Intro

1
Intro

• Preparing All Kentucky Children
• To be Successful in College
• Berea College
• Berea, Kentucky
• October 30, 2007
• Tom Mortenson
• Senior Scholar,
• The Pell Institute for the Study of Opportunity
  in Higher Education
• Higher Education Policy Analyst,
• Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY

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Kentucky Overview

• Economic measures
• Participation measures
• Gender issues
• State investment effort

Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY
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KY Per Capita Personal Income
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KY National School Lunch
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Public High School Grad Rate
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KY College Participation Rates
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Interstate Migration College Freshmen
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Share of Bachelors Degrees Awarded to Men
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KY State Tax Fund Appropriations
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State Grants and Pell Grants in KY
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Stae and Pell Grant Dollars in KY
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1. The Education Pipeline by Family Income
The Education Pipeline by Family Income

• Family Income Quartiles (2005)
• Bottom 0 to 36,539
• Second 36,540 to 64,108
• Third 64,109 to 98,433
• Top 98,434 and over
• Measurement Points
• High school graduation
• College continuation
• Estimated bachelors completion by age 24
• Estimated bachelors attainment by age 24

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High School Graduation Rates
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College Continuation Rates
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Est Bachelors Degree Completion
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Est Bachelors Degree Attainment
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Distribution of Bachelors Degrees Awarded
1970-2005
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The First RealityThe Human Capital Economy

• To 1973 The Rising Tide
• 1973 to 2000 Income Redistribution
• 2000 to ? Global Competition

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Total Employment
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Distribution of Employment
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Goods Producing Employment
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Service Providing Employment
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Government Employment
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Changes in Employment Shares
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The Second Reality Changing Demography

• Shrinking Share of White High School Graduates
• Growing Share of Minority High School Graduates
• Growing Share of K-12 Students Receiving
• Subsidized School Lunches

Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY
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Demographic Structure of Education
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White High School Graduates
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White HSG 1960 to 2006
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Non-White HSG 1960 to 2006
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K-12 Enrollment Approved for Subsidized School
Lunches
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The Third Reality International Comparisons

• Adults with Bachelors Degrees
• Young Adult Bachelors Degree Attainment
• Trends in Attainment

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Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY
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Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY
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Bachelor Degree Attainment
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Change in Bachelor Degree Attainment
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Policy Responses to Economic,Demographic and
International Changes

• Federal Policy Choices
• State Policy Choices
• Institutional Policy Choices

Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY
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Federal Student Aid Based on Need
Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY
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Pell Grant Max Purchasing Power
Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY
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State Tax Fund Appropriations
Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY
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Public Tuition and Fees
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Tuition and Fees Family Income
Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY
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State Need Based Financial Aid
Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY
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Public Institutions Admissions Selectivity
Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY
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Consequences for Opportunity forAt Risk Students
in Higher Education

• Pell Grant Recipients
• Minorities
• Family Income Quartiles
• Median Family Income
• Admission Selectivity

Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY
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Financial Need by Family Income
Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY
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Pell Grant Recipients by Inst Level
Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY
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Enrollment in 4-Year by Race/Ethnicity
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Change 1990 to 2003
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NPSAS Bottom Quartile Redistribution
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Just and Efficient College Finance
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Resources
Resources
www.postsecondary.org tom_at_postsecondary.org
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