Title: Continuous Random Variables
1Chapter 5
- Continuous Random Variables
- Continuous Random Variables
- Probability Density Function
- Expectation and Variance of Continuous Random
Variables - The Uniform Random Variable
- Normal Random Variable
- Exponential Random Variable
- Other Continuous Distributions
- The Distribution of Function of a Random Variables
2Objectives
- To calculate the expectation and variance of
continuous random variables - To focus on the uniform, normal and exponential
random variables - To determine the distribution of a function of a
random variable
3Continuous Random Variables
- Introduction
- Consider n uniform sample values in the interval
0, 1 and a sample value is randomly selected. - Let Xi denote the value selected, so Xi is a
discrete random variable - ---n increase, the probability decrease
- Now, a value is selected from 0, 1. Let X
denote the value selected. - ---for any x from 0, 1
- Therefore, the probability mass function is not
suitable to describe X.
4Continuous Random Variables
- So, we use relative likelihood to describe the
information that all the possible outcomes are
equally likely. - Next, consider a value from 0, 2 is randomly
selected. - Comparing the relative likelihood for the
interval 0, 1 and 0, 2 - X, Y are continuous random variables. fx(x),
fy(y) are probability density function (p.d.f.).
5Continuous Random Variables
- Definition
- A random variable, say X , is called continuous
random variable if there exists a non-negative
function fX, where having
the property that for any set B of real numbers - f is called the probability density function of
the random variable - The probability that X in B can be obtained by
integrating the probability density function over
the set B. - Hence, all probability statements about X can be
obtained by fX
6Continuous Random Variables
- Let a is same as b
- Therefore, the probability of a continuous
random variable at any fixed value is equal to
zero. Hence -
7Probability Density Function
8Relations Between CDF and PDF
- -------relation between c.d.f and
p.d.f. -
- Note FX(x) is differentiable everywhere except a
finite number of points, say x1, x1, , xn , then -
9- Ex 5.1
- The amount of running time of a computer program
is a continuous random variable with the
probability density function - What is the probability that the computer run
the program within 10 and 50 units. - Ans
- First we calculate the value of a
- Hence, the probability that the computer run the
program within 10 and 50 units is given by - Therefore, the probability is 0.524
10Expectation and Variance
- Expectation of continuous random variable
- For discrete random variable X, the expectation
is defined by - If X is a continuous random variable having the
probability density function f(x), then -
- Hence
- If Y is a non-negative random variable, then
-
- If X is a continuous random variable with
probability density function fX (x), for any
real-valued function g
11Expectation and Variance
- Proof
- If Y is a non-negative random variable, let fY
be the probability density function of Y. - For a non negative function g,
12Expectation and Variance
- Variance of continuous random variable
- If X is a continuous random variable with
expected valueµand has the probability density
function f(x), then - Properties
- 1
- 2
13Ex 5.2 If X has density function f with f(x) 0
when xlt0, and distribution function F, then
y
y
yx
yx
x
x
14- Ex 5.3
- Find EX and Var X when the probability
density function is - Ans
- The expectation The variance
15- Ex 5.4
- The probability density function of a random
variable X, is - If Y 2X, find EY
- Ans
-
16The Uniform Random variable
- Definition
- A random variable X is defined to be uniform
random variable on the interval (a, b) if its
probability function is given by - Hence,
- so f(x) is a probability density function.
17- Ex 5.5
- If X is a uniform random variable in the
interval a, b, find the expectation, EX and
the variance, Var (X). - Ans
-
-
18- Ex 5.6
- If X is a number randomly selected from the
interval (0, 1), find the probability that the
second digit in square root of X is equal to k, - Ans
- Let Ak denote the set of numbers in (0, 1) whose
square roots have a second digit equal to k. -
- As X is uniformly distributed over (0, 1), the
probability density function is
19- Ans
- Hence, the probability is 0.0910.002k
20- Ex 5.7
- A point is chosen at random along a line of
length 1, dividing the line into two segments.
What is the expected value of the ratio of
shorter segment to longer segment - Ans
- Let X denote the ratio chosen. The probability
density function is - Define the function of the ratio be g(X),
-
-
21- Ex 5.8
- An one unit length long stick is split at point
P that is uniformly distributed over (0, 1). Find
the expected length of the piece that contains
the point Q, where Q is measured from the zero
point of the stick - Ans
- Let L(P) denote the length of the piece that
contains the point Q - The probability density function
-
0
Q
P
L(P)
0
Q
P
L(P)
22Ex 5.9 Let X be a random variable such that Pr
0 X c 1. Show that
23(No Transcript)
24Ex 5.10 Let X be a random variable with
distribution function F(X). Then the random
variable Y F(X) has uniform distribution over
(0, 1). Proof
25The Normal Random variable
- Definition
- A random variable X is defined to be normal
random variable (or say X is normally
distributed) with parameters µ and s2 if its
probability density function is given by - We can also write to
represent the relationship - so fX (x) is a probability density function.
26The Normal Random variable
- Expectation
-
-
- Therefore, the expectation of the normal random
variable is the parameter µ.
27The Normal Random variable
- Variance
-
- Integration by part
- Therefore, the variance of the normal random
variable is s2.
28The Normal Random variable
- For
-
- Note
- 1. The mean and variance of a normally
distributed random variable uniquely determine
the probability density function. - 2. Normal distribution is also called Gaussian
distribution. - Physical meaning
- µdetermines the axis of symmetry of the plot of
fX (x). - sdetermines the focus or the spread of fX (x)
about this axis of symmetry. - (the larger s, the greater the spread)
29The Normal Random variable
30The Normal Random variable
- Approximation
- To find the probability such as, F(x) or P(a lt X
ltb) when X is a normal random variable, we need
use only one table which show the area under the
standard normal curve to the left. - as the probability density function fX
(x) is symmetrical about the y axis
31Ex 5.11 X is N(0, 1) random variable. Then
32Ex 5.12 If X is normal random variable with µ 3
and s2 9, find (a) Pr 2lt Xlt5 (b) Pr
Xgt0 (c) Pr X-3 gt 6
33(No Transcript)
34Ex 5.13 Suppose that a binary message either 0
or 1 must be transmitted by wire from A to B.
If X 2 is the value sent at A corresponding to
0 and 1 respectively. Then the value R received
at B is R X N where N is the channel noise
which is a normal random variable N(0, 1) If
R0.5, then 1 is concluded. If Rlt0.5, then 0 is
concluded. There are two types of errors Pr
error message is 1 Pr Rlt0.5
X2 Pr 2Nlt0.5 Pr N lt
-1.5 1-F(1.5) 0.0668 and Pr error
message is 0 Pr R0.5 X-2 Pr
-2N0.5 Pr N 2.5 1-
F(2.5)0.0062
35Ex 5.14 X is normally distributed with
parameters µ and s2, then Y aXß is normally
distributed with parameters aµß and a2 s2, agt0
Proof
36(No Transcript)
37- Ex 5.15
- The lifetime T of a transistor is normally
distributed with mean 200 hours and standard
deviation 9. What is the probability that a
particular transistor will last more than 210
hours? What is the probability that a transistor
which lasts 200 hours will last more than 220
hours - Ans.
- Although T is a non-negative random variable,
the actual probability density function of T,
f(t), is zero for negative t, we let the
following p.d.f to approximate f(t) - The probability of lasting more than 210 hours
is - If it lasts 200 hours, the probability of
lasting 220 hours too is -
38The DeMoivre-Laplace limit theorem If Sn denotes
the number of successes that occur when n
independent trials, each resulting in a success
with probability of p, are performed then , for
any a lt b Ex 5.16 Let X be the number of
times that a fair coin, flipped 40 times, lands
heads. Find the probability that X20. PX20
P 19.5 X 20.5
39The Exponential Random Variable
- Definition
- A random variable X is defined to be exponential
random variable (or say X is exponentially
distributed) with positive parameter ? if its
probability density function is given by - so fX(x) is a probability density function.
- The cumulative distribution function
40The Exponential Random Variable
41Moment of exponential random variable
Proof
42(No Transcript)
43- Ex 5.17
- A system consists of two processors and three
peripheral units. The system is functioning as
long as one processor and two peripherals are
functioning. It is known that the processor
lifetimes are exponential random variable with
parameter a and the peripheral lifetimes are
exponential random variables with parameter b.
All the components fail independently. Let T be
the lifetime of the system. Find the c.d.f. of
the lifetime. - Ans
- Let Xi be the lifetime of processor i, i1, 2
- Let Yj be the lifetime of peripheral j, j1, 2,
3 -
44- Ans
- Let A be the event both processors fail to last
for t - Let B be the event at least two peripherals
fail to last for t -
- Therefore, the c.d.f. of the lifetime of the
system is
45Other Continuous Distributions
- The Gamma Distribution
- Note
46Other Continuous Distributions
- The Weibull Distribution
-
- The Cauchy Distribution
47Other Continuous Distributions
48The Distribution of a Function of a Random
Variable
- Here, the probability density function of a
random variable X is known. How do we determine
the probability density function of some
functions, say g(X) of it. - Method 1 Express the event that in
terms of X being in some set. -
- Method 2 If g(X) is a strictly monotone(either
increasing or decreasing) and differentiable
function of X , use the below formula to find
the probability density function of random
variable Y defined by Y g(X).
49The Distribution of a Function of a Random
Variable
- Proof
- Case 1 y g(x) is a strictly increasing
function.
50The Distribution of a Function of a Random
Variable
- Proof
- Case 2 y g(x) is a strictly decreasing
function.
51The Distribution of a Function of a Random
Variable
- Summary
- If y g(x) is a continuous and monotonic
function over R, then Y g (X) has the
probability density function
since
52- Ex 5.18
- If the probability density function fX(x) of
random variable X is given, find the probability
density function fY(x) of . - Ans
- The cumulative distribution function of Y
-
53- Ex 5.19
- If the probability density function fX(x) of
random variable X is given, find the probability
density function fY(x) of . - Ans
-