Title: Data New
1Data - New Old
By Anirban Basu, Chief Economist, ABC June 23,
2009
2Economic Indicators
3Commercial Real Estate LoansJanuary 2001-April
2009, SA
Source Federal Reserve Board
4Architecture Billings IndexDecember 2007-April
2009
Source The American Institute of Architectures
5Nonresidential Construction Spending April 2006-
April 2009
April 2008 v. April 2009 Manufacturing
70.3 Power 25.9 Commercial
-24.4 Office
-10.5 Nonresidential 2.5
Source U.S. Census Bureau
6Nonresidential Construction Spending by Subsector
April 2009 vs. April 2008 (SAAR)
Source U.S. Census Bureau
7National Nonfarm Employmentby Industry Sector
GroupsMay 2008 v. May 2009Absolute Change
-5,366k All Told
Source Bureau of Labor Statistics
8Net Change in U.S. JobsJanuary 2001 through May
2009
Over the last 12 months (May to May) the U.S.
lost 5,366k jobs
Source Bureau of Labor Statistics
9Unemployment Rates, U.S. States (SA) April 2009
Source Bureau of Labor Statistics
- U.S. Unemployment Rate April 09 8.9
10Unemployment Rates, Largest 20 Metros(NSA) April
2009
Source Bureau of Labor Statistics
11Conference Board Consumer Expectations
IndexOctober 2001 through May 2009
72.3 Highest Since Dec. 07
Source Conference Board
12U.S. Retail Food Services SalesJanuary 2001
through May 2009
Source Dismal.com
13U.S. Business Inventory to Sales RatioJanuary
2001 through March 2009
Source Dismal.com
14U.S. Nonresidential Fixed Investment1990Q2
through 2009Q1
Source BEA
15U.S. Nonresidential Structure Fixed
Investment1990Q2 through 2009Q1
Source BEA
16U.S. Exports1990Q2 through 2009Q1
Source BEA
17U.S. Federal Budget Deficit, 1995-2010
Source Congressional Budget Office
2009-2010 data are projections
18Concluding Remarks
- ABC has a new tool by which to increase its
national exposure - The ABC economic team looks forward to other
suggestions to make ABC the principal source for
construction economic analysis in the U.S. - Certain nonresidential segments continue to
prosper and those segments are also the ones that
stand to disproportionately benefit from the
stimulus package and - Other nonresidential construction segments remain
mired in recession and recovery remains many
years away.