Umair Saeed

1
Broad Band and Economic Development

• Umair Saeed

2
Broad Band and Economic Development

• The future of a country is often directly related
  to that communitys public infrastructure.
• Good schools, adequate roads and transportation,
  access to affordable health care, and quality of
  life factors such as parks and cultural venues
  play a role in whether communities will attract
  new businesses and residents and be vibrant.
• Economic research shows that public
  infrastructure investment is a powerful driver of
  business productivity, investment, and economic
  growth.

3

• High-speed broadband internet access essentially
  empowers citizens, especially those living in
  remote regions of the country through provision
  of services such as education (distance
  learning), healthcare (telehealth/telemedicine),
  e-government, e-businesses, e-agriculture and
  e-commerce.
• Communities without broadband service will wither
  and be left behind as firms and jobs move to
  regions either elsewhere

4

• Information Communication Technologies (ICT)
  sector is considered as an engine for overall
  socio-economic development of countries across
  the globe.
• A deeper analysis of the growth patterns and
  correlative contributions of ICT in a number of
  countries like South Korea, Malaysia, Taiwan,
  Philippines, Singapore, China and India, reveals
  that rapid socio-economic development in these
  economies significantly accelerated due to
  efficient and cost effective access to
  information.

5
Global Trends of Broad Band

• There are about 400 million broadband subscribers
  worldwide
• Half of them are using fixed line broadband
  including copper twisted pair, coax or fiber to
  home etc.
• The best performing economies where fixed
  teledensity was higher, copper is contributing
  only 35- 40 of their total market
• Rest of the market is on Wireless Broadband
  solutions.

6

• Indian government has proposed to offer free,
  high speed broadband connectivity across the
  country by 2009-12 .
• "e-Taiwan" plan aims to expand broadband users to
  6 million by year 2008-13, achieving almost 100
  penetration
• Korea's high-speed broadband penetration is
  nearing 80 per cent of households while
  connection speeds have reached 40 Mbps per
  connection.
• Malaysia has unveiled an ambitious plan to roll
  out high speed broadband services across the
  country, the plan targets to cover 2.2 Million
  premises (50 penetration by Year 2010).
• Philippines ICT Road Map targets 100 broadband
  penetration in key cities and 50 in the rest.
  Thailand though having much better penetration,
  is on its way to similar goals.

7
Broad Band Landscape in Pakistan

• Broadband penetration targets envisioned by
  Broadband Policy 2004 have not been achieved.
• Continuing on this rate, we may end up having a
  customer base of about 0.4 million by 2012.
• Since the current city / region wise teledensity
  and subscriber base is very low, therefore not a
  single area/city appears to be sufficiently
  served.

8
Growth Pattern of Internet Subscriber in Pakistan
9
Service Providers Contribution to Broad Band
Connections

PTCL 32171
NTC 1820
Cybernet 9075
Multinet 3048
Micro Net 8000
Max Net 5317
Nayatel 1070
WOL 6100
World Call 36356
Comsat 1545
Brain Tel 755
NexLinx 1865
Dancom 7288
10
Broad Band Subscriber by Profession
11

• Countrys Existing Broad Band infrastructure
  available is owned by Incumbents' Local Loop
  Copper Access
• Only 4 person out of 10 have access to basic
  telephone
• Maximum 10 to 15 of total copper pairs could be
  used for fixed broadband service.
• Hence Existing copper can support hardly 0.5M
  broadband users over a period of 3-5 years

12

• As per Research Report from Ericsson, soon After
  2010 BB users would exceed 1 Billion Mark with a
  population of 6 Billion
• Every sixth person will be having access to Broad
  Band
• Comparing this situation with that of Pakistan,
  for population of 160 million there should be 27
  Million Broad Band connections
• But with our Growth Rate of BB connections, we
  can have only 0.4 Million in 2012.

13
Gaps to be bridged

• Capacity availability at the core of the network
• Optical pipes must be incremented
• International Routes must be diversified
• Quality Access to the user
• For Rural and dispersed population, Wireless
  solutions can be effective
• For Urban, upgraded wired network is essential
  for delivery of bits to the premises