Title: Steve OConnor
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2Steve OConnor
3Steve OConnor
- Mortgage Bankers Association
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5David Crowe
6David A. Crowe, PhD.
Senior Staff Vice President,Regulatory and
Housing Policy National Association of Home
Builders
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8Builders Build to
- Expand the inventory of homes to meet the
population growth - Satisfy consumers at the lowest possible cost
9Annual Increase in Population
10Long Term Demand and Supply
Source Census Bureau, NAHB Forecast
11New Homes Started / Shipped
12Vacant Year-Round Housing Units on the Market
(000s, 3-Quarter Moving Average)
(Percent)
of Housing Stock (right scale)
No. of Units (left scale)
13Buyers of Newly Built Homes
- Whole households move from one home to a new one
- Were owners
- Were renters
- Households form as part of purchase
- Were not in country
- Kids left home or school
- Roommates parted
14Newly Built Home Purchasers
Previously abroad 0
New households 5
Previously in group quarters 3
Kids leave home 1
Previously owners 61
Previously renters 30 (20 first time buyers)
15Existing Home Purchasers
Previously abroad 1
New households 6
Previously in group quarters 3
Kids leave home 2
Previously owners 46
Previously renters 42 (29 first time buyers)
16What Helps Get Homes Built?
- Healthy economy
- Predictable and affordable material and labor
supply - Well-planned land inventory and infrastructure
- Reasonable regulatory environment
- Stable mortgage market with lowest possible
interest rates and steady production credit
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18Roy DeLoach
19Roy DeLoach
- National Association of Mortgage Brokers
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21Who is a Broker?
- Mortgage Brokers originate about 50 of all home
loans - Another 30 - 35 are originated by banks and
lenders acting as if they are mortgage brokers - Most residential mortgages are quickly sold into
the secondary market
22Who Holds the Risk?
- Most banks, lenders and mortgage brokers have
contract provisions with investors / lenders
requiring buy-back of a loan for early payment
default - The GSEs have contract provisions that reduce
buy-back requirements for lenders provided the
loan was accepted by their AUS
23Who Does What?
- Wall Street, Hedge Funds, Freddie Mac, Fannie Mae
- Lenders and Underwriters
- Point of Sale Originators - Most lenders, small
banks, credit unions, mortgage brokers,
homebuilders, real estate brokers
24Who is Regulated?
25The Two World Order
- Watters v. Wachovia
- Split the mortgage world into two camps
- Federal-chartered mortgage provider
- State-chartered mortgage provider
- New business models being developed
- Exploit removal of state law consumer protections
for Federal entities
26What is the Phone Number?
27What is the Phone Number?
28 Safeguards Going Forward
- Pre-payments should match the first adjustment
period? - Escrow Accounts For sub-prime required for
loans above 80 LTV? - Stated income / No Document use a credit score
tool to permit? - Ability to Repay use a credit score tool?
29Consumer Protections
- National Registry of all Originators
- Fees for all Enforcement and Education
- Mortgage originators must have something to lose
30Consumer Protections
- Trigger Lists
- This practice should be limited to written offers
only - Disclosures
- Mortgage originators role?
- Do you intend to sell my loan?
- Does your firm or bank offer all types of
loans?Sub-prime or just conventional loans?
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