ADAPTIVE APPROACHES TO WATER MANAGEMENT

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ADAPTIVE APPROACHES TO WATER
MANAGEMENT KEVIN ROGERS AND HARRY BIGGS
..a democratic system intended to empower its
citizens to participate in designing their own
futures (Imbizo Programme 2002)
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Learning and Doing for a Shared Rationality
Empower each other to engage knowledge, problem
and solutions
Service Institutions
Civil Society
Cooperative learning thru civic engagement
Science and Scientists
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KEVINS AND HARRYS ROLES TODAY
Empower each other to engage knowledge, problem
and solutions
Service Institutions
Civil Society
Distribution of costs the benefits of
using a common property resource
Social action
Social understanding and resource use
Cooperative learning thru civic engagement
Scientific understanding
Science and Scientists
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Scale and Potential-to-Influence
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Scale and Potential-to-Influence
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Scale and Potential-to-Influence
Government DWAF
Implementation
Learning by doing
Stakeholders
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Aiming at the Desired State
Current state
Desired state
Conventional thinking suggests Small adjustments
in early stages can make a big difference to
outcome As trajectories diverge becomes harder to
correct
BUT! In the real world.
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The Target Changes and Moves
Learn and Adapt
Current state
Many factors affect the trajectory and the
desired state
S Social T Technical E
Economic E Environmental P Political
Desired state
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Adaptive Planning of a Desired Future
VISION
The decision making environment
VALUES/ PRINCIPLES
CONTEXT
List vital attributes
Understanding the V - STEEP system to be managed
Determinants, threats, constraints
Evaluate attributes
Objectives
Where we want to go and what we want to achieve
Prioritize Objectives
Expected outcomes
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DESIGNING A SHARED FUTURE
EVALUATE MEANS TO ENTRENCH VALUES AND ACHIEVE
NEEDS
GENERATE RANGE OF POSSIBILE MEANS TO ACHIEVE NEEDS
PLACE FUTURE NEEDS (COSTS AND BENEFITS) ON THE
TABLE
CONSENSUS ON OUR VALUES AND PROBLEMS
PLACE ALL VALUES AND PERCEPTIONS OF PROBLEMS ON
THE TABLE
PARTY A
PARTY C
PARTY B
Rogers and Bestbier 1997
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ADAPTIVE DECISION MAKING CYCLE
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STRATEGIC ADAPTIVE MANAGEMENT OF WATER RESOURCES
IN SOUTH AFRICA
VISION
Scenario generation
Societal values and aspirations
Prepare for uncertainty
Ongoing learning-by-doing
Current state
Management class/reserve
Resource use goals
Ecosystem goals
Identify and contextualize the unexpected
Ecosystem protection plan
Strategic allocation plan
Review goal achievement
Catchment management strategy Resource Resource O
ther protection use strategies strategy strategy
e.g.
empowerment
Operations System understanding Licensing process
Monitoring Compliance State