Air Emission trends in Russia and Asia 19902030

1
Air Emission trends in Russia and Asia
(1990-2030)

• Zbigniew KlimontInternational Institute for
  Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Laxenburg,
  Austria

2
Summary of RAINS coverageDatabases for the
period 1990-2030

• Russia Administrative units (24 provinces)
  Pollutants SOx, NOx, PM, CO, CO2, BC, OC
• South-East AsiaDistinguishing for most
  countries (24) administrative units (95 in
  total), e.g., provinces in China Pollutants
  SOx, NOx, CO, CO2, NMVOC, NH3, BC, OC (working on
  PM)

3
Emissions of air pollutants in South-East Asia
- For BC and OC emissions multiplied by factor
10!
4
SO2 emissions projections for South-East Asia
The 1994 vs. 2000 perspective
Mt
1994 perspective
2000 perspective
MFR
5
SO2 emissions projections for China and Japan
JAPAN
CHINA
Mt
Mt
MFR
MFR
6
NOx emissions projections for South-East Asia
Mt
MFR
7
NOx emissions projections for China and Japan
JAPAN
CHINA
Mt
MFR
MFR
8
Regional contributions to Asian SO2 and NOx
emissions
NOx
SO2
9
Black Carbon emissions projections for Asia
Mt
MFR
10
BC emissions projections for China and Japan
JAPAN
CHINA
Mt
MFR
MFR
11
Organic Carbon emissions projections for Asia
Mt
MFR
12
OC emissions projections for China and Japan
JAPAN
CHINA
Mt
MFR
MFR
13
Regional contributions to Asian BC and OC
emissions
OC
BC
14
Emissions of air pollutants in Russia
- For BC and OC emissions multiplied by factor
10!
15
SO2 and NOx emissions projections for Russia
NOx
SO2
Mt
MFR
MFR
16
PM2.5 and BC emissions projections for Russia
BC
PM2.5
Mt
MFR
MFR
17
Anthropogenic NMVOC projection for East Asia
18
Structure of NMVOC emissions in 1995 for selected
countries in East Asia
19
Structure of VOC emissionsfor selected countries
20
Per capita VOC emission rates in selected
countries, (kg/capita)
21
Emissions of ammonia in East Asia(Mt NH3)
22
NH3 emission structure in China and other regions
in 1990
23
Regional contributions to East-Asian NH3 and
NMVOC emissions
NMVOC
NH3
24
Some of the results are published in

• Kupiainen, K. and Klimont, Z. (2004), Primary
  Emissions of Submicron and Carbonaceous Particles
  in Europe and the Potential for their Control.
  IR-04-079, IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria.
• Bond, T.C., Streets, D.G., Yarber, K.F., Nelson,
  S.M., Woo, J-H., Klimont, Z. (2004), A
  Technology-Based Global Inventory of Black Carbon
  and Organic Carbon Emissions from Combustion.
  Journal of Geophysical Research.
• Klimont, Z., Streets, D.G., Gupta, S., Cofala,
  J., Fu, L., Ichikawa, Y. (2002) Anthropogenic
  emissions of non-methane volatile organic
  compounds in China. Atmospheric Environment, 36,
  1309-1322
• Klimont, Z., Cofala, J., Schoepp, W., Amann, M.,
  Streets, D.G., Ichikawa, Y., Fujita, S. (2001)
  Projections of SO2, NOx, NH3, and VOC Emissions
  in East Asia up to 2030. Water, Air, and Soil
  Pollution, vol.130193-198
• Klimont, Z. (2001) Current and Future Emissions
  of Ammonia in China. Proceedings of the 10th
  International Emission Inventory Conference One
  Atmosphere, One Inventory, Many Challenges,
  Denver, CO, April 30 May 3rd, 2001. Paper
  available at http//www.epa.gov/ttn/chief/confere
  nce/ei10/index.html
• TRACE-Pemission data sets availableD. Streets
  et al. (2003) Journal of Geophysical Research and
  Web site