DTI Energy And Emissions Projections 24 May 2006

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DTI Energy And Emissions Projections24 May 2006

• Modelling Team
• Energy Sustainability Economics
• DTI

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Changes in Fossil Fuel Price Assumptions

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Comparison of Price assumptions with other
forecasters
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Comparison of Price assumptions with other
forecasters ctd
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Comparison of Price assumptions with other
forecasters ctd
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Changes in UK Household Projections from ODPM
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Changes in Manufacturing Growth from OEF
resulting from Budget 2006
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Changes in Manufacturing Growth from OEF
resulting from Budget 2006 ctd
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Impact Summary
Demand Sectors

• Decreases
• Lower Manufacturing growth
• Announced new measures in CCPR
• Fossil fuel price impact
• Lower own generation

• Increases
• Due to HH changes
• Higher growth in services
• Fossil fuel price impact

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Impact Summary ctd
ESI

• Decreases
• Revised coal capacity
• Load factors
• Competitiveness

• Increases
• Higher residential demand
• Relative fuel prices
• Higher demand in industry and services due to
  shift from CHP