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Applied Welfare Economics Lecture 4

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Uncertainty about future health needs: insurance ... Incentives for Doctors in the UK to undersupply are mitigated because patients ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Applied Welfare Economics Lecture 4


1
Applied Welfare EconomicsLecture 4
  • Hamish Low

2
From Mr Evans Course
  • Optimal contracts in first best
  • complete risk sharing
  • Second best
  • incentive compatibility constraint
  • trade-off between providing incentives to work
    and providing risk sharing
  • second best optimal effort lower than first best
  • Examples
  • equal compensation principle (academics paid by
    research)
  • ratchett effect good performance today affects
    standard set for tomorrow

3
Outline Incentives in the Public Sector
  • Definitions of Efficiency
  • Incentive Contracts Health care
  • contracts for Doctors
  • equity
  • Competition and Quasi-Markets

4
Issues
  • Should competition or incentives within the
    public sector be used to improve public
    performance?
  • How should competition or incentives be used to
    improve public performance?
  • Changing competition, contracts and (maybe)
    ownership
  • which of these matters for outcomes?

5
Efficiency and Equity
  • Allocative efficiency
  • Resources are allocated such that marginal
    benefit equals marginal cost across all goods P
    MC
  • Productive efficiency
  • Cost minimisation produce at bottom of average
    cost curve
  • Equity
  • equality of opportunity
  • equality of outcome

6
Achieving Efficiency
Firm incentives perfect competition
Firm incentives monopoly
p
p
MC
MC
AC
AC
P
P
MC
Dd
MR
q
q
Neither productive nor allocative efficiency
Productive and allocative efficiency
7
Health Care
  • Patients lack information
  • about their needs
  • about options
  • about risks
  • Acquiring information is costly. Delegate this to
    doctors who provide the information.
  • Uncertainty about future health needs insurance
  • Adverse selection individuals know their health
    status better than the insurance company (no
    health insurance for over 65s in the US)
  • under-provision
  • Moral hazard health care is free to the patient
    and a third-party pays the doctor
  • over-provision

8
Incentive Contracts Doctors
  • Multiple principals (patients, insurance
    companies, govt)
  • incentive contracts less sharp
  • Multiple tasks
  • At general level efficiency and equity
    considerations
  • At specific level performance targets distort
    choices
  • incentive contracts less sharp

9
Incentive Contracts Doctors
  • Contracts in the US
  • Drs are paid according to the costs they incur by
    the insurance co.
  • Allocative efficiency P MC
  • No incentive to minimise costs no productive
    efficiency
  • Contracts in the UK
  • Primary care trusts are paid according to the
    number of patients on the Doctors books.
  • No increase in payment for incurring greater
    costs (eg more time, greater use of hospital
    resources, community care).
  • Productive efficiency minimise costs
  • No allocative efficiency P ? MC
  • Quality? Who assesses quality?

10
Efficiency Properties
Allocative efficiency
Productive efficiency (encourages innovation)
Trade-off between the two types of efficiency
whereas under perfect competition there is no
trade-off.
Two types of cost high and low Cost is partly
due to luck and partly due to effort
  • Fee-for-service is full insurance
  • Prospective payment is full incentives

11
Dynamic Efficiency Properties
  • What determines the size of the prospective
    payment?
  • costs actually incurred in the past?
  • how often is the size of the prospective payment
    recalculated?

12
Alternative Health Maintenance Organisations
  • US problem of Doctors over-supplying health care
    and not minimising costs
  • Doctors and insurance companies merge doctors
    bear the cost of over-supplying (correcting the
    externality)

13
Equity
  • Adverse selection issue lack of access to health
    care
  • make insurance compulsory
  • use taxation (ie forcing a pooling equilibrium
    and cross-subsidising the high-risk)
  • Should health care redistribute from the rich to
    the poor?
  • consumption externality? Transfers should be
    wisely spent (ie subsidise health care rather
    than giving income)
  • BUT
  • First best separate efficiency from equity.
    Price at marginal cost and redistribute through
    lump-sum taxes
  • Second best / D-M no lump-sum taxes, maintain
    production efficiency and redistribute through
    consumer prices

14
Quasi-Markets
  • Inefficiency due to lack of competition
  • introduce choice and lowers costs
  • Providers of services are rewarded for good
    performance by receiving more contracts
  • Health patients move to better Primary Trusts,
    more money
  • Education more pupils (better pupils?), more
    money

15
Quasi-MarketsCompetition in Health Care
  • Incentives for Doctors in the UK to undersupply
    are mitigated because patients can move Primary
    Trust
  • Purchaser provider split Primary Trusts decide
    which hospital should treat their patients and
    bargain over the price
  • hospitals compete over patients
  • But
  • Cream-skimming long-term ill excluded? No
    evidence.
  • Economies of scale only one local hospital
  • Long-term relationships damaged (second best
    world)
  • Who assesses quality? Doctors? Evidence that
    quality fell.
  • Incentives / contracts matter more than
    competition

16
Quasi-MarketsCompetition in Education
  • Finance follows pupils schools budgets are
    determined by the number of pupils
  • Information on school quality provided by league
    tables
  • BUT
  • Cream-skimming over-subscribed schools take only
    the best students, and this leads to better
    results
  • Focus on tasks that feed into information set
    (league tables)

17
Conclusions
  • Incentives
  • Contracts affect efficiency trade-off between
    allocative and productive efficiency
  • Sharper incentives difficult in public sector
    where multiple principals and multiple tasks
  • Different contracts lead to different outcomes
  • Competition
  • Quasi-market consumer choice leads to
    reallocation of resources
  • Limited information on choice (eg. league tables)
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