Earth System Models

1
Public Health CMVSRP (PI Reisen)
Earth System Models NASA TOPS -- Terrestrial
Observation and Prediction System (predictive
capabilities of over 30 variables describing land
surface conditions including soil moisture,
vegetation stress, and surface weather) UC-Davis
Center for Vectorborne Diseases entomological
models (mosquito and encephalitis virus data)
Value Benefits to Society Quantitative and
qualitative benefits from improved
decisions More efficient resource allocations
for mosquito control Improved statewide alerts on
mosquito-borne diseases Enhanced accuracy on the
timing and extent of vector control efforts
(e.g., insecticide spraying) Enhanced public
outreach and education Enhanced coordination with
emergency and medical personnel Reduction in
health-care costs related to mosquito-borne
diseases
Predictions/Forecasts
Decision Support Systems, Assessments, Management
Actions California Department of Health Services
California Mosquito-borne Virus Surveillance and
Response Plan (CMVSRP) Centers for Disease
Control and Prevention ArboNET Specific analyses
to support the decision making Virus activity
surveillance New forecast capabilities for
mosquito abundance and virus transmission risk
(to 1km resolution) New capabilities for tracking
anomalies in ecosystem and meteorological
conditions Specific Decisions / Actions Annual
resource allocations for mosquito
control Statewide alerts Integrated vector
management decisions Timing and extent of vector
control efforts

Virus Transmission Risk forecasts Mosquito
Abundance forecasts Nowcasts and Forecasts of
land cover, snow cover, surface temperature,
vegetation density, vegetation productivity,
humidity, solar radiation, precipitation, soil
moisture, and vegetation stress Processing of
observation data through TOPS

Earth Observations Terra/Aqua MODIS (NDVI,
LST,LAI, Snow cover, Land cover) Aqua/AMSR-E
(Soil moisture) Landsat (TM data/Land cover) NOAA
AVHRR (NDVI) Surface Observations Gridding System
(temperature, dewpoint, precipitation)
Observations, Parameters Products