Title: Futures and Options
1Chapter 9
2Background
- Derivatives are investments that derive their
value from some underlying quantity (usually a
stock, bond or commodity price) - Forward contractobligates the buyer to purchase
the underlying security on a given date for a
specified price - Arrangements between private parties
- Not actively traded in any market
- Futures contractobligates the buyer to purchase
a specified quantity of the underlying security
on a given date at a specified price - Actively traded on futures exchanges until
delivery date - Can earn gains/losses from simply trading the
contract itself, without every taking delivery of
underlying goods
3Background
- Optionagreement between an option writer (who
sells the option) and buyer - Option buyer has right (but not obligation) to
buy (call) or sell (put) underlying security at
the pre-determined exercise price on a specified
date - If option is exercised, option writer must follow
through - Many options expire unexercised
- Options actively traded at options exchanges and
OTC markets
4Forward Contracts
- A forward contract is created when someone buys a
commodity, security or other asset for future
delivery - Delivery price is fixed when contract is created,
but not paid until delivery date (which may be
months or years after the contracting date) - Buyer and seller negotiate the
- Price
- Quantity
- Quality of goods
- Delivery location
- Delivery date
- Each forward contract is tailor-made to fit the
needs and preferences of the buyer and seller - Counterparty risk arises due to the risk that the
buyer or seller may default
5Futures Contracts
- Evolved from forward contracts
- Contain improvements designed to
- Reduce counterparty risk
- Increase liquidity
- Agricultural futures on corn and wheat traded on
CBT in 1865 - Financial futures on stock, bonds, etc. began
trading in 1970s
6Futures Contracts
- Basic characteristics
- A futures contract is just a forward contract
that has been standardized to increase its
marketability - Taking Delivery
- If you buy a futures contract you must
- Sell the contract prior to the delivery date
- Most common occurrence
- Or take delivery of the underlying goods upon
expiration of contract - Cash Settlement
- Financial futures usually provide for cash
settlementreceiving cash rather than the
underlying good - Most agricultural futures allow for physical
delivery of the underlying good
7Futures Contracts
- Trading Futures
- Futures exchange
- Members meet on exchange trading floor and use
open outcry method to negotiate each transaction - Each time a futures contract is purchased and
resold, the transaction can occur at a different
price than the preceding transaction - Last buyer will receive delivery upon delivery
date - If last seller fails to make delivery,
clearinghouse makes delivery and sues defaulted
seller - Removes counterparty risk
8Types of Futures Contracts
- Futures contracts have existed for many years for
commodities such as - Gold
- Silver
- Soybeans
- Corn
- Wheat
- Futures have been traded since the 1970s on
financial products such as - Bonds
- Foreign currencies
- Stock market indexes
- Volume of financial futures far exceeds aggregate
trading of traditional commodities
9Exchanges
- Chicago Board of Options
- Largest organized options exchange in the world
- http//www.cboe.com
- Chicago Mercantile Exchange
- Large organized futures exchange
- http//www.cme.com
- Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT)
- Largest, oldest futures exchange in the world
- http//www.cbot.com
10Gains Losses in Futures Positions
- An investor long in a future may
- Wait until the contract expires and take delivery
(or perhaps receive a cash settlement value) - Hold position and see what happens to price
- Eliminate long position by offsetting (selling
contract) - An investor short in a future may
- Wait until the contract expires and make delivery
(or make a cash payment) - Hold position and see what happens to price
- Eliminate short position by offsetting (buying
contract)
11The Clearing House
- A futures contract can be executed without the
buyer and seller having to contact each other - Clearing house inserts itself into every
transactionbuyer in every sale and seller in
every purchase - Clear and settle transactions
- Expedite the delivery process
- Guarantee performance of every contract
- Collect fees of a few pennies on every contract
- Process thousands of contracts daily
- Fees accumulate in a guarantee fund
12Margin Requirements
- To trade futures, client must open a margin
account - Initial margins on futures are smallrange from
3 to 12 of transactions value - Most futures traders trade on margin rather than
pay for the entire transaction - If significant losses occur, will receive margin
call
13Speculating with Futures
- Speculators hope to earn profits by aggressively
trading futures - Example A professor has been researching a new
strain of bacteria which caused a
rapidly-spreading blight in Illinois, destroying
many acres of wheat. The professor believes that
the blight could wipe out a significant part of
the U.S.s wheat crop if it is not contained
before the end of May. If so, the price of wheat
could rise rapidly. If the professor goes long
in wheat futures, he could realize personal
profit.
14Speculating with Futures
- The professor buys one September wheat future at
a price of 3.50 per bushel in early May, for a
total cost of 17,500 (CBT wheat contracts deal
in 5,000 bushels of wheat per contract) - However, he is only required to put up a 10
margin, or 1,750 - Several days later the U.S. Department of
Agriculture announces the wheat blight and the
price of wheat rises - The professor sells his long position in wheat
futures for 4.00 per bushel - Results in profit of 0.50 per bushel times 5,000
bushels, or 2,500 - This is a return of 2,500 ? 1,750 143
15Leverage
- Low initial margin requirements on futures allow
investors to make only small initial outlays on
large amounts of contracts - This use of leverage enhances both profits and
losses - Forward contracts cannot be purchased using
leverage - Buyers must pay cash on delivery
16Speculating with SP500 Index Futures
- CME began trading a futures contract on the
SP500 index in 1982 - One of the most successful futures contracts in
the world - Underlying quantity on which the futures contract
is based is the market value of the SP500 index - Mercs futures contract defines the futures price
as - 250 ? Market Value of SP500 index
- Index owners are not entitled to any cash
dividends - Futures contract is a cash settlement contract
- Cash received is based on the difference between
most recent market value of the index future and
the contracts purchase price
17Speculating with SP500 Index Futures
- Example You feel bullish about the stock market
and you decide to purchase one September futures
contract on the SP500 Index - You call your broker and give him a market order
to buy one contract - The order is executed when the SP500 index was
trading at 651 for a total of 162,750 - You have to put up a 3 margin, or 3 x 651 x
250 4,882.5 - Feeling satisfied with yourself you decide to go
to lunchupon returning from lunch you learn that
the SP500 index is now at 653
18Speculating with SP500 Index Futures
- You call your broker and give a market order to
sell while the index is still at 653 - You earn a profit of
- 250 x 653 163,250 - 162,750 - 100
(commissions) 400 - This represents a return of
- 400 ? 4,882.5 8.19 for a holding period of
several hours - What if the market had moved in the wrong
direction? - Could have suffered substantial losses if the
market had experienced a severe downturn
19Speculating with SP500 Index Futures
- If you had bearishly sold SP500 Index futures at
651 before lunch and the market rose to 653
during lunch you would have lost 600 - 162,750 - 163,750 - 100 (commissions) -600
20Hedging with Futures
- Hedgers are more interested in avoiding risk than
speculating to maximize gains - Selling hedgeused to avoid losses from price
declines on physical inventory - Protect a farmer against a loss if the market
value of his growing crop declines - Also limits his ability for potential profits if
the market value of crop rises
21Hedging with Futures
- Example Farmer Brown can profitably produce
20,000 bushels of wheat if he can sell the crop
for 4.50 per bushel in July - In April, while he was planting his crops, the
price of July wheat futures was 4.50 per bushel - By selling 4 wheat futures contracts (5,000
bushels each) short at 4.50 per bushel, Farmer
Brown hedges the 20,000 bushels of physical wheat
growing in the field - Locks in the 4.50 per bushel selling price and
assures Farmer Brown that he can earn his desired
profit
22Hedging with Futures
- Regardless of what happens to the price of wheat,
Farmer Brown will receive a total value of
22,500 per contract as shown below
23Hedging with Futures
- It is now July and Farmer Brown harvests his
wheat - At this time, the price of wheat is 4.25 per
bushel - Farmer Brown sells his wheat in the cash
(physicals) market for 4.25 per bushel - At the same time, he offsets his positions in the
futures market by buying 4 wheat futures
contracts at 4.25 per bushel - This eliminates (reverses, unwinds) his short
futures position
24Hedging with Futures
- Farmer Brown receives
- A net gain of 0.25 per bushel on his futures
contract - A 0.25 per bushel loss on his physical wheat
- Excluding brokerage commissions and taxes, Farmer
Brown received the 4.50 per bushel he wanted
25Perfect Hedges
- The preceding example involved a perfect hedge
- Rarely possible
- Hedges are usually imperfect due to
- The long and short positions may not coincide in
time - For example, best harvest time may occur after
delivery date of futures contract - Delivery may have to be made at an inaccessible
location - Chicago may be too costly for a farmer in Oregon
- The specified quality cannot be delivered
- For example, due to a blight, Farmer Browns
wheat is discolored
26Futures Prices and Other Trading Data
- New contracts originate every quarter, with
expiration dates of March, June, September and
December - Open interest represents the number of opened
contracts that have not yet been offset
27Regulating Financial Futures in the U.S.
- Most futures exchanges operate their own clearing
house - Commodity Futures Trading Commission Act of 1974
established an independent federal agency (CFTC)
to oversee futures transactions in the U.S. - Options Clearing Corporation (OCC) is owned by
the CBOE, AMEX, PHIX and PSE and is regulated by
the SEC
28Characteristics of Puts and Calls on Equities
- Regardless of your view of the future price of a
stock, it is possible to create a investment to
take advantage of that expectation - Profit opportunities can be constructed using
these basic building blocks - Buying a long position in the stock
- Selling the stock short
- Buying a call option on the stock
- Selling a call option on the stock
- Buying a put option on the stock
- Selling a put option on the stock
29Defining a Call Option
- A call option
- Gives the owner the right (not the obligation) to
buy the underlying stock within a specified
period of time at a specified price (exercise
price) - One call deals with 100 shares of stock (a round
lot) - Call writer gets paid to provide the buyer with
the opportunity to buy underlying stock if the
buyer chooses to do so
30Characteristics of Stock Options
- New options originate in the U.S. every month
- Options exist on the same stock with different
expiration dates - 3, 6, 9 and 12 months
- AMEX started listing put and call options with
expirations as long as 30 months - Long-term Equity Appreciation Securities (LEAPS)
31Characteristics of Stock Options
- Prior to an options expiration date, the owner
of a put or call option can - Hold the option to see what happens to the
stocks price - Sell the option at the current market price and
take the resulting gain or loss - Eliminates the option position
- Exercise the option
- Eliminates the option position
- Let the option expire
- Option is then worthless
- Only about 10 of all exchange-listed options are
exercised
32Characteristics of Stock Options
- Parties to an option contract
- Option buyer
- Pays premium to option seller to encourage seller
to write the option - Said to be long options
- Option seller
- Receives premium from buyer for writing the
option - Said to be short options
33Characteristics of Stock Options
- Prices associated with options
- Price of the underlying assets
- Fluctuating market price of the asset underlying
the option contract - Exercise price (AKA strike price, contract price)
- Price at which the option seller can be legally
required to execute the option - Does not fluctuate over the life of the option
- Option premium
- Price the option buyer pays the seller
- Fluctuates throughout the options life
34Characteristics of Stock Options
- Options buyers usually do not exercise the
options - Because options buyers are usually price
speculators and risk-averting hedgers - If an option seller writes an option that is
never exercised, he receives money (option
premium) for simply exposing himself to the risk
that the option would be exercised and he would
lose money - If options are exercised, the writer usually
loses more than his premium income
35Characteristics of Stock Options
- European options can only be exercised on the
expiration date - Trade in Europe and non-European countries
- American options can be exercised any trading day
up to and including the expiration date - Trade in U.S. and other countries
36Markets for Options
- Options exchanges include
- Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE)
- Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT)
- Chicago Mercantile Exchange
- American Stock Exchange (AMEX)
- Philadelphia Stock Exchange (PHIX)
- Pacific Stock Exchange (PSE)
37Option Quotations
38Gain-Loss Illustrations for Call Positions
- If an investor expects a stock price increase, he
could - Take a long position in the stock, or
- Buy a call option on the stock
- If stock price rises above exercise price, buyer
can exercise option to buy stock then sell stock
at the higher market price - If investor was wrong and stock price falls,
buyer loses the premium paid for the option
39Gain-Loss GraphCall Buyer
Intrinsic Value of a call Max0, (Stock price
Exercise price) If stock price is 50, the IV
is Max0, 50-40 10.
40Example A Call Option on KO
- KO is currently selling for 30 per share. A
call option with a strike price of 40 expires in
six months and has a current premium of 3 per
share - The intrinsic value of the call is 0, or the MAX
of 0, 30-40 - Over a range of KOs stock prices, the intrinsic
value of the option would be
41Illustration of Call Writers Position
- If the stocks price remains below the options
strike price, the option will not be exercised
and it will expire worthless - The call writer keeps the option premium for
doing nothing - However, if the stock price rises above the
exercise price, the call buyer will exercise the
option and the call buyers gain will equal the
call writers loss - Thus, the intrinsic value of a call writer's
position is the minimum of - 0, (Exercise price Stock price)
42Illustration of Call Writers Position
- The call writers intrinsic gain is equal to the
premium received when the option was sold plus
the intrinsic value of the call
43Illustration of Call Writers Position
44Example Intel Call Option
- In 1993 Intels price ranged from 21 to 37
- In 1993 Mr. Byer bought a call option on Intel,
paying Ms. Rhyter a premium of 2.50 - The option had a strike price of 20 per share
and six months until expiration - If the value of Intel rose to 75 prior to the
expiration date, Mr. Byer could exercise the
option and buy Intel for 20, then immediately
sell the stock for 75 - His profit would be 75 - 20 - 2.50 52.50
per share - If the value of Intel rose to 75 and Mr. Byer
exercised the option, Ms. Rhyter would have to
buy shares of Intel for 75 and immediately
deliver them to Mr. Byer who would pay her 20
for each - Her loss would be 20 - 75 2.50 -52.50 per
share - Note that Mr. Byers profit exactly equals Ms.
Rhyters loss
45Example Intel Call Option
- If Intels price dropped below 20 a share, Ms.
Rhyters position would become profitable while
Mr. Byer would lose money (the call premium)
46Put Options
- A put option
- Gives the owner the right (not the obligation) to
sell (or put) a round lot of the underlying stock
to the put seller within a specified period of
time at a specified price (exercise price) - The intrinsic value of a put is
- MAX0, Exercise price Stock price
47Gain-Loss Graph for Put Buyer
48Gain-Loss Graph for Put Writer
Intrinsic Value of a put writers position
is MIN0, (Stock price Exercise price)
49Example Intrinsic Values for a Put Buyer
- You buy a put for 2 per share for Speed.Com
Corporation with an exercise price of 45 - What is your maximum loss?
- The most you can lose is your premium of 2 per
share - What is your maximum gain?
- If the company goes bankrupt, youll still be
able to sell the stock for 45thus, your gain
would be 45-243 - What will your gain be at expiration if the stock
rises in value to 50? - The put would not be exercised and your loss
would be the premium of 2 - What will your gain be at expiration if the stock
falls in value to 40? - You would exercise the put and sell the stock for
45thus your gain would be 45 - 40 - 2 3
50Perspectives on Options
- Short sellers and buyers of put options both
benefit from a stock price decline - Options buyers cannot lose more than the premium
paid for the optionlimited liability - Means that buyers of a put option are better off
than short sellers if the stock price rises - Means that call buyers are better off than
investors with long positions if the stock price
falls - Call writers do not enjoy limited liability
- If the price of the optioned stock rises to
infinity, the writers losses rise in tandem
51Perspectives on Options
- Gains (Losses) for put buyers are offset by equal
losses (gains) for the put writers - Gains (Losses) for call buyers are offset by
equal losses (gains) for call writers - Counterparties in options are involved in a zero
sum game
52Advantages from Using Options
- If you believe a stocks price will change, you
can either - Go long (or short) the stock
- Buy an option on the underlying stock
- Buying an option may be better than taking a
position in the stock itself due to - Financial leverage
- Less money is required to invest in an option and
each dollar invested in the option can lead to
more dollar gains than a direct position in the
stock - Limited liability
- An option buyer can only lose a maximum of the
call premium if the stock moves against
expectations - While this is 100 of the invested funds, the
invested funds are much smaller than a direct
position in the stock
53Advantages from Using Options
- No lost interest
- A short seller must give up the use of their
funds from the short sale and they do not earn
interest on these funds - Individual short sellers do not immediately
receive the proceeds from their short sale (but
institutional investors do) - No cash dividend payments
- A short seller must pass along dividend payments
to the owners of the borrowed shares whereas put
option buyers do not - Anytime
- Short sales cannot be made on a downtick whereas
a put option can be purchased at any time
54Advantages of Short Sale Over Put Option
- A short (or long) position in a stock can remain
open for years without incurring additional
transactions costs - However, a put option expires within a relatively
short time frame - If you expect a quick movement in stock prices,
an option may be a better choice
55Zero Sum Game
- A zero sum game means that for every winner there
is an offsetting loser - A competitive advantage exists for those who have
- A superior education
- Superior information processing abilities
- Monopolistic access to valuable information
56Determinants of Put and Call Premiums
- Six factors affect the premiums that put and call
options trade at in the market - The length of time remaining in the options life
- The riskiness of the underlying asset
- The market price of the underlying asset
- The exercise price
- Interest rates
- Cash dividend payments
57The Length of Time Remaining in the Options Life
- Option writers charge a higher premium to write
options with a longer time to expiration - Because the probability that the option will be
in-the-money increases with the length of time
until expiration - An option has both time value and intrinsic value
58The Length of Time Remaining in the Options Life
- For a call or put option
- Time value option premium intrinsic value
- Time value may be either zero or positive, but
never negative
59The Riskiness of the Underlying Asset
- Stocks that fluctuate a great deal in price offer
more opportunities for an option owner to
exercise the option - Option writers review the risk of the underlying
stock - Charge higher premiums for options written on
riskier stocks
60Figure 9-8Call Premiums Are Affected By Risk
61Figure 9-8Call Premiums Are Affected By Risk
62Figure 9-8Call Premiums Are Affected By Risk
63Market Price of the Underlying Asset
- Options written on stocks with a higher price are
riskier - Because writer may suffer higher potential losses
64Exercise Price
- Call buyers gain when stock price rises above
exercise price - The lower the exercise price the higher the value
of the call - Put buyers gain when stock price drops below
exercise price - The higher the exercise price, the higher the
value of the put
65Rate of Interest
- Impact of interest rates on option premiums is
minimal but effect occurs because - The discounted present value of the exercise
price is lower the higher the level of interest
rates - The discounted present value of the exercise
price is lower the longer the time until the
option is exercised - Call option premiums relate directly to interest
rates - Put option premiums move inversely to the level
of interest rates
66Cash Dividend Payments
- Ex-dividend date
- The first trading day after a stock pays a cash
dividend - The stocks price drops by the amount of the cash
dividend - This changes the value of stock options
- Calls (Puts) are worth less (more)
67The Bottom Line
- A derivative derives its value from an underlying
asset - A forward is when someone buys an asset for
future delivery - Delivery price specified at time of purchase
- Does not offer the opportunity to trade on margin
- Illiquid
68The Bottom Line
- Futures contracts are improved forward contracts
- Prices are determined by open outcry or an
electronic limit order book system - Counter-party risk is non-existent because a
clearing corporation serves as a middleman - Can be used for speculating or hedging
- Small initial margin requirements
69The Bottom Line
- Financial futures are extremely popular
- Many are cash settleddo not provide for physical
delivery - Buying options rather than taking a short or long
position has advantages - Limited liability and financial leverage
- Options are basically a zero sum game
- Option prices move in a non-linear fashion
relative to the price of the underlying asset
70Appendix Warrants
- Warrants are call options to buy shares of stock
- Newly created warrants are given as attachments
to a bond or preferred stock - Sweeten the issue and make it easier to sell
- Exercise price
- Amount the warrant owner must pay to buy the
specified number of shares
71Appendix Warrants
- Intrinsic value
- MAX 0, (Stocks market price exercise price)
? number of shares - Warrants are identical to call options if the
warrant entitles owner to one share of underlying
stock
72Appendix Warrants
- Differences between warrants and call options
- The corporation that issues the underlying stock
is the writer of a warrant - External third parties write call options
- When warrants are exercised, new shares of
outstanding common stock are created, causing
dilution - If warrants offer a number of shares of stock
different from one, the relationship between a
warrants premium and the underlying stock price
can differ from that of a call option
73Appendix Warrants
- Warrants can be exercised in a time frame usually
ranging from 5 to 15 years - Some have perpetual lives
- Some may be exercised only at specific times
- Non-detachable warrants cannot be traded
separately while detachable warrants can be
74Appendix Callable Bonds Have Embedded Options
- Embedded call options give bond issuer right to
redeem the bonds prior to maturity date - Usually detrimental to bondholders
- Usually redeemed when alternative investments
offer low rates of interest - Issuers usually offer interest rates that are 50
to 100 basis points (BPs) higher than equivalent,
non-callable bonds - Also offer additional protective provisions to
induce investors to buy the bonds
75Appendix Convertible Securities
- Convertible securities allow owners to convert
their preferred stock or bonds to another
security - Usually the common stock of the corporation
- Can be viewed as a combination of a
non-convertible security and an embedded call
option on issuers stock - Most are also callable