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Sin t

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Modify dynamics of investment affected by the Dutch Disease ... Reform of Contracting Practices introducing Project Disaggregation ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Sin t


1
NOT AN OFFICIAL UNCTAD RECORD
ENERGY CLUSTERS AND SERVICES A STRATEGY FOR
DIVERSIFICATION AND SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT IN
OIL EXPORTING AFRICAN COUNTRIES
AN APPROACH TO TRADE LIBERALIZATION AND WTO
NEGOTIATIONS FROM AN OIL EXPORTING COUNTRY
PERSPECTIVE
Werner Corrales-Leal UNCTAD-Global Programme on
Globalization, Liberalization and Sustainable
Human Development Marrakech, April 2004

2
LIST OF CONTENTS
  • An approach for making trade integration
    supportive of development.
  • Market-friendly active policies for development
    An illustrative case in the Venezuelan Oil
    Sector.
  • Appendix Illustrations of the links between
    effectiveness of development strategies and WTO
    rules

3
PART ONE

An approach for making trade integration
supportive of development
Trade-supported Development Strategies
4
An approach for making trade integration
supportive of development
SOME IMPACTS OF LIBERALISATION ON DEVELOPING
ECONOMIES WORTH TO CONSIDER
  • Specific impacts on the productive bases of
    developing countries
  • Net positive creation of trade trade flows grow
    faster than GDP
  • Natural advantagesconfirmed as bases for
    further specialization
  • Most trade and FDI flows occur within TNC
    chains and networks
  • 40 of K flows to arbitrage high proportion of
    FDI does not generate X
  • 90 of K flows to twenty emerging markets (50
    in the 80s)
  • Success story of a few countries Active
    policies for competitiveness
  • Impacts on inequalities, at international and
    country level
  • LDCs marginalisation no sign of convergence
    uneven Welfare Gains
  • External shocks financial volatility, declining
    and unstable X prices
  • Destruction of traditional SMEs networks with no
    substitutes
  • Precarious employment conditions become
    structural after Adjustment

5
An approach for making trade integration
supportive of development

GUIDELINES FOR A DEVELOPMENT-SUPPORTIVE
INTEGRATION IN THE GLOBAL ECONOMY
  • Objectives in the three spheres of Sustainable
    Development
  • Macroeconomic and international finance
    orientations
  • Aims and strategic guidelines for
    trade-supported policies

6

An approach for making trade integration
supportive of development
THE NEED FOR ACTIVE POLICIES FOR DEVELOPMENT IN
OIL-EXPORTING COUNTRIES
  • Reduce dependency on current trade in commodities
  • Basis and intensity of competition erodes
    capacities for reinvestment
  • Commodity production has very limited networking
    or spill-over effects
  • Promote effective tech transfer and increase
    internal multipliers
  • Global Chain Optimisation Promote Clusters
    and insertion to Chains
  • Motivate and promote domestic RD and
    Technological Capacity Building
  • A Levelled playing field to negotiate
    alliances and complementarities
  • Modify dynamics of investment affected by the
    Dutch Disease
  • Modify trends extreme productivities and
    exchange rate appreciation
  • Incentivate Investment towards higher value
    added goods services

7
An approach for making trade integration
supportive of development
MANAGING TRADE INTEGRATION AFFECT THE RATIONALE
OF TRADE SURPLUS APPROPRIATION
  • Impinge on factors explaining growth in revenues
    and competitiveness
  • Active policies affecting Static factors
  • Export growth based on market access
  • Rents related to productivity, based on Best
    Global Practices
  • Productive linkages and networking enhancing
    domestic multipliers
  • Active policies enhancing Dynamic factors (
    Rents related to innovation )
  • Knowledge-enhanced productivity Innovation in
    processes and attributes
  • Strategic marketing differentiation life
    cycles of products..
  • Relieve constraints for adding value or
    appropriating trade surplus
  • Effective market access Ease traditional
    barriers and improve access to GVCs
  • Diversification Move away from extreme
    competition in commodities
  • Negotiations in Policy Space Level the playing
    field for Supply-side Policies
  • Networks and institutions Frameworks for
    learning and multiplying effects

8
An approach for making trade integration
supportive of development
MANAGING TRADE INTEGRATION
RELEVANT POLICY AREAS AND ENABLING FRAMEWORKS
NATIONAL ENABLING FRAMEWORKS
ACTIVE AND REGULATORY POLICIES (THE TOOL BOX)
9
An approach for making trade integration
supportive of development
COMPONENTS AND AIMS OF AN INTEGRATED
TRADE-SUPPORTED DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY
  • Trade-related policy areas
  • Strategic Policy Goals

Enhance social effectiveness of economic policy
ENTERPRISE DEVELOPMENT AND CLUSTERING,
PRODUCTIVITY INVESTMENT POLICIES
Improve internal multipliers of export-led growth
Improve productivity through technology
innovation
KNOWLEDGE, INNOVATION SYSTEMS
TECHNOLOGY TRANSFER POLICIES
Enhance market access and defense capabilities
Secure equilibrium and stability in in external
flows
POLICIES AND RULE MAKING IN INTERNATIONAL
TRADE AND INTEGRATION
Increase knowledge value diversification in
exports
Environmental concerns as cross-cutting policy
issues
10
An approach for making trade integration
supportive of development
SOME OPPORTUNITIES FOR SUPPLY-SIDE POLICIES
CONSISTENT WITH CURRENT WTO RULES
  • Market consistent investment-related policies
    for competitiveness
  • Conditioned access to FDI, as benefit in
    sectors reserved for national investment
  • Focalized promotion incentives to ToT, RD,
    Clustering and SME development
  • POE procurement promoting technological capacity
    building and SMEs clustering
  • Coordinated implementation of IPR , competition
    rules and RD programmes
  • Multilateral disciplines and issues involved in
    the immediate future
  • Subsidies (dual pricing in gas) tariffs
    tariff binding for value-added goods
  • Performance requirements for ToT, domestic
    capabilities development clustering
  • Energy services and GATS rules in general
  • Special and Differential Treatment Spaces for
    Development Policies in general
  • Eventual negotiations on investment, public
    procurement and competition

11
An approach for making trade integration
supportive of development
LINKAGES IN THE TWO DIMENSIONS OF TRADE AND
DEVELOPMENT POLICIES
SUPPLY SIDE TRADE-SUPPORTED POLICIES
DEMAND SIDE TRADE-SUPPORTED POLICIES
NATIONAL POLICIES FOR INTERNATIONAL TRADE AND
INTEGRATION
12
PART TWO
  • Market friendly policies for development
    An illustrative case in the Venezuelan Oil Sector

13

The use of Market-Friendly Active Policies, a
case of the Oil Sector in Venezuela
1980 MAIN CHALLENGES IN THE SECTOR RELATED TO
TECHNOLOGICAL CAPABILITIES
  • Strategic need to reduce Technological
    Dependence on TNCs
  • Pre-existing contracts for the provision of
    technology and engineering
  • Only 15 of the engineering capital goods
    procurement was national
  • Objective shortages in Technological
    Capabilities in the Country
  • Almost inexistent RD Capabilities in the sector
    (PDVSA or elsewhere)
  • Only 5 construction management firms capable of
    major assignments
  • About 20 engineering companies for projects of
    medium complexity
  • Doubts and confidence after only 5 years of the
    nationalization
  • Public doubts about the success of the Capacity
    Building Program
  • Decision to face the program on a Market
    Friendly basis
  • Firm commitment of PDVSA and the Venezuelan
    private sector


14

The use of Market-Friendly Active Policies, a
case of the Oil Sector in Venezuela
THE STRATEGY FOR CAPACITY BUILDING IN RD,
ENGINEERING AND CONSTRUCTION SERVICES
  • Creation of a High Quality Research
    Development Organization
  • Creation and development of INTEVEP
  • Establishment policy for Transfer of Technology
    on Commercial Basis
  • Massive program for training human resources in
    research fields
  • Promotion of Capital Goods Manufacturing and
    Service SMEs
  • Implementation of Quality Assurance and
    Competitiveness Programs
  • Export Promotion Program
  • Incentives for Chains of Suppliers Development
    Programs
  • Promotion of Engineering and Construction
    Management firms
  • Non Mandatory Performance Requirements for Joint
    Ventures
  • Reform of Contracting Practices introducing
    Project Disaggregation
  • Continuous Improvement and Quality Control
    Practices in all Contracts



15
The use of Market-Friendly Active Policies, a
case of the Oil Sector in Venezuela
LONG TERM EVOLUTION OF THE ENGINEERING AND
CONSTRUCTION SERVICES 1980 - 2000
  • Very high improvement in Technological
    Capabilities
  • Highly skilled jobs,sources of Added Value and
    backward links created
  • Further evolution of Engineering Construction
    to Integrated Services

16
PART FOUR
Appendix Illustrations of the links
between effectiveness of development strategies
and WTO rules
17
The links between effectiveness of strategies
and WTO rules
ILLUSTRATION OF LINKS IN A TRADE-SUPPORTED
STRATEGY FOR OIL- EXPORTING COUNTRIES
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT OBJECTIVES
POLICY GOALS OF OIL EXPORTING COUNTRIES
WTO FRAMEWORK OF RULES
Support micro-enterprise coops networks
output growth upgrade
Support and actively enforce environmental
adequacy of industries
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