Salmon Population Status

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Salmon Population Status Trends

• Task 2 Abundance Productivity

Barry Thom Deputy Regional Administrator
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Task 2 VisionA common set of salmon and
steelhead population abundance and productivity
information that is standardized, readily
accessible, and shared by all entities in the
Pacific Northwest to make informed management
decisions.

• Needs
• Shift from stock-based to population-based
  monitoring and management
• Region-wide data integration, sharing, and
  regular updating of population abundance and
  productivity indicators
• A streamlined regional monitoring strategy for
  population status and trends that is
  scientifically robust and economically efficient

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Task 2 Vision BenefitsData Integration
Sharing
High Level Indicator Reports

• Status of the Resource
• State of Salmon
• Oregon Plan Biennial Report
• BiOp Progress Reports
• PCSRF Annual Report

• Population Data
• Integrated Shared
• Regularly Updated

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Task 2 Workplan Data Integration Sharing
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Task 2 Workplan Regional Monitoring Strategy
Monitoring Guidance
Inventory
Data Dictionary
Gap Analysis
Data
Collaborative Monitoring Strategy
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Task 2 Next Steps Data Dictionary
Develop a standardized language describing

• Primary indicators used in the region to monitor
  population abundance and productivity
• Diversity of protocols used to generate primary
  indicators
• Various field metrics from which primary
  indicators may be derived
• Methods and procedures used to collect field
  metrics
• Whether and how estimates of uncertainty are
  calculated.

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Task 2 Next Steps Data Dictionary
Confidence Interval
Method
Primary Indicator
Metric(s)
Method
Method
Data
Confidence Interval
Method
Natural Spawner Abundance

• Survey sampled
• Annual
• Watershed

• Redd Density
• Hatchery

• Three-pass
• Stratified random design

• Redd Counts

• Extrapolated Count
• Annual
• Watershed

• Wier Counts
• Pre-spawn mortality
• Hatchery
• Harvest

• Trapping video
• Carcass surveys

• Adult Counts
• Carcass counts

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Task 2 Next Steps Data Dictionary
Review Finalization of Draft Data Dictionary

• Review indicators, metrics, methods/procedures,
  etc. to ensure they are accurate and capture the
  diversity of monitoring approaches employed in
  the region
• Provide comments/input to NOAA by Nov. 15th 30th
  
• Workgroup to finalize data dictionary,
  incorporating comments and taking advantage of
  existing products (e.g., CSMEP strengths/weaknesse
  s assessments, NWFSC/TetraTech metadata survey)
• Workgroup to develop inventory tool

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Task 2 Next Steps Pilot Inventory

• Use final data dictionary to catalogue abundance
  and productivity information for populations in
  two ESUs (Winter 2009)
• Will help refine/verify data dictionary and
  inventory tool

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Task 2 Next Steps Monitoring Guidance

• Regional guidance is lacking regarding what is
  adequate population-level monitoring
• Guidance will establish goals/standards against
  which existing monitoring efforts may be
  evaluated
• Interested in feedback whether collaboratively
  drafting monitoring guidance is a useful step
  toward developing a detailed regional monitoring
  strategy and implementation plan

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Task 2 Next Steps Monitoring Guidance

• Regional review of draft Monitoring Guidance
• Provide comments to NOAA by November 30th
• Workgroup to incorporate comments and distribute
  revised draft for executive approval (Winter
  2009)
• Approved Monitoring Guidance to be used in pilot
  gap analysis

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Task 2 Next Steps Pilot Gap Analysis

• For the 2 pilot ESUs, evaluate the gap in
  existing population-level abundance and
  productivity monitoring relative to Monitoring
  Guidance
• Describe adjustments, potential efficiencies, or
  additional monitoring needed
• Describe expected improvements, and associated
  costs
• Present results, lessons learned, and propose
  revisions to inventory tool and Monitoring
  Guidance, if warranted (Winter 2009)

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Task 2 Next Steps Collaborative Strategy

• Develop agreements regarding
• Who will monitor what, where
• Preferred methods/protocols
• Data management/sharing/updates
• Who will pay for what
• Shorter Term
• Integrating, sharing, and regularly updating the
  population-level data currently being monitored
• Longer Term
• Adoption and implementation of a regional
  monitoring strategy that improves the quality of
  monitoring data, maximizes efficiencies, and
  minimizes costs

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Task 2 Next Steps Summary of Resources Needed

• Data Dictionary
• Staff review and comment
• Staff participation on workgroup to finalize data
  dictionary and develop inventory tool
• Monitoring Guidance
• Staff review and comment
• Staff participation on workgroup to develop
  revised draft(s)
• Inventory/Gap Analyses and Strategy
• Staff participation on workgroup to evaluate
  results of pilot inventory and gap analysis
• and/or staff support to conduct region-wide
  inventory and gap analysis

Fall 08
timeline
Fall 08
Winter 09
Winter - Spring 09