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Formation

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Ongoing work: comparing radar vs SYNOP cloudiness scores ... SCM ARPEGE (EUROCS, GATE, TOGA,BOMEX, ARM, ...) LAM ALADIN / coupled / 10 km ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Formation


1
Jean-Marcel Piriou Centre National de Recherches
Météorologiques Groupe de Modélisation pour
lAssimilation et la Prévision
Update on model developments Meteo-France NWP
models
CLOUDNET Workshop / Paris 4-5 April 2005
2
  • Summary
  • Update on model developments
  • Work done Validating models within CLOUDNET
    BLH, surface fluxes
  • Ongoing work comparing radar vs SYNOP cloudiness
    scores
  • Now available Model output on the new sites
  • Perspectives reading the CLOUDNET database in
    Toulouse

3
Update on model developments
4
Update on model developments
  • 2004-01 Sea ice masks from SSMI, relax towards
    NESDIS 0.5 SSTs, reduce snow evaporation rates,
  • 2004-03 Use AQUA radiances in data assimilation,
    interactive mixing length,
  • 2004-05 Cloudiness (more cirrus clouds, more
    cloudiness intermediate values), FMR radiation
    scheme (3h ARPEGE predictions, 1h assimilation)
  • 2004-10 Use AMSU-B data, Seawind Quickscat,

5
NWP GCM Climate GCM 25-70km operations
Limited area ALADIN
Mesoscale modelling 10km operations
  •  Unifying  SGS physical schemes
  • Radiation
  • Turbulence
  • SGS convection

Cloud Resolving Model AROME
Precipitating convective clouds explicitly taken
into account 2.5km operations ? 2008
Global ARPEGE, stretched regular grids
6
Validating models within CLOUDNET
7
Validating models within CLOUDNET Anne Mathieu
Selection of days between April and August
2003 Cabauw 95 days Chilbolton 81days SIRTA 75
days Models ARPEGE IFS Met-Office model
turbulent fluxes are not available RACMO
results are strange more test are
needed Comparisons between models and
observations done on an hourly basis
8
Validating models within CLOUDNET Anne Mathieu
  • Slightly better agreement than with the CLBH
    predicted
  • Essentially same flaws than the predicted CLBH.

9
Validating models within CLOUDNET Anne Mathieu
  • For selected days of cloudy convective boundary
    layer on the CLOUDNET stations
  • Boundary layer cloud base height predicted
    within more than 300m
  • 40 of the hours for IFS
  • 55 of the hours for ARPEGE.
  • Same behavior in the different stations.
  • ARPEGE
  • Under-estimation of the CLBH due to warm and
    humid biases at the surface
  • Essential condition to have a good prediction of
    dry and cloudy boundary layer diurnal cycle
    right surface field prediction.
  • Soil scheme
  • Surface layer scheme
  • Precipitations (convection)

10
Comparing radar vs SYNOP cloudiness scores
11
Comparing radar vs SYNOP cloudiness scores
  • The ARPEGE (Météo-France global model) cloudiness
    scores against CLOUDNET radars improved, as the
    scores against SYNOP became less good
  • The validation team has made a more extensive
    comparison CLOUDNET radars vs SYNOP total
    cloudiness
  • How to compute a good model equivalent to the
    SYNOP total, low, medium and high cloudiness?
  • Validating cloudiness more confident in
    radar/lidar validations than to SYNOP
    observations

12
Model output on the new sites
13
Model output on the new sites
  • Since 1st september 2002 sites Chibolton,
    Cabauw, Palaiseau
  • Since 16 March 2005 sites Lindenberg and
    Potenza, plus the 5 ARM sites Darwin, Manaus,
    Nauru, North Slope of Alaska, Southern Great
    Plains (10 sites daily, cron) Work done by
    François Vinit.

14
Perspectives
  • Reading in 2005 the CLOUDNET 10 sites database in
    Toulouse (François Vinit).
  • AROME (2.5km) model data

15
  • Summary
  • Update on model developments
  • Work done Validating models within CLOUDNET
    BLH, surface fluxes
  • Ongoing work comparing radar vs SYNOP cloudiness
    scores
  • Now available Model output on the new sites
  • Perspectives reading the CLOUDNET database in
    Toulouse

16
(No Transcript)
17
(No Transcript)
18
Global ARPEGE Aquaplanet mode
SCM ARPEGE (EUROCS, GATE, TOGA,BOMEX, ARM, )
Global regular ARPEGE / 4DVAR-ass. / 66 km
PHYSICS
LAM ALADIN / coupled / 10 km
Global stretched ARPEGE / 4DVAR-ass. / 20 to 200
km
19
Present operational schemes / modified in 2003 Under progress / Done in 2003
Radiation Geleyn and Hollingsworth (1979), Ritter and Geleyn (1992) More accurate infra-red exchanges between surface and layers
Cloudiness New scheme after Xu Randall 1996
Grid-scale cloud scheme Diagnostic in ql/i, all supersaturation removed, liquid/ice condensation ? T, melting/ freezing/ evaporation/ Kessler (1979), Clough and Franks (1991) Prognostic ql/i, qr/s
Subgrid-scale cloud scheme (convection) mass-flux scheme, CISK-type closure and triggering, water vapour budget using a Kuo-type closure, downdrafts, momentum flux Modified trigger functions (TKE, CIN) and cloud entrainment rates
Turbulence 1st order closure scheme after Louis (1979), Louis and al. (1981), using a flux-gradient K-theory with Ri dependency, variable roughness lengths over sea (Charnock Reduced turb. in st. cond. PrognosticTKE scheme, mixing  Betts  conservative variables thetal and qt instead of theta and qv
20
Description of the large-scale cloud and
precipitation scheme
21
Cloud scheme
  • Developed by P. Lopez (QJRMS, 2002)
  • Designed for variational assimilation of cloud
    and RR obs
  • Prognostic var Qc (cloud condensates) Qp
    (precip water)
  • Semi-lagrangian treatment of the fall of
    precipitation

(Lopez,2002)
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