Vulcans Triumphant!

1
Vulcans Triumphant!
The Dismal Continuity of Unilateralism
Loring Wirbel Citizens for Peace in Space
2
Say What!?!?
Vulcans Triumphant!

• Richard Perle is gone from DoD and from PFIAB
• Paul Wolfowitz is under a cloud, and Don
  Rumsfelds getting grumpier
• Will Dick Cheney even stay on the ticket in
  November?
• However.

3
Space-Based Dominance is a Bipartisan Hobby
Vulcans Triumphant!

• DoD, MDA, intelligence budgets
• Treaty compliance
• Space force application

4
Iraq Occupation
Vulcans Triumphant!

• Democrats more hawkish than Republicans on
  increasing troop commitment
• Permanent bases in-country have wide support
• Sole-source contracts may be investigated
  slightly, but dont count on it

5
Defense Department Strategy
Vulcans Triumphant!

• Rumsfelds lean, mean Revolution in Military
  Affairs finds wide support among Democrats,
  particularly humanitarian interventionists
• Virtual bases (FOL, FOB) are cheaper, more
  high-tech than permanent mega-bases
• Outsourcing to private military sources was a
  trend started by Al Gore

6
Defense Department Budget
Vulcans Triumphant!

• Beginning in FY05, budget is 500 billion
  counting Iraq and Afghanistan appopriations, and
  unlikely to go down no matter whos in White
  House!
• Multi-year procurement items (Navy DDX, Army
  Stryker, AF Joint Strike Fighter and T-SAT, NRO
  Intruder and FIA) represent vested communities
  and pork barrel bucks
• With Dem calls for an intelligence czar,
  aggregate intel budget unlikely to go under 35
  billion a year

7
Missile Defense Agency Budget
Vulcans Triumphant!

• Ft. Greely, Vandenberg missiles will be fait
  accompli in summer 2004 what Democrat will
  stand-down terminal-phase MDA missiles?
• Airborne Laser supported by the Domenici-Bingaman
  coalition
• X-band radar touted as defensive
• TMD might be criticized until Japan, Taiwan,
  South Korea start clamoring
• 10 billion a year is protected. Space
  Preservation Treaty is toast.

8
Transformation Flight Plan
Vulcans Triumphant!

• Joint Forces Parallel Warfighting? No problem
  there!
• TENCAP to Battle? No problem there!
• Global Laser Engagement mirror network? No
  problem there!
• Counter Surveillance Reconnaissance System? No
  problem there!
• Hypervelocity Space Rod Bundles? Maybe 5 Dem
  senators will get nervous.

9
Operationally Responsive Spacelift
Vulcans Triumphant!

• FALCON attack space plane Wont be criticized
  in Congress unless and until unilateralist use of
  force is discussed openly.
• Reserve force of Minuteman-III for instantaneous
  precision conventional or nuclear-weapon launch
  may violate treaties, but isnt being criticized
  by many.
• New Minuteman-IV with mobile basing strategy like
  original MX may violate treaties, but isnt
  being criticized by many.

10
and about those treaties
Vulcans Triumphant!

• Getting John Bolton out of the State Department
  will end the Mafia enforcer tenor of treaty
  renunciation and violation.
• But Kyoto, ABM, ICC were destroyed by Bill
  Clinton, not by George Bush!
• Do not expect much care and caution toward START,
  NPT, etc. from any administration or Congress to
  emerge in November 2004.

11
and the people will follow
Vulcans Triumphant!

• Unilateralism will stop being bipartisan when the
  average person on the street cares.
• Break the sports-culture mentality of
  winner-take-all, for me to win you must lose
• Break magical thinking rejecting empirical data
  to protect deeply-held beliefs is the tactic of
  a 4-year-old.
• We cant scare people with Vision for 2020 until
  we challenge their skewed and undemocratic value
  systems!