Environmental Change

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Environmental Change Forced Migration
Scenarios European Union 6th Framework
Programme Priority 8.1 Policy-oriented
research Scientific support to policies
(SSP) www.each-for.eu
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• Overview
• WHAT/WHY Overall Objectives/Environmental Change
• WHO EACH-FOR Consortium
• WHERE Case study sites
• HOW Work Packages/Methodology/questionnaire
• Delieverables
• EFMSV Conference/Dissemination
• Case Study example / Mozambique / Scenario??

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Basis

• Natural and human-made environmental change is
  leading to forced migration.

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EACH-FOR Objectives

• To discover and describe the causes of forced
  migration in relation to environmental
  degradation/change and their association with
  other social, political and economic phenomena in
  Europe and in the main countries of migration
  origin
• To provide plausible future scenarios of
  environmentally-induced forced migration

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GOALS

• Identify direct and indirect links contributing
  to forced migration focusing on the
  interpretation and integration of existing forced
  migration research
• Investigate correlations between migration and
  environmental degradation
• Produce a series of case studies investigating
  the correlation between environmental degradation
  and migration patterns
• Analyse, synthesise and forecast environmental
  degradation processes as they affect migration
• Develop detailed and aggregated forced migration
  scenarios on the basis of interdisciplinary
  analysis of local and regional environmental,
  economic, political and social processes

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EACH-FOR Consortium
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Work Packages (WP)

• WP1 Project Management
• WP2 Forced Migration Scenarios Regions
• WP3 Methodology and Synthesis
• WP4 Dissemination

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Russia
Kazakhstan
Europe
Kyrgyzstan
Tajikistan
Morocco
Dominican Republic, Haiti
Gobi-Desert
Niger
China
Senegal
Vietnam
Mozambique
Tuvalu
Mexico
Ghana
Ecuador
Turkey
Bangladesh
Egypt
Argentina
New Zealand
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Europe Russia gt Flood vulnerability of the
Danube river (Serbia, Romania, Hungary) gt
Flood vulnerability in the Volga basin (Russia)
gt Desertification and water shortages (Spain)
NIS Central Asia gt Desertification and soil
pollution (Tajikistan) gt Desertification and
soil pollution (Kazakhstan) gt Desertification
and soil pollution (Kyrgyzstan)
Middle East Northern Africa gt Desertification,
water shortage (Morocco) gt Desertification,
water shortage and/or development projects
(Egypt) gt Desertification, water shortage and/or
development projects (Turkey)
Asia Pacific gt Sea level rise extreme weather
events (Tuvalu, Vanatu) gt Desertification
(Gobi-desert) or development projects
(Three-Gorges-Dam, China) gt Sea level rise
(Vietnam) gt Sea level rise (India, Bangladesh)
Latin America gt Desertification, soil
degradation, water shortage (Argentina) gt
Tropical storms, sea level rise (Dominican
Republic) gt Deforestation, desertification, soil
degradation (Ecuador) gt Desertification, water
shortage, tropical storms. sea level rise
(Mexico)  
Sub-Saharan Africa Ghana gt Displacement due to
flooding (Mozambique) gt Displacement due to
water shortage (Lake Chad, Niger) gt Displacement
due to water shortage, overgrazing, climate
variability (Senegal) gt North-South internal
migration (Ghana)
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Field Work Objectives

• Who has been migrating away from situations of
  environmental degradation/change
• Where are migrants are coming from and where are
  they going to
• Why people have migrated
• How does environmental degradation interplay
  with other social, economic and political factors
  in making migration decisions
• Obstacles that prevent migration. To find out
  what might have prevented people from migrating
  in the first place
• Coping capacity/adaptation To find out why people
  who remained in areas of environmental
  degradation/ change remained in their location
  while others migrated
• To find out how migration activities occurred
  (choice of destination, what networks were used
  to facilitate migration?)
• To identify the perception of environmental
  degradation that triggers people to move.

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Methodology

• Semi-structured expert interviews (min. 15)
• International Organisations
• Non-Government Organisations
• Government Departments and Officials
• Academic
• Data collection (reports and footage)
• Semi-structured field interviews (min. 10)
• Migrant questionnaire (min. 15)
• Actual migrants
• from gradual or sudden environmental change
• Non-migrant questionnaire (min. 15)
• Potential migrants
• Not departed from gradual environmental change

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Deliverables

• Literature Overview/Literature Overview
• General Overview Studies (one per region)
• Forced Migration Scenarios (one per region)
• Policy Briefs (one per region)
• Final Synthesis Report
• Project Website Newsletter (www.each-for.eu)
• International Conference (www.efmsv2008.org)
• Book
• Articles in Scientific Journals

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2008 focus and activities

• Finalise case studies and Deliverables
• Bring together migration, climate/environmental,
  and vulnerability experts to
• push the scientific envelope on environmental
  degradation and migration
• debate challenges and policy alternatives to
  address migration linked environmental
  degradation and vulnerability

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Expert dialogue on environment forced migration
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Dissemination process
Expert Group Meeting
Posters
Summer Academy
SOURCE 2 December 2008
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Issues explored at EFMSV

• Environmental drivers of migration
• Geographical distribution and trends in
  vulnerability and migration
• Assessment of migratory fluxes due to
  environmental drivers
• Migration as a coping strategy in the face of
  vulnerability
• Temporary and permanent migration due to
  environmental drivers
• Recognition of and assistance to environmentally
  forced migrants

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Programme features 3 pillars
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Post Conference agenda

• Further dissemination of EACH-FOR findings
• EFMSV Publications
• Book in cooperation with IOM
• Special journal edition
• Continue policy dialogue

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Media links

• NHK - Japan Broadcasting Corporation
• Prepares a 50 min. documentary on the topic of
  environmental migration for October 2008

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Mozambique
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(No Transcript)
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Environment, Forced Migration Social
Vulnerability International Conference  Bonn,
Germany 09-11 October 2008  
www.efmsv2008.org