AGROTERROR

1
AGROTERROR

• NATIONAL GOVERNORS ASSOCIATION
• FEBRUARY 6TH, 2003

May we live in interesting times.
2
AGROTERROR

• CREDIBLE THREAT?

3
The Threat is Real

• 280 US documents on agroterror found in the caves
  of Afghanistan translated into Arabic
• A substantial portion of the al Qaeda Training
  Manual is dedicated to agroterror

4
AGROTERROR

• RAND CORP. SECURITY ANALYSTS THOUSANDS OF FOOD
  PROCESSING PLANTS HAVE MINIMAL BIOSECURITY AND
  WORKFORCES UNSCREENED
• NO US CITY HAS MORE THAN A 7 DAY FOOD SUPPLY

5
ASYMMETRIC WARFARE

• INDUCTION OF ADVERSE EFFECTS THAT WILL UNDERMINE
  ECONOMIC, SOCIAL, OR POLITICAL CONFIDENCE
• IT IS THE TYPE OF WARFARE CONDUCTED BY A 3RD
  WORLD COUNTRY OR TERRORIST NETWORK AGAINST A
  SUPER POWER

6
ASYMMETRIC WARFARE

• MISINFORMATION CAN BE AS EFFECTIVE AS THE ACTUAL
  EVENT WHEN IT COMES TO AGROTERROR

7
MISINFORMATION

• OIE REQUIRES TRANSPARENCY OF REPORTING OF A
  NATIONS DISEASE STATUS AS A REQUIREMENT FOR
  INTERNATIONAL TRADE IN PRODUCTION AGRICULTURE
  PRODUCTS

8
AGROTERROR

• The purpose of agroterror is to cause economic
  destruction
• Decrease the faith in the safety of the food
  supply
• Decrease the availability of food
• A vehicle for the dissemination of a chemical or
  biologic agent

9
Plans, Plans, Plans

• FMD Plan
• Avian Influenza Plan
• Animal Health Emergency Management Plan
• FEOP
• SEOP
• Model State Plan???????????

10
Model State Emergency Operations Plan

• Comprehensive Emergency Management Format
• Emergency Support Function
• Annex
• All Hazard

11
Model Plan

• PRODUCTION AGRICULTURE, ANIMALS AND ANIMAL
  INDUSTRY MODEL STATE EMERGENCY OPERATIONS PLAN

12
Comprehensive Emergency Management Plan

• Introduction
• Purpose
• Responsibilities (Primary, Support)
• Concept of Operations (Mitigation, Response and
  Recovery)
• Succession of Authority

13
KEY ELEMENTS

• CERTAIN CATASTROPHIC EVENTS EITHER NATURAL OR
  MAN-MADE INVOLVING PRODUCTION AGRICULTURE,
  ANIMALS AND ANIMAL INDUSTRY WILL BE DECLARABLE
  EMERGENCIES OR DISASTERS TO PROTECT HUMAN LIFE,
  PROPERTY AND THE ECONOMY

14
KEY ELEMENTS

• PRIMARY AGENCIES ARE IDENTIFIED (DEPARTMENT OF
  AGRICULTURE, BOARDS OF ANIMAL HEALTH, ANIMAL
  HEALTH COMMISSIONS AND/OR UNIVERSITIES)
• SUPPORT AGENCIES (DOT, DOD, LE, DHR, SEMA, FEMA,
  DNR)

15
KEY ELEMENTS

• PRIMARY AGENCY OR AGENCIES MUST HAVE THE
  AUTHORITY TO QUARANTINE, STOP MOVEMENT, DETAIN IN
  ONE LOCATION OR MOVE TO ANOTHER ANIMALS,
  EQUIPMENT, OR PRODUCTS FOR THE CONTROL AND
  ERADICATION OF DISEASE

16
KEY ELEMENTS

• SUCCESSION OF AUTHORITY THE COMMISSIONER OR
  DIRECTOR OF THE PRIMARY AGENCY OR AGENCIES WILL
  IDENTIFY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT COORDINATORS THAT
  WILL HAVE THE AUTHORITY TO DEDICATE EQUIPMENT,
  PERSONNEL AND FACILITIES OF SUCH AGENCIES AND
  REQUEST ASSSISTANCE FROM OTHERS TO SUPPORT THIS
  ESF.

17
KEY ELEMENTS

• SUCCESSION OF AUTHORITY MUST BE CONSISTENT
  WITH THE FEDERAL EMERGENCY RESPONSE PLAN
• MUST SUPPORT ANY OTHER ESF TO SAVE HUMAN LIFE
• MUST BE CONSISTENT WITH THE US GOVERNMENT
  INTERAGENCY DOMESTIC TERRORISM CONCEPT OF
  OPERATIONS (CONPLAN) FBI/OIG USDA

18
KEY ELEMENTS

• MUST HAVE A METHOD OF ACQUIRING, MAINTAINING,
  EVALUATING AND DISSEMINATING INFORMATION IN A
  RESTRICTED AND SECURE ENVIRONEMENT
• A PARALLEL BUT SEPARATE LINE OF INFORMATION AND
  COMMUNICATION TO THE HISTORICALLY TRANSPARENT
  REPORTING SYSTEM
• SECURE METHOD OF OPERATIONS

19
NationalEmergencyManagement Association

• Big Sky Montana
• September 11, 2001

20
GEORGIA EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AGENCY

• Foreign Animal Disease Its Consequences
• Paul Williams, DVM

21
(No Transcript)
22
(No Transcript)
23
(No Transcript)
24
(No Transcript)
25
(No Transcript)
26
(No Transcript)
27
(No Transcript)
28
(No Transcript)
29
(No Transcript)
30
Foot and Mouth Disease Exercise

• June 9 - 12, 2001
• State Operations Center
• Georgia Emergency Management

31
Participants

• Georgia Emergency Management Agency
• Georgia Department of Agriculture
• DNR Wildlife Resources
• DNR Environmental Protection Division
• USDA, APHIS
• Georgia Department of Transportation
• Department of Defense

32
Participants

• Department of Human Resources / Division of
  Public Health
• Georgia Bureau of Investigation
• Department of Transportation / Law Enforcement
• Department of Administrative Services
• UGA, Diagnostic Disease Laboratories
• UGA, Cooperative Wildlife Disease Study

33
Participants

• UGA, Department of Pathology
• Members of the Livestock Industries
• Emergency Management, Iowa
• Emergency Management, Connecticut
• Dept. of Agriculture, Connecticut

34
Other Players

• State of Florida
• State of North Carolina
• State of South Carolina

35
Scenario

• FMD presumptive diagnosis, Volusia Co., FL
• FMD confirmed, Volusia Co., FL
• Sales traced to Gainesville, FL Market
• Sales traced to Moultrie, GA Market

36
Objectives

• Test ESF 14 response
• SOC / Unified Command Approach
• Test Support Agencies / SOPs
• 1. DOD
• 2. Law Enforcement
• Cost of Operations

37
What does it cost?

• Cost in indemnity - (700 Million in GA)
• Cost in disease control and eradication
  (Laboratory, Veterinarians, Industry)
• Cost in negative economic impact to the economy
  (collateral damage) 10B / 30 wks
• Cost of operations in support of the disaster
• (The Emergency Management System)

38
Cost of Emergency ManagementOperations for one
6-mile Quarantine Zone for 7 days
39
Cost of Operations for Actual Scenario

• Total USDA cost of indemnity 700M/GA
• 6 months to a year more likely

40
Issues

• Agriculture / national critical infrastructure
• FEMA / FAD not a Stafford Act Issue
• FEMA / USDA MOU
• 1.5 billion disaster with no 5 Administrative
  Costs for disaster that could have a recovery
  period of years

41
Issues

• Lost 74.35M in administrative costs to GA alone
• Agricultural declaration will assist farmers with
  low-interest rate loans
• No community/individual assistance for the
  collaterally damaged ( a 6 county area with less
  than 7000 people per county has 174M in animal
  industry farm receipts) ghost towns

42
(No Transcript)
43
FMD IMPACT ON MONTANA

• MT- Population 900,000 / GA-8.2M
• MT- 11th in cattle production / GA-26th
• MT- 2.6M cattle / GA-1.1M
• MT- Cattle cash receipts 1.6B / GA-600M
• TX- 98M Cattle / 1st 24 hrs. of an FMD outbreak
  would cost 26B in economic loss to Texas

44
Montanas Collateral Damages

• 650,000 sportsman purchased 1.3 million hunting
  related licenses 28.7M
• These sportsmen spent an additional 325M on
  supplies, travel, lodging, food and other fees.
• Hunting and fishing 176B nationally
• (U.S. Census Bureau)

45
FMD Collateral Damages

• Hunting and fishing
• supports 2.2 million jobs nationally.
• Generates 49.3 billion in household income
• Contributes 43 billion in state taxes
• Contributes 6.3 billion in federal taxes

46
(No Transcript)
47
Solutions

• Policy
• Domestic and International Trade (OIE, EU, other
  trading partners)
• Research and Development
• 1. Vaccine
• 2. Gene-deleted vaccine
• 3. Cost Analysis Involve all stakeholders