and
  approaches, including both volunteer and
  incentive-based programs, encourage restoration
  of habitat.
• Agencies and residents employ a diversity of
  management approaches across the ESU which meets
  both social and biological objectives.

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This vision for recovery encompasses ESA
delisting goals in the sense that ESA delisting
goals would be achieved while working towards
this broader vision
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Recovery Targets forLower Columbia Coho
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Historical Comparisons?

• Columbia Basin 600,000 coho (Chapman 1986)
• 300-400k below Bonneville
• 80? Washington side (Cowlitz)
• Oregon tribs 60 80k
• LCFRB production potential
• 150,000
• Proposed Goal OR tribs 40-50 of historical

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Recovery Targets forWinter Steelhead
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Is Everything A Priority?

• Yes, but strategic priorities will emerge
• Range of fixes and response times will vary
• Funding constraints will force priority setting
• We will learn from our successes and mistakes
• Unforeseen circumstances

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Questions?