The Brief :

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The Brief

• What are the findings of the technical studies ?
• Can regional or local policies deal with the
  issues ?
• OR
• Is there a clearly recognisable Policy Deficit
• If so a sub regional strategy is needed

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The Brief

• 15 issues have been examined 6 broad topics
• Issues, Background and Emerging Themes for
• Economy
• Growth Levels to 2021
• International links
• Inland Transport
• Other infrastructure
• Environment

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Economy The Issues

• What will be the future economic role of each
  area
• Are the roles of Ashford and the coast
  complementary -
• are they to mutual advantage or in competition
• How much economic growth can the coast achieve -
• should we aim for a larger critical mass

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Economy Background

• The sub region specialises in
• Agriculture
• Pharmaceuticals
• Transport
• Health
• It lacks
• Financial sectors
• Business sectors
• Manufacturing
• Strong growth sectors have been
• Pharmaceuticals
• Retail
• Hotels

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Economy Background

• None of the Districts is strong in the region
• 1991-2001
• workers in jobs increased 12.1
• jobs increased 9.3
• Ashford jobs increased 20.0
• Dover jobs declined - 5.0
• Coastal Districts have below average
• earnings
• business formation
• Thanet has the highest out-commuting and
  deprivation

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Economy Emerging Themes

• Existing roles have contributed most to growth
  and should be nurtured
• There are complementary roles in
• transport
• public services
• existing manufacturing
• food and energy production
• There is competition between locations for
• inward business and manufacturing investment
• top service centre

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Themes for sub regional strategy Economic
Growth

• At Ashford
• strong stimulus is needed to support planned
  housing
• growth area advantages could benefit neighbours
• At the coastal towns
• growth should be employment led
• support is needed to achieve planned development
• market perceptions must be changed
• a new coastal growth area would exacerbate
  competition
• At Canterbury
• there are unique opportunities

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Growth Levels after 2021 The Issues

• What are the prospects for growth
• at Ashford after 2021
• at the coastal areas after 2021
• What is the capacity of the coastal towns
• how important is the release of MoD land
• What is the likely sub regional housing need to
  2026
• including affordable housing need

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Growth Levels after 2021 The Background

• KMSP dwellings to 2021 2,285 per annum
• SEERAs forecasts to 2026 suggest growth of
• jobs 47,000 to 78,000 (1,900 to 3,100 p.a.)
• dwellings 46,000 to 56,000 (1,840 to 2,240
  p.a.)
• workforce 23,500 to 62,500 (940 to 2,500
  p.a.)
• Growth 1991-2001
• jobs 19,000 (1,900 per annum)
• dwellings 20,310 (2,030 per annum)
• workforce 12,900 (1,290 per annum)

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Dwelling completions

• Ashford
• 1990-98 457 per annum
• 1999-2003 769 per annum increased growth rate
• KMSP up to 1,200 per annum
• Communities Plan
• Coastal Districts
• 1990-98 1,483 per annum
• 1999-2003 1,514 per annum
• After 1998
• Dover Thanet lower growth rate
• Canterbury Shepway higher growth rate

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Themes for sub regional strategy growth after
2021

• Ashford, to sustain 1,200 dwellings per annum
  after 2021
• build up momentum strongly to 2021
• stimulate the local economy
• provide full CTRL domestic service
• Coastal Districts, to maintain dwelling growth
  rates
• MOD land would boost Canterbury, Dover and
  Shepway
• Affordable Housing, cutting the backlog requires
  
• 30 to be affordable
• solutions in addition to planning agreements
• improved housing stock in coastal towns

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International Links The issues

• What will be the scale of cross Channel traffic
  growth
• will there be a need for new capacity
• what is the role of the smaller ports
• Will change in Northern France/Belgium have an
  impact
• what is the scope for greater business links
• What is the scope to expand Manston and Lydd
  airports

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International Links The background

• Kent cross Channel Traffic 1998-2003
• passengers - 9.0 million ( - 27.4)
• freight vehicles 850,000 ( 36.1)
• Dover
• forecasts 2003-2024
• passengers 70
• freight vehicles 67
• two new ferry berths are being built but space is
  limited
• Channel Tunnel
• market shares of vehicle traffic increased in
  2003
• but rail traffic has not sustained early growth
• will reach capacity after 2016 ?

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International Links The background

• Port Ramsgate - existing capacity
• 5.0 million passengers p.a.
• 0.5 million freight vehicles
• Folkestone - new fast ferry service to Boulogne
• Manston - potential as a regional airport
• 4 - 6 mppa and 6,000 jobs by 2021
• 400,000 tonnes freight by 2015
• Lydd - continued investment
• potential for 1 - 2 mppa by 2010

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Themes for sub regional strategy International
Links

• National importance of East Kent choice - ferries
  tunnel
• Additional cross Channel capacity
• when will capacity be needed
• what are the options
• Have regard to
• Dover Harbour Board 30 Year Plan - Phase 2 in
  2005
• Finesse project on freight ferry - December 2005
• Eurotunnel - lower costs for rail ?
• Smaller ports and airports can complement UK
  Gateways
• capacity constraints may develop at Gateways

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Inland Transport The Issues

• What are the key infrastructure and services
  needed to support sustainable development
• How may they be developed
• What changes will result from CTRL domestic
  services
• What are the variations in access to services and
  jobs

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Inland Transport The background

• Road and rail links to East Kent
• are important international corridors
• road distance and rail times hold back investment
  
• increasing congestion outside East Kent
• CTRL domestic services
• could reduce London journey times by 35 minutes
• but replace rather than add to rail services
• Access within the region
• the coastal route
• development land
• Rural and disadvantaged populations may be
  isolated

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Themes for sub regional strategy Inland
Transport

• Access to London and beyond
• maintain train services to Faversham, Dover and
  beyond
• increase Ashford CTRL trains to 4 per hour
• Canterbury Parkway ?
• International Routes
• early removal of bottlenecks
• a managed network, including M2/A2 and A299
• with capacity beyond Kent ?
• Ports and Airports
• Manston regional airport with rail access
• early rail access to Dover
• longer term options for cross Channel capacity ?

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Themes for sub regional strategy Inland
Transport

• Hubs and Spokes local connections
• complementary roles of the towns
• the coastal route linking Thanet, Dover,
  Sussex
• local rail hubs linking Hastings, Ashford,
  Thanet
• Serving urban areas and major sites
• Ashford keeping ahead of demand
• Canterbury A2 slip roads
• Thanet transport capacity for growth ?
• Access to jobs and services
• rural areas Romney Marsh, the coalfield
• urban pockets low incomes, low car ownership

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Other Infrastructure The Issues

• What are the key infrastructure and services
  required to support sustainable development,
  notably
• Education skills - improvement to assist
  economic growth
• Health provision and spatial patterns
• The potential for onshore and offshore renewable
  energy
• Water supply, management and treatment
• How may these be developed

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Other Infrastructure The background

• Education and Skills
• lack of qualified skilled labour to attract new
  business
• coastal towns lack Further and Higher Education
• steps taken on school performance vocational
  education
• Health
• Ashford Margate will have the largest hospitals
• Canterbury will host specialist services for East
  Kent
• rapid growth, the elderly and low incomes add to
  demand
• local services will be needed, including
  community hospitals

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Other Infrastructure The background

• Renewable Energy
• RPG9 target for on-shore energy 154 Megawatts by
  2016
• off-shore wind energy proposals for 1,500
  Megawatts
• environmental constraints exist on-shore
• Water
• there is a potential water shortage in East Kent
• urban growth requires major new investment in
  supply
• investment is needed to treat water at Ashford
• and to manage extraction and waste in the Stour

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Themes for sub regional strategy Other
Infrastructure

• Education and Skills
• clarify the major FE and HE requirements
• Health
• the locations for major services are established
• Renewable Energy
• establish the contribution of off-shore energy
• Water
• provide for major investment in supply and
  treatment

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Environment The Issues

• What are the environmentally sensitive areas
• How are they to be protected
• What is the scope for environmental management
• including coastal protection

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Environment The background

• 2 Areas of Outstanding Natural Beauty
• 40 Sites of Special Scientific Interest
• 10 National Nature Reserves
• 5 Special Protection Areas
• 10 Special Areas of Conservation
• Heritage Coast
• 4 RAMSAR wetland areas
• 253 Conservation Areas
• 1 World Heritage Site

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Themes for sub regional strategy Environment

• The environment is an economic asset for East
  Kent
• it has a distinct character and unity
• Environmental factors
• favour Ashford as a growth area
• constrain growth rates e.g water supply
• shape urban areas e.g. Dover, Folkestone
• limit urban capacity e.g. Canterbury, Sandwich
• Can integrated management of the whole
• protect the assets
• influence growth levels
• produce high quality development
• give access to coast and countryside