January WRAP Modeling Forum Conf Call

1
January WRAP Modeling Forum Conf Call

• Call Information
• Tuesday, January 18, 2005
• 1pm PT 2pm MT 4pm ET
• Conference line 312-461-9324
• Participants access code 504539

2
Topics

• Update on Emissions
• MM5 Update
• Wind blown Fugitive Dust
• Fire Sensitivity Modeling
• Source Attribution Modeling
• Comparison of CMAQ with Alternate Model
• Alaska Modeling

3
December RMC Emissions Progress (1)

• Completing modeling and QA of simulation 36km
  Pre02d
• Developed QA protocol products for 36km Pre02d
  simulation
• WRAP RMC 2004 Interim Report
• Began preparation for 12km Pre02d simulation

4
December RMC Emissions Progress (2)

• Additional, 36-km domain-wide emissions summaries
  provided to ARS, extended WRAP-only summaries
  provided last month
• Continued coordination with ERG and the WRAP to
  develop a protocol for obtaining 1999 Mexico
  emissions inventories

5
MM5 Update

• Completed 2002 36/12 km MM5 simulations in
  December 2004
• Completed Jan.-June, Nov.-Dec. MCIP processing
  for 2002 36/12 km simulations. The July-Sep.
  MCIP runs will be completed by 01/21/05
• ENVIRON received first batch of 36/12 km MM5
  results from UCR 01/13/05, two more months to be
  transferred.
• Final 2002 36/12 km MM5 evaluation to do
• 2002 36 km MM5 compare WRAP, VISTAS CENRAP Runs
  for subdomains across USA
• Compare 2002 36 km and 12 km WRAP MM5 runs
• Put together backup and distribution disks (1.7
  Tb of data on 6 300 Gb IDE drives)
• Current Distribution NPS 1st OAQPS 2nd
• Updated Reports _at_ http//pah.cert.ucr.edu/aqm/308/
  mm5.shtml

6
Wind Blown Fugitive Dust Update

• CMAQ sensitivity simulations completed
• CMAQ run w/ w/o WB Dust Emissions
• Initial MPE completed
• Results currently being reviewed/evaluated
• Draft Report completion by 01/19/05
• Eastern agricultural adjustments updated
• Next Steps Revised Model Run (Feb 05)
• New 2002 MM5 36/12 km
• Land-Use Specific fugitive dust transport factor

7
Fire Sensivity

• Post-analysis of fire sensitivity runs and for
  presentation at 12/8 FEJF meeting
• http//pah.cert.ucr.edu/aqm/308/meetings.shtml
• Largest effects were from wild fires
• Natural fire emissions effects much larger than
  anthropogenic fires.

8
Alternative Model

• CAMx 36 km Feb/Jul 2002
• New 2002 MM5 fields and latest pre02D remissions
• Compare model performance with CMAQ
• CAMx PSAT PM Source Apportionment
• Use same sources as AoH CMAQ TSSA and compare
  results
• Received pre-merged pre02D emissions 01/13/05
• Begin to load data on to ENVIRON RAID system
• Completion in February 2005

9
Alaska Modeling

• Alaska 2002 Annual 45/15 km MM5 simulation to be
  completed in January 2005
• July to December are completed
• Next Steps
• Evaluation of Alaska 2002 MM5 simulation
• Processing of Alaska emissions data for CALPUFF
• Point sources and major urban areas
• Begin CALMET/CALPUFF modeling