Natural Gas in the Northwest: An Assessment of Supply, Demand and Deliverability

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Natural Gas in the NorthwestAn Assessment of
Supply, Demand and Deliverability
Energy Policy Division
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Natural Gas Producing Regions and Major Pipelines
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Natural Gas Pipelines in Washington
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Natural Gas Service Areas in Washington
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Gas Consumption for Electricity Generation, WSCC
Region
1/99
2/99
6/99
7/99
8/99
9/99
10/99
11/99
12/99
1/00
8/00
9/00
2/00
3/00
4/00
5/00
6/00
7/00
4/99
5/99
3-99
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Gas Consumption for Electricity Generation, WSCC
Region
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Spot Market Prices at Sumas, Washington
6/99
7/99
8/99
9/99
10-99
11/99
12/99
1/00
2/00
3/00
4/00
5/00
6/00
6/00
8/00
9/00
10/99
11/00
12/00
1/01
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Monthly Average Natural Gas Electricity Spot
Market Prices
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Residential Natural Gas Bill for 1999, 2000, and
2001
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Washington Gas Consumption, 1990-2010
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Existing Natural Gas-Fired Power Plants
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Permitted Gas-Fired Power Plants
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Proposed Gas-Fired Power Plants
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Wind Farms
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Washington Gas Consumption with Permitted Gas
Plants
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Washington Gas Consumption, Permitted Proposed
Gas Plants
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Delivery Capability on Pipelines Serving the
Northwest
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Working Gas in Washington Storage Facilities
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Natural Gas-Fired Turbines in Review or Approved
as of 1/16/01
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Global Natural Gas Reserves
Source Energy Information Administration,
International Energy Outlook 1997
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US and Canadian Reserves
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Western Canadas Gas Endowment
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Average Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin Gas
Pool Size
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Natural Gas Wells Drilled in Canada, 1995-2000
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Canadian Gas Production Reserve to Production
Ratio
Source National Energy Board of Canada
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Projected Canadian Gas Production
Source National Energy Board of Canada
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Depletion of North American Endowment (No
Backstop Case)
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Depletion of North American Endowment (Backstop
Case)
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Policy Implications

• Increasing price risk to existing consumers
• Fuel switching
• Diesel price risk
• Increased emissions
• Increased volatility in gas and electric prices
• Strategic

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Next Steps-Analysis

• Expand to westwide
• California increase in demand-gas
• Infrastructure capabilities expansions
• Reserves
• Impacts from Alliance Pipeline