Korean tanker No 3 oil spill incident simulation Wind drift model with 112 SW Japan Sea OCM correcti - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Korean tanker No 3 oil spill incident simulation Wind drift model with 112 SW Japan Sea OCM correcti

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With 10s time step it takes 1 h 03 min on 667 MHz Alpha processor (GFDL MOM 1/12 ... The parallel computation of different spill scenarios and the probability ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Korean tanker No 3 oil spill incident simulation Wind drift model with 112 SW Japan Sea OCM correcti


1
Korean tanker No 3 oil spill incident
simulationWind drift model with 1/12 SW Japan
Sea OCM correction empirical surface wind drift
(?0.06, ?0), Delvigne Sweeney particles size
distribution, dmax/dmin25/250 ?m
Click on the buttons below to start animations
Particles
Concentration
Tidal current
2
Routine oil spill simulation and prediction
system parameters
  • Meteorological analysis and forecasts data are
    received once a day. Total 3.7 Mb are received,
    and at 1800 UTC (local night) it usually takes
    approximately 7 - 8 minutes
  • SW OCM is started and run the currents simulation
    and prediction for 126 h (5 days). With 10s time
    step it takes 1 h 03 min on 667 MHz Alpha
    processor (GFDL MOM 1/12 - 25 min)
  • Oil spill simulation could be run by operator and
    for 5 days with 10000 droplets it will takeless
    then 14 min

3
Conclusion
1
  • Oil spill numerical simulation system could
    provide important information for long term
    environmental protection planning as well as for
    the short term (at least up to 4-5 days) planning
    of accidental oil spill recovery operations

4
Conclusion
2
  • As follows from large number of spill simulation
    experiments, the ocean currents simulation
    subsystem is an important part of the oil spill
    analysis and prediction system, especially for
    the Sea of Japan. Single wind drift model cannot
    reproduce the observed wide oil spreading along
    the Japanese coast.

5
Conclusion
3
  • To respond the incidental oil spill and to
    predict its fate, the meteorological subsystem
    and the Ocean Circulation Model as parts of the
    oil spill simulation system have to be operated
    routinely

6
Conclusion
4
  • Oil spill remote monitoring system providing the
    corrections for the spill simulation model will
    strongly improve the forecasts of spill spreading

7
Conclusion
5
  • Results of simulations depend from large number
    of model parameters and from initial oil spill
    characteristics (e.g. spill position, intensity,
    spilled oil properties). These parameters are
    often unknown or are known approximately

The parallel computation of different spill
scenarios and the probability analysis of the oil
spill simulation results are desirable
8
Conclusion
6
  • Any oil spill simulation and prediction system
    will produce the best forecast ifno oil spills
    will happen

Return to the S.Varlamov oil spill home page
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