Lecture 7: Micro Origin of 911 (II)

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Lecture 7 Micro Origin of 911 (II) American
Conspiracy Theory-- Real Conspiracy Vs
American Crisis Management

• 19th February 2003 (Wednesday)

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Structure of Lecture 7

• Logic of Conspiracy Theories
• Types of Conspiracy Theories
• True Believers and the Quasi Believers
• Motivations of the American Conspiracy in 911
• Evidence of the True Believers
• Counter-evidence against the True Believers
• Conclusion Our Stand

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PART ILogic of Conspiracy Theories
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Origin of Conspiracy Theories

• Why are there Conspiracy Theories?
• De-legitimization of Official History
• Trusted History Vs Wild History
• Unanswered Questions in Official Documents
  (Deaths/ Mistakes/ Money)
• Ancient Palace Politics
• Yongzheng Dynasty (1722-1735)

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The Bottom-up Logic

• Assessing the Victors, instead of Victims
• From Victims to Victors
• V-V Logic
• Who are the Victors?
• Those gained power after the incident (e.g. Bush)
• Those gained money after the incident (e.g.
  Military)
• Those escaped from punishment after the incident
  (e.g. Israel)

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Classic Conspiracies

• A Proven History
• Imperial Japan Manchurian Crisis (1931)
• An Unproven History
• USA Pearl Harbor Incident (1941)

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Conspiracy of Other Natures

• The Moon Conspiracy of the US Government and
  the Aliens

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Types of Believers of the 911 Conspiracy

• Quasi-believers
• USA did not plan the whole plot
• Conspired to the unexpected incident
• Excellent Crisis Management
• e.g. anti-war scholars (Noam Chomsky)
• Genuine Believers
• USA planned the whole plot
• Top-secret only the few planners know
• e.g. spy-novel writers (Thierry Meyssan 911 The
  Big Lie)

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Assigned Readings

• Main Text Noam Chomsky Who Are the Global
  Terrorists? (BD P.128-137)
• Supplementary Text
• Desmond Ball Desperately Seeking Bin Laden The
  Intelligence Dimension of the War Against
  Terrorism. (BD P.60-73).
• Steve Smith Unanswered Questions. (BD
  P.48-59)
• Thierry Meyssan 911 The Big Lie

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PART IIMotivations of American Conspiracy in 911
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Deficiencies of Pre-911 World Order

• Cold War Bipolarity
• Post-Cold War
• Uni-polarity?
• But what if Multi-polarity?
• Potential Rivals
• Rising Power China, European Union, Japan
• Contained Power Russia
• Unexpected Power Osama Bin Laden

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Economic Conspiracies

• The Oil Scramble
• The Iraqi Oil Fields
• The Natural Gas Scramble
• Discovery of Caspian Sea Gas Fields the New
  Middle East
• Natural Gas Pipe
• Uzbekistan ? Afghanistan ? Iran ? Iraq ? Turkey
  (Black Sea)
• Alienation from Russia
• Deposition of Taliban in Afghanistan

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The Natural Gas Plan
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Personal Ambition

• The Psychological Freudian Analysis
• George W Bush
• The Fraternity Youth
• Legacy from George Bush Sr.
• Shadow of Governor Jeb Bush
• The 2000 Presidential Election

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Yale Tri-centenary Speech

• If you are graduating with A, well done.
  However, if you are graduating with C, you are
  even better, because you can be the American
  president. Even if you dropped out, you can still
  be the vice-president.
• -- President George W Bush (2001)

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PART III Evidence of the True Believers?
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Intelligence Carelessness

• Ignored Warnings before 911?
• Annual Reports of Federal Aviation Administration
  (1999-2000)
• Centenary Warning at LAX Airport (2000)
• Independence Day Warning against US Airports
  (2001)
• The 20th Hijacker
• Desmond Ball The Intelligence Dimension of the
  War Against Terrorism.
• Steve Smith Unanswered Questions

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Iron Triangle the Source of American
Conspiracies

• Military Plan against Iraq since Gulf War (1990)
• Iron Triangle in US Politics
• Military (weapon makers)
• Industrial (millionaires who need fuel)
• Executive (make decisions on war)
• Why they conspired to make wars?
• Distribution of Iraqi Oil Fields among US
  Industrial Complex
• Mass Production of US Weapons
• Funding from Military and Industrial to the
  Republican Party

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The JFK Case

• Assassination of President John F Kennedy (1963)
• Unanswered Questions
• The Lone Murderer and the Magic Bullet
• The Cover-ups Murder of the Murderer
• Oliver Stone JFK
• Victors?
• President Lyndon Johnson
• Military-Industrial-Executive Complex
• The Ones Escalated the Vietnam War

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PART IV Counter-Evidence against the True
Believers
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Economic Balance Sheet

• Economic Losses
• The Whole World Trade Tower
• Wall Street Stock Market
• Insurance Industry
• Aviation Industry
• Auditing Industry
• Chain Effect, Worldwide Economy
• Total Direct Loss of US33-36 billions
• What are the gains?!

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Bureaucratic Politics

• Federal Government
• Departments, Commissions, Advisors
• Regional Government, Legislature, Judiciary
• Decision-making Process
• Separation of Power
• Check and Balance System
• Easy Leaking of Information
• The Real Accountability System Why do you take
  the risk?

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PART V Conclusion Sometimes Naïve. Im
Angry!
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Blind-spots of the Conspiracy Logics the
Tautology

• When youre the gainer, conspiracies are almost
  impossible to be proven
• But when you become the loser of the situation,
  there will always be conspiracies to be made
  against you
• Precedence of the Chinese Cultural Revolution,
  the Dreamland of Conspiracies

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Usage of the Conspiracy Theory

• Alienation between Allied-members and between a
  united nation
• Interests of Readers
• Money of Writers
• Joined-interest of Re-writers!

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Position of the CourseAmerica as a Superb
Crisis Manager

• Iraqi Crisis and the Saddam-Laden Link
• Against Real Conspiracy Believer why didnt
  attack Iraq from the first place?
• Quasi-Conspiracy Believer
• 911 is a surprise to America, their instant
  response is to revenge, to revenge against the
  real planner as they believe, Osama Bin Laden.
• When time flies, the Americans are aware of the
  situation become very advantageous to them, so
  they make use of the whole situation to expand
  its power in the regions that it wanted to expand
  for decades.

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The Latest Bin Laden Prophecy (Feb 2003)

• It is clear that the preparations to attack Iraq
  are part of a series of attacks prepared for
  nations of the region including Syria, Iran,
  Egypt and Sudan
• The aim of the Crusaders campaign is to prepare
  the atmosphere for the establishment of the
  so-called greater Israel state, which includes
  great parts of Iraq, Egypt, Syria, Jordan and
  large portions of (Saudi Arabia)

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The End
Thank you for attending