The New Economy Kentucky Faces the Future

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The New EconomyKentucky Faces the Future

• KSBA Conference
• February 11 12, 2005

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• 3 questions that often accompany education
  change
• 1. How do we change our schools?
• 2. What needs to be done?
• 3. Why change our schools?

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• What does the future hold?

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What does tomorrow look like for science?

• KSTC Survey of Critical Technologies
• From the Preface
• The economy is being transformed by many
  exciting new technologies emerging from research
  labs worldwide which must be introduced
  appropriately into learning experiences at
  various levels throughout the education
  enterprise.

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• The 25 terms

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(No Transcript)
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• Bioinformatics
• Biomaterials
• Biopolymers
• Bioremediation
• Biotechnology

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• Celestial mining
• Data mining
• E-Business
• Fuel cell
• Gene therapy

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• Genomics
• Green technology
• Intellectual property
• Nanotechnology
• Natural products

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• Proteomics
• Quantum computing
• Recombinant DNA
• Smart materials
• Stem cells

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• What do these terms mean to students in your
  district?
• Without a commitment to innovative education
  solutions, those terms will continue to mean very
  little to your students.

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In the innovation ecosystem, there are three
foundational requirements The quality of the
labor pool The societys capacity to take risks,
especially for long-term investment The
continual creation of an infrastructure that
anticipates future innovation
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• Four observations to consider
• 1. Kentucky is unprepared and is not adequately
  preparing for a knowledge-based economy.
• 2. Our future as a state depends on our
  preparation.
• 3. There are solutions.
• 4. We all have a role to play in providing
  solutions.

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• What if we make it more personal . . .
• 1. Odds are that students in your district are
  not prepared, and like most students in Kentucky,
  are not being adequately prepared to live in the
  midst of a knowledge-based economy.
• Your districts future is dependent on that
  preparation.
• 3. There are solutions to help your students and
  your communities.
• 4. As Board members, you have a key role to play
  in providing solutions.

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Regions that accumulate the most human capital
will prosper in the 21st century economy.
Source Strategic Plan for the Office for the New
Economy 2002
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Kentuckys ability to sustain and propel a 21st
century Knowledge-based economy is dependent on
intellectual capital.
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• The need to improve intellectual capital via
  schools in not new!

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Observation 1
1. Kentucky is unprepared and is not adequately
preparing for a knowledge-based economy.
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Current data paint a bleak picture for our
future. . . Source US Census Data, 2000
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With regards to the number of adult Kentuckians
with less than a 9th grade education . . .
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• US average 7.4
• KY average 11.7
• 110 KY counties above the national average

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• Adults with less than a 9th grade education
• US Average 7.4
• Oldham 4.8
• Boone 4.8
• Fayette 5.1
• Jefferson 5.1

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• US Average 7.4
• Magoffin 28.5
• Clinton 29.3
• Clay 31.9
• Owsley 33.8

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Counties exceeding the national rate (7.4) for
more than a 9th grade education among adults 25
10/120 counties
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With regards to adult Kentuckians who have at
least a high school diploma . . .
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Adults (25 and over) with a HS Diploma US
average 80.4 KY average 74.1 109 KY
counties below the national average
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• Adults with at least a HS diploma
• U.S. Average 80.4
• Woodford 82.6
• Boone 85.1
• Fayette 85.8
• Oldham 86.5

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• Adults with at least a HS diploma
• U.S. Average 80.4
• Lee 50.9
• Magoffin 50.1
• Clay 49.4
• Owsley 49.2

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Counties at or above the national average (80.4)
for adults 25 with a high school diploma.
11/120 counties
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HS Diploma by county
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With regards to the number of Kentuckians with a
college degree . . .
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• Adults with at least a BA
• US average 24.4
• KY average 20.8
• 115 KY counties below the national average

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BA holders
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• Adults with at least at least a BA
• US Average 24.4
• Jefferson 24.8
• Woodford 25.9
• Oldham 30.6
• Fayette 35.6

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• Adults with at least at least a BA
• US Average 24.4
• Leslie 6.3
• Lee 6.3
• Magoffin 6.3
• Edmonson 4.9

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Counties exceeding the national average (24.4)
of adults ages 25 with 4 or more years of
college. 5/120 counties
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BA Attainment by County in Kentucky
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• How do these figures influence your community?
• Keep in mind that the average life time earning
  difference between a person with a high school
  diploma and a person with a BA is approximately
  1,000,000 . . .

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• Do the math --
• Use the U.S. Census data to calculate the
  increased revenue if you were just at the 2000
  U.S. average.
• 1 local tax 10,000 250/yr
• 4 state tax 40,000 1000/yr

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• Where does Kentucky stand for meeting the needs
  of the 21st Century workforce?

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• MIT economist David Birch noted in 1983
• Youre like a Third World country within the
  United States. Your economy is dead because
  youve got the most poorly educated work force in
  America. To become prosperous, you must improve
  your schools and colleges.

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• The reality is . . .
• In 1990, Kentucky was 49th in high school
  completions and GEDs

ThinkLink
1990 Census, Adults 18-64
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• But that was before we began to feel the effects
  of KERA.

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From 1990 - 2000
ThinkLink
Adults 18-64, Decennial Census 1990, 2000
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But . . .

• In 2000, Kentucky still ranked only 46th in high
  school completions and GEDs

Adults 18-64 2000 Census
ThinkLink
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• Result
• we are a poor state
• with a great education system . . .
• educating other peoples
  workforce.

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• Is this true in your district?

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• Does your district have good schools?

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• If your district has good schools why think
  about changes?

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• Redefining the enemy
• Jim Collins in Good to Great
• We dont have great schools, principally because
  we have good schools.

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• In Kentucky we are firmly on the road
• From Good to . . .
• Gooder

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• We know our education system is not preparing
  our children to succeed in a new, technologically
  based economy.
• Source Lexington Herald-Leader December 12, 2004

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• The needs of the 21st Century workforce have
  changed significantly.

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Changes in Workforce Needs
1997
1950
Unskilled 15
Skilled 20
Skilled 65
Professional 20
Unskilled 60
Professional 20
ThinkLink
National Summit on 21st Century Skills for 21st
Century Jobs
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1970s

1990s
2010s
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• What skills are important for success in the 21st
  Century?

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• Literacy and the ability to learn and adapt are
  the skills required for a knowledge worker.

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Lexile Framework

• Semantic Difficulty
• Syntactic Complexity

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http//www.lexile.com/DesktopDefault.aspx?viewed
tabindex6tabid181
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Lexile Literature

• 400 - Frog and Toad are Friends
• 500 - The Magic School Bus Inside the Earth
• 800 - The Adventures of Pinocchio
• 900 - Tom Swift in the Land of Wonders
• 1000 - Black Beauty
• 1100 - Pride and Prejudice
• 1200 - War and Peace
• 1300 - Brown vs. Board of Ed.
• 1400 - The Scarlet Letter
• 1500 - On Ancient Medicine

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Lexile Texts

• 300 - My World Harcourt Brace
• 500 - People and Places Silver Burdett Ginn
• 700 - World Explorer The U.S. Canada Prentice
  Hall
• 900 - World Cultures A Global Mosaic Prentice
  Hall
• 1100 - America Pathways to Present Prentice
  Hall
• 1300 - Psychology An Introduction Prentice Hall
• 1500 - The Making of Memory From Molecules to
  MindDoubleday

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Newspapers

• 1200 USA Today
• 1310 Associated Press
• 1310 Chicago Tribune
• 1320 Wall Street Journal
• 1350 Washington Post
• 1380 NY Times
• 1440 Reuters

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Personal Use

• 1080 CD DVD Player Instructions
• 1150 G.M. Protection Plan
• 1150 Microsoft Windows User Manual
• 1170 Installing Your Child Safety Seat
• 1260 Federal Tax Form W-4
• 1270 Application for Student Loan
• 1280 Medical Insurance Benefit Package
• 1360 Aetna Health Care Discount Form

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Medical Academy

Lexile Range
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Construction

 
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Manufacturing

 
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• With open admissions institutions, virtually
  anyone can go to college, and the vast majority
  of high school seniors intend to. But about half
  who go never earn a degree 52 percent of those
  with C averages or lower in high school do not
  earn even one college credit.

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• Remember the 25 terms for New Economy Science?
• How are the schools in your district planning to
  respond?

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School systems focus
Community priorities
Community opportunities
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• If the schools lag behind community workplace
  needs the result is lost business opportunities.
• The parable of the coal company

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• If community priorities and opportunities lag
  behind schools advances, the result is brain
  drain.
• The example of Graves County

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• You are not alone . . .
• In 1995-2000 Kentuckys largest population loss
  was in adults ages 22-29 with a BA (1398)
• In 1995-2000, Kentuckys largest population gain
  was in adults ages 22-29 who were high school
  dropouts (6,264).

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• What can be done in your district to keep or
  bring back your best and brightest?

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• Its not just people who migrate . . .
• opportunities continuously migrate as well.

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Competition for unskilled labor . . . Take a
lesson from Western Kentucky
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• Clinton, Kentucky recently landed 100 jobs from
  Peerless Premiere (stove maker)
• Wages will average 8/hr instead of the 13/hr in
  Belleville, Illinois where they had been located.

Source Lexington Herald-Leader, January 27, 2005
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• If you look at India, China, and Russia even
  if you discount 90 percent of the people there as
  uneducated farmersyou still end up with about
  300 million people who are educated. Thats
  twice the size of the entire U.S. work force.
• Bob Herbert, New York Times

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• Are you still wondering Why change MY districts
  schools?

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Observation 2

• 2. Our success as a state is dependent on how we
  meet this challenge.

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• Making the necessary changes may seem like a
  heavy task . . .

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• The solution is not to educate students in your
  district more efficiently and effectively . . .
• for the 20th century.

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• What can be done K-16?
• A look at options
• Stay the course
• Change the course

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Observation 3

• 3. There are solutions to change your districts
  future.

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• A key ingredient to success is . . .
• Implementation of a common strategy among
  education, government agencies, and business.

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• Every discussion about economic development in
  your community must include an aggressive
  education element.

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• Take time to take a look at opportunities for
  each group to contribute to reaching the common
  goals.

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• At the State level, other changes are in progress
  . . .

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• Refocusing Secondary Work
• Focus on learning not time
• End of Course assessments
• Replacing the PreCollege Curriculum with a 21st
  Century Kentucky Curriculum
• Extended Learning Opportunities

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Observation 4

• 4. We all have a role to play in the resolution
  of this problem.

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• You need to be committed to what it will take for
  your district to compete in the Knowledge
  Economy.

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• What will the solutions and the commitment to the
  solutions look like?
• Green County, NC example

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• Stay focused on . . .
• An understanding of the connection between the
  economic health of your district and the quality
  of the school system.
• An understanding of the importance of each
  student in each of your schools.
• Commitment to the long-term nature of the
  solutions.

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• A commitment to a P-16 strategy.
• A clear understanding of the consequences of
  failure in the New Economy.

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To thrive in this new world, it will not be
enough indeed, it will be counterproductive
simply to intensify current stimuli, policies,
management strategies and to make incremental
improvements to organizational structures and
curricula. National Innovation Initiative Final
Report
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• How will your district build intellectual
  capital?
• The time is past for optimizing for efficiency
  and quality.
• This is the time to focus on innovative
  education.

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Changing the Essential Questions

• You used to ask How do we change our schools
  to make them better?
• Now you must ask How can our schools provide
  the best learning opportunities for each
  individual student in our system?

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There ARE alternative ways to think about the
future of education in your communities . . .
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. . .and you must be about the business of
providing them.
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• ThinkLink thinking about the problem
• Council on Postsecondary Educaiton (CPE)
• Department for Workforce Development (
• Dept. for Innovation and Commercialization for a
  Knowledge-Based Economy (ONE)
• Education and Professional Standards Board (EPSB)
• GearUp
• Kentucky Adult Education (KYAE)
• Kentucky Board of Education
• Kentucky Community and Technical College System
  (KCTCS)
• Kentucky Department of Education
• Kentucky Education Cabinet
• Kentucky Workforce Investment Board (KWIB)
• Partnership for Kentucky Schools
• TeachKentucky

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• Slides marked with an were drawn from
  materials of
• Dr. Willard Daggett, International Center for
  Leadership in Education, and were used with
  permission.

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For further info, contact

• Tom Welch
• tom.welch_at_ky.gov
• twelch_at_kde.state.ky.us
• 502 564 4403 x 4300
• 859.576.0878