ECONOMICS OF TRANSITION IN SOUTH EAST EUROPE

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ECONOMICS OF TRANSITION IN SOUTH EAST EUROPE

• Jože Mencinger, Franjo Štiblar

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1. Introduction(Mencinger)

• 1.1. Basic Macroeconomic Concepts
• 1.1.1. GDP components, measurement problems,
  comparisons among countries
• 1.1.2. Economic growth
• 1.1.3. Internal and external stability
• 1.1.4. Economic Performance and Social Cohesion
• 1.2. Determinants of economic system ownership
  and macro-decision making
• 1.3. Specific features and phases of economic,
  social, and political developments in SEE
  (Western Balkans) before 1990

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2. Transition(Mencinger)

• 2.1. Privatization
• - complexities of privatization
• - privatization models
• - outcomes of privatization
• 2.2. Macroeconomic stabilization
• - assumptions and Washington agreement
• - transformational depression
• 2.3. Microeconomic restructuring
• 2.4. A Case Slovenia Could SEE countries follow
  Slovenian experiences?

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3. South East European countries(Štiblar)

• 3.1. Historical background
• 3.2. Theoretical background
• 3.2.1. National Identities
• 3.2.2. Theory of conflict solutions and
  application to Western Balkans
• 3.2.3. Partition of countries as a solution
• 3.3. The role of foreign stakeholders
• 3.3.1. SEE EU and CEE
• 3.3.2. SEE US
• 3.3.3 SEE - international institutions

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4. Current Situation in SEE(Štiblar)

• 4.1. Political situation
• 4.2. Economic situation
• 4.2.1. Current economic situation and forecasts
• 4.2.2. Macro economic policies
• 4.2.3. Trade as a major instrument of cooperation
• 4.2.4. Mezzo and micro economic situation and
  policies, business environment
• 4.2.4.1. Financial sector (banking, insurance,
  capital markets)
• 4.2.4.2. Real sector (manufacturing,
  transportation, construction, trade and tourism)
• 4.2.4.3. External financial flows to the region
  aid, loans, FDIs
• 4.3. Demographic trends, social stability and
  social cohesion

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5. Solutions(Štiblar)

• 5.1. Visions and principles
• 5.2. Recommendations actions, activities,
  institutions