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Title: Futures and Options


1
Chapter 9
  • Futures and Options

2
Background
  • Derivatives are investments that derive their
    value from some underlying quantity (usually a
    stock, bond or commodity price)
  • Forward contractobligates the buyer to purchase
    the underlying security on a given date for a
    specified price
  • Arrangements between private parties
  • Not actively traded in any market
  • Futures contractobligates the buyer to purchase
    a specified quantity of the underlying security
    on a given date at a specified price
  • Actively traded on futures exchanges until
    delivery date
  • Can earn gains/losses from simply trading the
    contract itself, without every taking delivery of
    underlying goods

3
Background
  • Optionagreement between an option writer (who
    sells the option) and buyer
  • Option buyer has right (but not obligation) to
    buy (call) or sell (put) underlying security at
    the pre-determined exercise price on a specified
    date
  • If option is exercised, option writer must follow
    through
  • Many options expire unexercised
  • Options actively traded at options exchanges and
    OTC markets

4
Forward Contracts
  • A forward contract is created when someone buys a
    commodity, security or other asset for future
    delivery
  • Delivery price is fixed when contract is created,
    but not paid until delivery date (which may be
    months or years after the contracting date)
  • Buyer and seller negotiate the
  • Price
  • Quantity
  • Quality of goods
  • Delivery location
  • Delivery date
  • Each forward contract is tailor-made to fit the
    needs and preferences of the buyer and seller
  • Counterparty risk arises due to the risk that the
    buyer or seller may default

5
Futures Contracts
  • Evolved from forward contracts
  • Contain improvements designed to
  • Reduce counterparty risk
  • Increase liquidity
  • Agricultural futures on corn and wheat traded on
    CBT in 1865
  • Financial futures on stock, bonds, etc. began
    trading in 1970s

6
Futures Contracts
  • Basic characteristics
  • A futures contract is just a forward contract
    that has been standardized to increase its
    marketability
  • Taking Delivery
  • If you buy a futures contract you must
  • Sell the contract prior to the delivery date
  • Most common occurrence
  • Or take delivery of the underlying goods upon
    expiration of contract
  • Cash Settlement
  • Financial futures usually provide for cash
    settlementreceiving cash rather than the
    underlying good
  • Most agricultural futures allow for physical
    delivery of the underlying good

7
Futures Contracts
  • Trading Futures
  • Futures exchange
  • Members meet on exchange trading floor and use
    open outcry method to negotiate each transaction
  • Each time a futures contract is purchased and
    resold, the transaction can occur at a different
    price than the preceding transaction
  • Last buyer will receive delivery upon delivery
    date
  • If last seller fails to make delivery,
    clearinghouse makes delivery and sues defaulted
    seller
  • Removes counterparty risk

8
Types of Futures Contracts
  • Futures contracts have existed for many years for
    commodities such as
  • Gold
  • Silver
  • Soybeans
  • Corn
  • Wheat
  • Futures have been traded since the 1970s on
    financial products such as
  • Bonds
  • Foreign currencies
  • Stock market indexes
  • Volume of financial futures far exceeds aggregate
    trading of traditional commodities

9
Exchanges
  • Chicago Board of Options
  • Largest organized options exchange in the world
  • http//www.cboe.com
  • Chicago Mercantile Exchange
  • Large organized futures exchange
  • http//www.cme.com
  • Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT)
  • Largest, oldest futures exchange in the world
  • http//www.cbot.com

10
Gains Losses in Futures Positions
  • An investor long in a future may
  • Wait until the contract expires and take delivery
    (or perhaps receive a cash settlement value)
  • Hold position and see what happens to price
  • Eliminate long position by offsetting (selling
    contract)
  • An investor short in a future may
  • Wait until the contract expires and make delivery
    (or make a cash payment)
  • Hold position and see what happens to price
  • Eliminate short position by offsetting (buying
    contract)

11
The Clearing House
  • A futures contract can be executed without the
    buyer and seller having to contact each other
  • Clearing house inserts itself into every
    transactionbuyer in every sale and seller in
    every purchase
  • Clear and settle transactions
  • Expedite the delivery process
  • Guarantee performance of every contract
  • Collect fees of a few pennies on every contract
  • Process thousands of contracts daily
  • Fees accumulate in a guarantee fund

12
Margin Requirements
  • To trade futures, client must open a margin
    account
  • Initial margins on futures are smallrange from
    3 to 12 of transactions value
  • Most futures traders trade on margin rather than
    pay for the entire transaction
  • If significant losses occur, will receive margin
    call

13
Speculating with Futures
  • Speculators hope to earn profits by aggressively
    trading futures
  • Example A professor has been researching a new
    strain of bacteria which caused a
    rapidly-spreading blight in Illinois, destroying
    many acres of wheat. The professor believes that
    the blight could wipe out a significant part of
    the U.S.s wheat crop if it is not contained
    before the end of May. If so, the price of wheat
    could rise rapidly. If the professor goes long
    in wheat futures, he could realize personal
    profit.

14
Speculating with Futures
  • The professor buys one September wheat future at
    a price of 3.50 per bushel in early May, for a
    total cost of 17,500 (CBT wheat contracts deal
    in 5,000 bushels of wheat per contract)
  • However, he is only required to put up a 10
    margin, or 1,750
  • Several days later the U.S. Department of
    Agriculture announces the wheat blight and the
    price of wheat rises
  • The professor sells his long position in wheat
    futures for 4.00 per bushel
  • Results in profit of 0.50 per bushel times 5,000
    bushels, or 2,500
  • This is a return of 2,500 ? 1,750 143

15
Leverage
  • Low initial margin requirements on futures allow
    investors to make only small initial outlays on
    large amounts of contracts
  • This use of leverage enhances both profits and
    losses
  • Forward contracts cannot be purchased using
    leverage
  • Buyers must pay cash on delivery

16
Speculating with SP500 Index Futures
  • CME began trading a futures contract on the
    SP500 index in 1982
  • One of the most successful futures contracts in
    the world
  • Underlying quantity on which the futures contract
    is based is the market value of the SP500 index
  • Mercs futures contract defines the futures price
    as
  • 250 ? Market Value of SP500 index
  • Index owners are not entitled to any cash
    dividends
  • Futures contract is a cash settlement contract
  • Cash received is based on the difference between
    most recent market value of the index future and
    the contracts purchase price

17
Speculating with SP500 Index Futures
  • Example You feel bullish about the stock market
    and you decide to purchase one September futures
    contract on the SP500 Index
  • You call your broker and give him a market order
    to buy one contract
  • The order is executed when the SP500 index was
    trading at 651 for a total of 162,750
  • You have to put up a 3 margin, or 3 x 651 x
    250 4,882.5
  • Feeling satisfied with yourself you decide to go
    to lunchupon returning from lunch you learn that
    the SP500 index is now at 653

18
Speculating with SP500 Index Futures
  • You call your broker and give a market order to
    sell while the index is still at 653
  • You earn a profit of
  • 250 x 653 163,250 - 162,750 - 100
    (commissions) 400
  • This represents a return of
  • 400 ? 4,882.5 8.19 for a holding period of
    several hours
  • What if the market had moved in the wrong
    direction?
  • Could have suffered substantial losses if the
    market had experienced a severe downturn

19
Speculating with SP500 Index Futures
  • If you had bearishly sold SP500 Index futures at
    651 before lunch and the market rose to 653
    during lunch you would have lost 600
  • 162,750 - 163,750 - 100 (commissions) -600

20
Hedging with Futures
  • Hedgers are more interested in avoiding risk than
    speculating to maximize gains
  • Selling hedgeused to avoid losses from price
    declines on physical inventory
  • Protect a farmer against a loss if the market
    value of his growing crop declines
  • Also limits his ability for potential profits if
    the market value of crop rises

21
Hedging with Futures
  • Example Farmer Brown can profitably produce
    20,000 bushels of wheat if he can sell the crop
    for 4.50 per bushel in July
  • In April, while he was planting his crops, the
    price of July wheat futures was 4.50 per bushel
  • By selling 4 wheat futures contracts (5,000
    bushels each) short at 4.50 per bushel, Farmer
    Brown hedges the 20,000 bushels of physical wheat
    growing in the field
  • Locks in the 4.50 per bushel selling price and
    assures Farmer Brown that he can earn his desired
    profit

22
Hedging with Futures
  • Regardless of what happens to the price of wheat,
    Farmer Brown will receive a total value of
    22,500 per contract as shown below

23
Hedging with Futures
  • It is now July and Farmer Brown harvests his
    wheat
  • At this time, the price of wheat is 4.25 per
    bushel
  • Farmer Brown sells his wheat in the cash
    (physicals) market for 4.25 per bushel
  • At the same time, he offsets his positions in the
    futures market by buying 4 wheat futures
    contracts at 4.25 per bushel
  • This eliminates (reverses, unwinds) his short
    futures position

24
Hedging with Futures
  • Farmer Brown receives
  • A net gain of 0.25 per bushel on his futures
    contract
  • A 0.25 per bushel loss on his physical wheat
  • Excluding brokerage commissions and taxes, Farmer
    Brown received the 4.50 per bushel he wanted

25
Perfect Hedges
  • The preceding example involved a perfect hedge
  • Rarely possible
  • Hedges are usually imperfect due to
  • The long and short positions may not coincide in
    time
  • For example, best harvest time may occur after
    delivery date of futures contract
  • Delivery may have to be made at an inaccessible
    location
  • Chicago may be too costly for a farmer in Oregon
  • The specified quality cannot be delivered
  • For example, due to a blight, Farmer Browns
    wheat is discolored

26
Futures Prices and Other Trading Data
  • New contracts originate every quarter, with
    expiration dates of March, June, September and
    December
  • Open interest represents the number of opened
    contracts that have not yet been offset

27
Regulating Financial Futures in the U.S.
  • Most futures exchanges operate their own clearing
    house
  • Commodity Futures Trading Commission Act of 1974
    established an independent federal agency (CFTC)
    to oversee futures transactions in the U.S.
  • Options Clearing Corporation (OCC) is owned by
    the CBOE, AMEX, PHIX and PSE and is regulated by
    the SEC

28
Characteristics of Puts and Calls on Equities
  • Regardless of your view of the future price of a
    stock, it is possible to create a investment to
    take advantage of that expectation
  • Profit opportunities can be constructed using
    these basic building blocks
  • Buying a long position in the stock
  • Selling the stock short
  • Buying a call option on the stock
  • Selling a call option on the stock
  • Buying a put option on the stock
  • Selling a put option on the stock

29
Defining a Call Option
  • A call option
  • Gives the owner the right (not the obligation) to
    buy the underlying stock within a specified
    period of time at a specified price (exercise
    price)
  • One call deals with 100 shares of stock (a round
    lot)
  • Call writer gets paid to provide the buyer with
    the opportunity to buy underlying stock if the
    buyer chooses to do so

30
Characteristics of Stock Options
  • New options originate in the U.S. every month
  • Options exist on the same stock with different
    expiration dates
  • 3, 6, 9 and 12 months
  • AMEX started listing put and call options with
    expirations as long as 30 months
  • Long-term Equity Appreciation Securities (LEAPS)

31
Characteristics of Stock Options
  • Prior to an options expiration date, the owner
    of a put or call option can
  • Hold the option to see what happens to the
    stocks price
  • Sell the option at the current market price and
    take the resulting gain or loss
  • Eliminates the option position
  • Exercise the option
  • Eliminates the option position
  • Let the option expire
  • Option is then worthless
  • Only about 10 of all exchange-listed options are
    exercised

32
Characteristics of Stock Options
  • Parties to an option contract
  • Option buyer
  • Pays premium to option seller to encourage seller
    to write the option
  • Said to be long options
  • Option seller
  • Receives premium from buyer for writing the
    option
  • Said to be short options

33
Characteristics of Stock Options
  • Prices associated with options
  • Price of the underlying assets
  • Fluctuating market price of the asset underlying
    the option contract
  • Exercise price (AKA strike price, contract price)
  • Price at which the option seller can be legally
    required to execute the option
  • Does not fluctuate over the life of the option
  • Option premium
  • Price the option buyer pays the seller
  • Fluctuates throughout the options life

34
Characteristics of Stock Options
  • Options buyers usually do not exercise the
    options
  • Because options buyers are usually price
    speculators and risk-averting hedgers
  • If an option seller writes an option that is
    never exercised, he receives money (option
    premium) for simply exposing himself to the risk
    that the option would be exercised and he would
    lose money
  • If options are exercised, the writer usually
    loses more than his premium income

35
Characteristics of Stock Options
  • European options can only be exercised on the
    expiration date
  • Trade in Europe and non-European countries
  • American options can be exercised any trading day
    up to and including the expiration date
  • Trade in U.S. and other countries

36
Markets for Options
  • Options exchanges include
  • Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE)
  • Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT)
  • Chicago Mercantile Exchange
  • American Stock Exchange (AMEX)
  • Philadelphia Stock Exchange (PHIX)
  • Pacific Stock Exchange (PSE)

37
Option Quotations
38
Gain-Loss Illustrations for Call Positions
  • If an investor expects a stock price increase, he
    could
  • Take a long position in the stock, or
  • Buy a call option on the stock
  • If stock price rises above exercise price, buyer
    can exercise option to buy stock then sell stock
    at the higher market price
  • If investor was wrong and stock price falls,
    buyer loses the premium paid for the option

39
Gain-Loss GraphCall Buyer
Intrinsic Value of a call Max0, (Stock price
Exercise price) If stock price is 50, the IV
is Max0, 50-40 10.
40
Example A Call Option on KO
  • KO is currently selling for 30 per share. A
    call option with a strike price of 40 expires in
    six months and has a current premium of 3 per
    share
  • The intrinsic value of the call is 0, or the MAX
    of 0, 30-40
  • Over a range of KOs stock prices, the intrinsic
    value of the option would be

41
Illustration of Call Writers Position
  • If the stocks price remains below the options
    strike price, the option will not be exercised
    and it will expire worthless
  • The call writer keeps the option premium for
    doing nothing
  • However, if the stock price rises above the
    exercise price, the call buyer will exercise the
    option and the call buyers gain will equal the
    call writers loss
  • Thus, the intrinsic value of a call writer's
    position is the minimum of
  • 0, (Exercise price Stock price)

42
Illustration of Call Writers Position
  • The call writers intrinsic gain is equal to the
    premium received when the option was sold plus
    the intrinsic value of the call

43
Illustration of Call Writers Position
44
Example Intel Call Option
  • In 1993 Intels price ranged from 21 to 37
  • In 1993 Mr. Byer bought a call option on Intel,
    paying Ms. Rhyter a premium of 2.50
  • The option had a strike price of 20 per share
    and six months until expiration
  • If the value of Intel rose to 75 prior to the
    expiration date, Mr. Byer could exercise the
    option and buy Intel for 20, then immediately
    sell the stock for 75
  • His profit would be 75 - 20 - 2.50 52.50
    per share
  • If the value of Intel rose to 75 and Mr. Byer
    exercised the option, Ms. Rhyter would have to
    buy shares of Intel for 75 and immediately
    deliver them to Mr. Byer who would pay her 20
    for each
  • Her loss would be 20 - 75 2.50 -52.50 per
    share
  • Note that Mr. Byers profit exactly equals Ms.
    Rhyters loss

45
Example Intel Call Option
  • If Intels price dropped below 20 a share, Ms.
    Rhyters position would become profitable while
    Mr. Byer would lose money (the call premium)

46
Put Options
  • A put option
  • Gives the owner the right (not the obligation) to
    sell (or put) a round lot of the underlying stock
    to the put seller within a specified period of
    time at a specified price (exercise price)
  • The intrinsic value of a put is
  • MAX0, Exercise price Stock price

47
Gain-Loss Graph for Put Buyer
48
Gain-Loss Graph for Put Writer
Intrinsic Value of a put writers position
is MIN0, (Stock price Exercise price)
49
Example Intrinsic Values for a Put Buyer
  • You buy a put for 2 per share for Speed.Com
    Corporation with an exercise price of 45
  • What is your maximum loss?
  • The most you can lose is your premium of 2 per
    share
  • What is your maximum gain?
  • If the company goes bankrupt, youll still be
    able to sell the stock for 45thus, your gain
    would be 45-243
  • What will your gain be at expiration if the stock
    rises in value to 50?
  • The put would not be exercised and your loss
    would be the premium of 2
  • What will your gain be at expiration if the stock
    falls in value to 40?
  • You would exercise the put and sell the stock for
    45thus your gain would be 45 - 40 - 2 3

50
Perspectives on Options
  • Short sellers and buyers of put options both
    benefit from a stock price decline
  • Options buyers cannot lose more than the premium
    paid for the optionlimited liability
  • Means that buyers of a put option are better off
    than short sellers if the stock price rises
  • Means that call buyers are better off than
    investors with long positions if the stock price
    falls
  • Call writers do not enjoy limited liability
  • If the price of the optioned stock rises to
    infinity, the writers losses rise in tandem

51
Perspectives on Options
  • Gains (Losses) for put buyers are offset by equal
    losses (gains) for the put writers
  • Gains (Losses) for call buyers are offset by
    equal losses (gains) for call writers
  • Counterparties in options are involved in a zero
    sum game

52
Advantages from Using Options
  • If you believe a stocks price will change, you
    can either
  • Go long (or short) the stock
  • Buy an option on the underlying stock
  • Buying an option may be better than taking a
    position in the stock itself due to
  • Financial leverage
  • Less money is required to invest in an option and
    each dollar invested in the option can lead to
    more dollar gains than a direct position in the
    stock
  • Limited liability
  • An option buyer can only lose a maximum of the
    call premium if the stock moves against
    expectations
  • While this is 100 of the invested funds, the
    invested funds are much smaller than a direct
    position in the stock

53
Advantages from Using Options
  • No lost interest
  • A short seller must give up the use of their
    funds from the short sale and they do not earn
    interest on these funds
  • Individual short sellers do not immediately
    receive the proceeds from their short sale (but
    institutional investors do)
  • No cash dividend payments
  • A short seller must pass along dividend payments
    to the owners of the borrowed shares whereas put
    option buyers do not
  • Anytime
  • Short sales cannot be made on a downtick whereas
    a put option can be purchased at any time

54
Advantages of Short Sale Over Put Option
  • A short (or long) position in a stock can remain
    open for years without incurring additional
    transactions costs
  • However, a put option expires within a relatively
    short time frame
  • If you expect a quick movement in stock prices,
    an option may be a better choice

55
Zero Sum Game
  • A zero sum game means that for every winner there
    is an offsetting loser
  • A competitive advantage exists for those who have
  • A superior education
  • Superior information processing abilities
  • Monopolistic access to valuable information

56
Determinants of Put and Call Premiums
  • Six factors affect the premiums that put and call
    options trade at in the market
  • The length of time remaining in the options life
  • The riskiness of the underlying asset
  • The market price of the underlying asset
  • The exercise price
  • Interest rates
  • Cash dividend payments

57
The Length of Time Remaining in the Options Life
  • Option writers charge a higher premium to write
    options with a longer time to expiration
  • Because the probability that the option will be
    in-the-money increases with the length of time
    until expiration
  • An option has both time value and intrinsic value

58
The Length of Time Remaining in the Options Life
  • For a call or put option
  • Time value option premium intrinsic value
  • Time value may be either zero or positive, but
    never negative

59
The Riskiness of the Underlying Asset
  • Stocks that fluctuate a great deal in price offer
    more opportunities for an option owner to
    exercise the option
  • Option writers review the risk of the underlying
    stock
  • Charge higher premiums for options written on
    riskier stocks

60
Figure 9-8Call Premiums Are Affected By Risk
61
Figure 9-8Call Premiums Are Affected By Risk
62
Figure 9-8Call Premiums Are Affected By Risk
63
Market Price of the Underlying Asset
  • Options written on stocks with a higher price are
    riskier
  • Because writer may suffer higher potential losses

64
Exercise Price
  • Call buyers gain when stock price rises above
    exercise price
  • The lower the exercise price the higher the value
    of the call
  • Put buyers gain when stock price drops below
    exercise price
  • The higher the exercise price, the higher the
    value of the put

65
Rate of Interest
  • Impact of interest rates on option premiums is
    minimal but effect occurs because
  • The discounted present value of the exercise
    price is lower the higher the level of interest
    rates
  • The discounted present value of the exercise
    price is lower the longer the time until the
    option is exercised
  • Call option premiums relate directly to interest
    rates
  • Put option premiums move inversely to the level
    of interest rates

66
Cash Dividend Payments
  • Ex-dividend date
  • The first trading day after a stock pays a cash
    dividend
  • The stocks price drops by the amount of the cash
    dividend
  • This changes the value of stock options
  • Calls (Puts) are worth less (more)

67
The Bottom Line
  • A derivative derives its value from an underlying
    asset
  • A forward is when someone buys an asset for
    future delivery
  • Delivery price specified at time of purchase
  • Does not offer the opportunity to trade on margin
  • Illiquid

68
The Bottom Line
  • Futures contracts are improved forward contracts
  • Prices are determined by open outcry or an
    electronic limit order book system
  • Counter-party risk is non-existent because a
    clearing corporation serves as a middleman
  • Can be used for speculating or hedging
  • Small initial margin requirements

69
The Bottom Line
  • Financial futures are extremely popular
  • Many are cash settleddo not provide for physical
    delivery
  • Buying options rather than taking a short or long
    position has advantages
  • Limited liability and financial leverage
  • Options are basically a zero sum game
  • Option prices move in a non-linear fashion
    relative to the price of the underlying asset

70
Appendix Warrants
  • Warrants are call options to buy shares of stock
  • Newly created warrants are given as attachments
    to a bond or preferred stock
  • Sweeten the issue and make it easier to sell
  • Exercise price
  • Amount the warrant owner must pay to buy the
    specified number of shares

71
Appendix Warrants
  • Intrinsic value
  • MAX 0, (Stocks market price exercise price)
    ? number of shares
  • Warrants are identical to call options if the
    warrant entitles owner to one share of underlying
    stock

72
Appendix Warrants
  • Differences between warrants and call options
  • The corporation that issues the underlying stock
    is the writer of a warrant
  • External third parties write call options
  • When warrants are exercised, new shares of
    outstanding common stock are created, causing
    dilution
  • If warrants offer a number of shares of stock
    different from one, the relationship between a
    warrants premium and the underlying stock price
    can differ from that of a call option

73
Appendix Warrants
  • Warrants can be exercised in a time frame usually
    ranging from 5 to 15 years
  • Some have perpetual lives
  • Some may be exercised only at specific times
  • Non-detachable warrants cannot be traded
    separately while detachable warrants can be

74
Appendix Callable Bonds Have Embedded Options
  • Embedded call options give bond issuer right to
    redeem the bonds prior to maturity date
  • Usually detrimental to bondholders
  • Usually redeemed when alternative investments
    offer low rates of interest
  • Issuers usually offer interest rates that are 50
    to 100 basis points (BPs) higher than equivalent,
    non-callable bonds
  • Also offer additional protective provisions to
    induce investors to buy the bonds

75
Appendix Convertible Securities
  • Convertible securities allow owners to convert
    their preferred stock or bonds to another
    security
  • Usually the common stock of the corporation
  • Can be viewed as a combination of a
    non-convertible security and an embedded call
    option on issuers stock
  • Most are also callable
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