Dr. Musa Shteiwi

1
National Poll 3 of Jordanian Public Opinion
on Democratic Transformation and Political
Reform in Jordan

• Dr. Musa Shteiwi

Jordan Center for Social Research An Independent,
Non-Profit Think Tank Amman - Jordan
2
Contents

• Poll Objectives
• Poll Sample
• Poll Outcomes

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Poll Sample

• The sample consisted of 1000 persons (50 males
  and 50 females) who are 18 years or older.
• The sampling methodology used was a random
  cluster sample which included 100 sites all over
  the Kingdom. The margin of error is 2.5.
• The frame of the 2004 census was used (courtesy
  of the Jordanian Department of Statistics.)
• The field work for the poll was conducted between
  the 9tth and 14th of May 2006 by Middle East
  Marketing and Research Consultants.
• The poll was conducted with the support of the
  International Republican Institute (IRI).

4
Poll ObjectivesJCSR and its partners produced
their first and second national polls in
September and December 2005. The main objective
of this third poll is to examine Jordanian public
opinion regarding issues related to the process
of democratic transformation and political
reform, including the following issues

• The most important challenges facing Jordanian
  society
• Public perceptions of justice and procedural
  fairness
• Levels of trust in national institutions
• Levels of support for various electoral models
• Public support for various political tendencies
• Public knowledge, membership , and support for
  various political parties.

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Summary of the Polls Most Important Findings
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IN GENERAL, ARE THINGS IN JORDAN GOING IN THE
RIGHT DIRECTION OR THE WRONG DIRECTION?
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TAKING ALL THINGS INTO CONSIDERATION, WHAT IS THE
MOST IMPORTANT PROBLEM FACING JORDAN TODAY?
(OPEN ENDED) May 2006
8
TAKING ALL THINGS INTO CONSIDERATION, WHAT IS THE
MOST IMPORTANT PROBLEM FACING JORDAN TODAY? (OPEN
ENDED)/ DECEMBER 2005
9
TAKING ALL THINGS INTO CONSIDERATION, WHAT IS THE
MOST IMPORTANT PROBLEM FACING JORDAN TODAY? (OPEN
ENDED)/ September 2005
10
TAKING ALL THINGS INTO CONSIDERATION, WHAT IS THE
MOST IMPORTANT POLITICAL PROBLEM/ISSUE FACING
JORDAN TODAY (OPEN-ENDED) / May 2006
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TAKING ALL THINGS INTO CONSIDERATION, WHAT IS THE
MOST IMPORTANT POLTICAL PROBLEM FACING JORDAN
TODAY? (OPEN ENDED)/ DECEMBER 2005
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TAKING ALL THINGS INTO CONSIDERATION, WHAT IS THE
MOST IMPORTANT POLTICAL PROBLEM FACING JORDAN
TODAY? (OPEN ENDED)/ SEPTMEBER 2005
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WHICH ONE OF THE FOLLOWING STATEMENTS DO YOU
CONSIDER CLOSEST TO YOUR OPINION?
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THINGS BEING AS THEY ARE AT PRESENT, IN WHICH OF
THE FOLLOWING SITUATIONS ONE HAS A GOOD CHANCE TO
GET FAIR AND JUST TREATMENT? May 2006
15
THINGS BEING AS THEY ARE AT PRESENT, IN WHICH OF
THE FOLLOWING SITUATIONS HAS ONE A GOOD CHANCE TO
GET FAIR AND JUST TREATMENT? DECEMBER 2005
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I WILL MENTION SEVERAL INSTITUTIONS/ORGANIZATIONS
TO YOU. PLEASE TELL ME IF YOU FULLY TRUST THEM,
SOMEWHAT TRUST THEM, OR DO NOT TRUST THEM AT ALL
May, 2006
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THINK OF A SITUATION IN WHICH MANY PEOPLE ARE
DISSATISFIED WITH THE GOVERNMENT AND WANT TO
CHANGE IT. WHICH OF THE FOLLOWING DO YOU CONSIDER
APPROPRIATE OR NOT APPROPRIATE?/ May, 2006
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THINK OF A SITUATION IN WHICH MANY PEOPLE ARE
DISSATISFIED WITH THE GOVERNMENT AND WANT TO
CHANGE IT. WHICH OF THE FOLLOWING DO YOU CONSIDER
APPROPRIATE OR NOT APPROPRIATE?/ DECEMBER 2005
19
THINK OF A SITUATION IN WHICH MANY PEOPLE ARE
DISSATISFIED WITH THE GOVERNMENT AND WANT TO
CHANGE IT. WHICH OF THE FOLLOWING DO YOU CONSIDER
APPROPRIATE OR NOT APPROPRIATE?/ SEPTEMBER 2005
20
TO WHAT DEGREE DO YOU THINK THAT THE FREEDOM TO
CRITICIZE THE GOVERNMENT DECISIONS AND POLICIES
IS GUARANTEED IN JORDAN/ May, 2006
21
TO WHAT DEGREE DO YOU THINK THAT THE FREEDOM TO
CRITICIZE THE GOVERNMENTS DECISIONS AND
POLICIES IS GUARANTEED IN JORDAN/ DECEMBER 2005
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TO WHAT DEGREE DO YOU THINK THE FREEDOM OF
Criticizing the government publicly IS
GUARANTEED IN JORDAN/ SEPTEMBER 2005
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WHICH METHOD OF ELECTIONS DO YOU THINK IS MOST
APPROPRIATE FOR JORDAN?May, 2006
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WHICH METHOD OF ELECTIONS DO YOU THINK IS MOST
APPROPRIATE? DECEMBER 2005
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LET US SUPPOSE THAT THE MIXED ELECTION SYSTEM
HAS BEEN SELECTED DO YOU AGREE THAT THE VOTER
SHOULD HAVE.? May, 2006
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LET US SUPPOSE THAT THE MIXED ELECTION SYSTEM
HAS BEEN SELECTED DO YOU AGREE THAT THE VOTER
SHOULD HAVE.? DECEMBER 2005
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LET US SUPPOSE THAT VOTERS WERE GIVEN ONE VOTE
ONLY, WHICH ONE WOULD YOU GIVE YOUR VOTE TO? May,
2006
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LET US SUPPOSE THAT VOTERS WERE GIVEN ONE VOTE
ONLY, WHICH ONE WOULD YOU GIVE YOUR VOTE TO?
DECEMBER 2005
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DO YOU SUPPORT THE DISSOLUTION OF THE CURRENT
PARLIAMENT AND HOLDING EARLY PARLIAMENTARY
ELECTIONS? May, 2006
30
DO YOU SUPPORT THE DISSOLUTION OF THE CURRENT
PARLIAMENT AND HOLDING EARLY PARLIAMENTARY
ELECTIONS? DECEMBER 2005
31
IF PARLIAMENTARY ELECTIONS WERE HELD TODAY, WHICH
POLITICAL TENDENCY WOULD YOU MOST LIKELY TO VOTE
FOR?/ May, 2006
32
IF PARLIAMENTARY ELECTIONS WERE HELD TODAY, WHICH
POLITICAL TENDENCY WOULD YOU MOST LIKELY VOTE
FOR?/ DECEMBER 2005
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IF PARLIAMENTARY ELECTIONS WERE HELD TODAY, WHICH
POLITICAL TENDENCY WOULD YOU MOST LIKELY VOTE FOR
September 2005
34
A NEW MUNICIPAL LAW IS SUPPOSED TO BE ISSUED
SOON. TO WHAT DEGREE DO YOU KNOW ABOUT IT
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THE NEW DRAFT LAW,PROPOSED A 20 QUOTA OF SEATS
FOR WOMEN IN THE MUNICIPAL COUNCILS. DO YOU OR DO
YOU NOT AGREE WITH THIS?
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IF MUNICIPAL ELECTIONS WERE TO BE HELD IN THE
NEAR FUTURE, WILLYOU PARTICIPATE IN THE ELECTIONS
OR NOT?
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HAVE YOU EVER BEEN A MEMBER OF ANY POLITICAL
PARTY IN JORDAN?
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WHAT IS THE NAME OF THE LAST PARTY THAT YOU HAVE
BEEN A MEMBER OF?
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ARE YOU STILL A MEMBER OF THAT PARTY?
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ARE YOU THINKING OF BECOMING A MEMBER OF ANY
POLITICAL PARTY IN THE NEXT 12 MONTHS?
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WHAT IS THE NAME OF THE POLITICAL PARTY THAT YOU
ARE THINKING TO BECOME A MEMBER OF?
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IN CASE, PARLIAMENTARY ELECTIONS WHERE HELD IN
THE NEAR FUTURE, WOULD YOU VOTE FOR A CANDIDATE
FROM ANY OF THE POLITICAL PARTIES IN JORDAN?
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TO WHICH PARTY WOULD YOU VOTE FOR?
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HAVE YOU EVER HEARD OR READ ANYTHING ABOUT THE
FOLLOWING POLITICAL PARTIES?
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IN THE SITUATION WHERE THERE IS A NEW
PARLIAMENTARY ELECTION IN JORDAN, WHAT IS THE
LIKELIHOOD OF GIVING YOUR VOTE TO A CANDIDATE
FROM THE FOLLOWING PARTY?
46
THERE WAS A LOT OF DISCUSSION ABOUT A NEW
POLITIAL PARTY LAW, TO WHAT DEGREE ARE YOU
INFORMED ABOUT THE CONTENT OF THE LAW?
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DOES THE NEW LAW ENCOURAGE YOU TO ELONG TO ANY OF
THE POLITICAL PARTIES IN JORDAN?
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DID YOU HEAR OR READ ANYTHING ABOUT THE NATIONAL
AGENDA?
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TO WHAT DEGREE ARE YOU IFNORMEDABOUT THE
SUGGESTIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS OF THE NATIONAL
AGENDA?
50
HAVE YOU VISITED THE WEBSITE OF THE NATIONAL
AGENDA ON THE INTERNET?