Title: Korean tanker No 3 oil spill incident simulation Wind drift model with 112 SW Japan Sea OCM correcti
1Korean tanker No 3 oil spill incident
simulationWind drift model with 1/12 SW Japan
Sea OCM correction empirical surface wind drift
(?0.06, ?0), Delvigne Sweeney particles size
distribution, dmax/dmin25/250 ?m
Click on the buttons below to start animations
Particles
Concentration
Tidal current
2Routine oil spill simulation and prediction
system parameters
- Meteorological analysis and forecasts data are
received once a day. Total 3.7 Mb are received,
and at 1800 UTC (local night) it usually takes
approximately 7 - 8 minutes - SW OCM is started and run the currents simulation
and prediction for 126 h (5 days). With 10s time
step it takes 1 h 03 min on 667 MHz Alpha
processor (GFDL MOM 1/12 - 25 min) - Oil spill simulation could be run by operator and
for 5 days with 10000 droplets it will takeless
then 14 min
3Conclusion
1
- Oil spill numerical simulation system could
provide important information for long term
environmental protection planning as well as for
the short term (at least up to 4-5 days) planning
of accidental oil spill recovery operations
4Conclusion
2
- As follows from large number of spill simulation
experiments, the ocean currents simulation
subsystem is an important part of the oil spill
analysis and prediction system, especially for
the Sea of Japan. Single wind drift model cannot
reproduce the observed wide oil spreading along
the Japanese coast.
5Conclusion
3
- To respond the incidental oil spill and to
predict its fate, the meteorological subsystem
and the Ocean Circulation Model as parts of the
oil spill simulation system have to be operated
routinely
6Conclusion
4
- Oil spill remote monitoring system providing the
corrections for the spill simulation model will
strongly improve the forecasts of spill spreading
7Conclusion
5
- Results of simulations depend from large number
of model parameters and from initial oil spill
characteristics (e.g. spill position, intensity,
spilled oil properties). These parameters are
often unknown or are known approximately
The parallel computation of different spill
scenarios and the probability analysis of the oil
spill simulation results are desirable
8Conclusion
6
- Any oil spill simulation and prediction system
will produce the best forecast ifno oil spills
will happen
Return to the S.Varlamov oil spill home page