Title: Kain-Fritsch/Rasch-Kristjanson in Hirlam
1Kain-Fritsch/Rasch-Kristjanson in Hirlam
With contributions from
Karl-Ivar Ivarsson Colin Jones
2Outline of the talk
- Moist physics schemes in HIRLAM
- Reference is STRACO (Based on Sundqvist)
- New/optional is Kain-Fritsch Rasch-Kristjansson
- Background of new moist physics components
- Review of the results of the new schemes in
Hirlam - Conclusions
3Moist physics schemes for HIRLAM (1)
- Operational scheme is called STRACO (Sass, 2002)
- Sundquist type (Kuo convection and Sundquist
microphysics) - Smooth transitions convective-large scale regimes
- Treatment of shallow convection
- Tuning for high horizontal resolutions (5-10 km)
- Improvement of diagnostic cloud scheme
(statistical type) - Most HIRLAM components developed with this scheme
as reference. - Long operational use.
4Moist physics schemes for HIRLAM (2)
- A scheme based on Kain-Fritsch convection and
Rasch/Kristjansson is in the HIRLAM reference
system since September 2004. - Three new components
- Kain-Fritsch convection
- Rasch-Kristjansson condensation
- Diagnostic cloud fraction based on RH
5Background of the new schemes
Kain-Fritsch Convection
- Mostly developed and used within MM5 community
- Specially suitable for mesoscale middle-latitudes
simulations (10-30 km resolution) including
severe phenomena. - Operational use over the USA (up to 10 km
resolution) - MM5 Model
- Eta Model
- WRF Model
- Bechtolds version of KF
- MESO-NH Extensively tested. Many cases studies
from synoptic scale to CRM scales. Realistic
systems - ARPEGE/ALADIN. Not able to improve the reference
convection - Hirlam
- RCA, Rossby Center Regional Climate Model 20-50
km - Operational at SMHI since 2003
- Hirlam reference as option since September, 2004
6Hirlam modifications to the new schemes
Kain-Fritsch Convection
- Based on new version of KF (Kain, JAM, 2004)
- Implementation similar to the one in WRF model
- In HIRLAM, implemented by Colin Jones for RCA
model - Several updates mainly concerning shallow
convection
7Background of the new schemes
Rasch-Kristjansson large scale condensation
- Based on Rasch and Kristjansson, J. Climate, 1998
- Developed for the Community Climate Model (CAM3)
where is the reference since 2004 - First introduced in Hirlam by Odegard, 1999 (HNL
33)
8Hirlam modifications to the new schemes
Rasch-Kristjansson large scale condensation
- The scheme is divided in two parts
- Condensation parameterization (water vapor ?
condensate) following Sundquist ideas but
completely recoded. - Bulk microphysics (condensate to precipitation)
with and approach similar to CRM formulae. - Different physical processes are well separated
- Updates and improvements more easy
- For HIRLAM mainly tuning updates (Mainly by C.
Jones). - Inclusion of Hirlam thermodynamics
- Make the autoconversion process independent of
models vertical resolution
9Hirlam modifications to the new schemes
Diagnostic cloud fraction
- Large scale clouds basically depend on Relative
Humidity. Initially based on Slingo (1987) but
completely recoded. - Convective clouds are function of convective
mass-flux following Su and Krueguer (1991). - Shallow clouds are based on Albrecht (1981) as
described by Jones and Sánchez (2002) - Depend on resolved RH and Cu updrafts water vapor
and condensate. - There is a memory of shallow clouds that may
generate precipitation through large scale
microphysics.
10Review of the results of the new moist physics
(KFRK) in Hirlam
- Single Column Model case studies
- Models climate Hadley circulation
- Rossby Center Climate model.
- Complete model case studies Mainly severe
weather - Parallel runs comparison with reference STRACO
moist scheme and observations. - Operational use at SMHI.
11Review of the results of the new moist physics
(KFRK) in Hirlam
- Single Column Model case studies
- EUROCS Project
- Models climate Hadley circulation
- Rossby Center Climate model.
- Complete model case studies Mainly severe
weather - Parallel runs comparison with reference STRACO
moist scheme and observations. - Operational use at SMHI.
12 EUROCS project
- EUROCS tried to improve the representation of
clouds in GCM and NWP models. - Identify systematic errors in the models.
- Design ideal cases based on observations.
- Compare SCM and CRM with observations
- Evaluate improvements in the GCM.
- Philosophy similar to GCSS intercomparisons
except that EUROCS also includes simulations with
the complete GCMs.
13Diurnal Cycle of Sc over ocean
Evolution of Liquid water
- KF/RK and STRACO show similar behaviour
- Lack of or insuficient cloud top entrainment
- Drizzle acts to control Liquid Water
- Sensitivity to microphysics formulation.
14Diurnal Cycle of Shallow Cu over land
Evolution of Liquid water
- The mass-flux approach (KF) describes better the
growth and daily evolution of the clouds.
- Passive cloud formulation for KFRK
- As active clouds tipically not larger than 5 it
is very important to include the passive clouds
which have a significant impact on radiation
15Review of the results of the new moist physics
(KFRK) in Hirlam
- Single Column Model case studies
- EUROCS Project
- Models climate Hadley circulation
- Rossby Center Climate model.
- Complete model case studies Mainly severe
weather - Parallel runs comparison with reference STRACO
moist scheme and observations. - Operational use at SMHI.
16Representation of the Hadley Circulation
Climate of KF/RK and STRACO
- Hirlam run in NWP mode
- Compute monthly means of H24 forecasts
- Compare with satellite observations
- Comparison with other models
17Cross sections along the Hadley Circulation
18Precipitation Comparison with TRMM satellite
KF/RK
STR
TRMM
19Precipitation Comparison with TRMM satellite
Both Hirlam schemes show too much precipitation
in the Sc and Shallow Cu regions
20Cloud Cover Comparison with ERA ECMWF H6
KF/RK
STR
ERA ECMWF H6
21Deficiencies on cloud cover and LWP specially
underestimation in the Sc regions and
overestimationi n the sahllow Cu
KF/RK
Cloud cover
STR
LWP
22Review of the results of the new moist physics
(KFRK) in Hirlam
- Single Column Model case studies
- EUROCS Project
- Models climate Hadley circulation
- Rossby Center Climate model.
- Complete model case studies Mainly severe
weather - Parallel runs comparison with reference STRACO
moist scheme and observations. - Operational use at SMHI.
23Hirlam-Rossby Center Climate Model(Willen, Jones
and Wyser, 2004)
RCA3 44km 24L ERA40
- Seasonal precipitation from RCA compared to
observations - the model captures the amplitude and spatial
distribution of the precipitation for all seasons
24Review of the results of the new moist physics
(KFRK) in Hirlam
- Single Column Model case studies
- EUROCS Project
- Models climate Hadley circulation
- Rossby Center Climate model.
- Case studies Mainly severe weather
- Parallel runs comparison with reference STRACO
moist scheme and observations. - Operational use at SMHI.
25Cases Studies
- Niemela and Fortelius, 2002 (HNL 41)
- Frontal system. Experiment at 5.5 km resolutions
and 40L - KFRK shows stronger updradrafts and downdrafts
than STRACO - No clear adventage on using one of the schemes.
26A typhoon case study (COMPARE III)
- H72 integration using different initial
conditions. - Comparison with observations and other models
- Errors in the track prediction are small
- Little impact of the resolution on the track
forecast
27Typhoon case study Intensity
Very rapid intensification (100 hPa/ 3 days) -
Very sensitive to initial conditions and model
resolution - Kain-Fritsch performed quite well
for this case (BOLAM and HIRLAM model)
STR
KF/RK
28Typhoon case study STRACO precipitation (H60)
20 km
50 km
29Typhoon case study KF/RK precipitation (H60)
20 km
50 km
30Precipitation as function of model resolution in
the core region
As expected, in the inner area (200 km around
the typhoon center), convective precipitation
decreases as resolution increases whereas large
scale precipitation increases. Total
precipitation increases increasing model
resolution.
31Review of the results of the new moist physics
(KFRK) in Hirlam
- Single Column case studies.
- Models climate Hadley circulation
- Case studies Mainly severe weather
- Parallel runs comparison with reference STRACO
moist scheme. - Operational use at SMHI.
325 test periods on different seasons (3 months).
Using Hirlam 6.2.0
NWP mode at 20km Parallel runs
- Comparison of reference STRACO and KFRK-
Scores against observations
- 23 Dec- 7 Jan 2000
- 115 May 2001
- 1-15 Aug 2001
- 15-30 Sep 1994
- 1- 31 Oct 2002
33Comparisons against EWGLAM soundings
Similar scores excepted in the humidity field
34Comparisons against SYNOP stations
MSL Pressure
Cloud Cover
KF/RK
STR
- Only differences in MSLP and cloud cover
- Small deterioration of MSLP
- Some improvemnet in cloud cover
35MSLP RMS against its own analysis (all periods)
KF/RK
REF
36MSLP RMS against its analysis (all periods)
REF
KF/RK
37Precipitation against SYNOPs (all periods)
38October 2002 precipitation as seen by
SYNOP stations and High-resolution
climatic stations
39Upscale high-resolution observations to model
resolution
40October 2002 precipitation impact of the
resolution
41October 2002 precipitationKFRK vs REF-STRACO at
0.2
KF/RK
REF
42Review of the results of the new moist physics
(KFRK) in Hirlam
- Single Column case studies.
- Models climate Hadley circulation
- Case studies Mainly severe weather
- Parallel runs comparison with reference STRACO
moist scheme. - Operational experience at SMHI.
43Operational experience at SMHI(from
Karl-Ivarsson, personal comunication)
- KF/RK is in the SMHI operational suit since Dec,
2002 - At 0.4 and 0.2 resolutions with 40 levels
- Experimental 0.1 resolution.
- Only a few experiments comparing KF/RK with the
reference STRACO so no conclusion on this. - Duty forecasters seem to be very satisfied with
the new scheme, specially for convective
situations. - Validation of the new operational suite gave a
significant improvement of the humidity forecasts
(but several new modules incorporated) - It seems that Hirlam is able to add value to
ECMWF forecasts in terms of clouds and
precipitation.
44Operational experience at SMHI(Karl-Ivarsson,
personal comunication)
- Comparison of Hirlam 0.2, Hirlam 0.1 and ECMWF
model for the period July, 7-Ago,17, 2004 True
Skill Statistic
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46Experiment at 10 km ppt acc. 6hr H06
47Experiment at 10 km ppt acc. 6hr H12
48Experiment at 10 km ppt acc. 6hr H18
49Experiment at 10 km ppt acc. 6hr H24
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51High-resolution observations
52Conclusions
- The new moist physics scheme based on
Kain-Fritsch convection and Rasch-Kristjansson
large scale condensation has been tested in
Hirlam. - In terms of standard scores no big difference
with reference STRACO scheme a part from - Slight deterioration in MSLP probably caused by a
tendency to over-intensification of cyclonic
systems. - Slight improvement in cloud cover
- Improvement in the humidity profiles
- Similar scores of precipitation
- STRACO better for small ppt amounts (lt 1 mm/day)
- KF/RK probably better for ppt 3-30 mm/day
- More clear improvement in southern regions
probably linked to the larger number of
convective situations. - From case studies it seems that KFRK tends to
produce more realistic cloud and precipitation
patterns.
53Conclusions
- Operational experience at SMHI very satisfactory
- KFRK takes about 20 more computer time than the
reference STRACO. - Still pending the vectorization of the code
external asistance is planned. - Some clearly identified problems
- Excess of drizzle.
- Cloud cover formulation
- Statistical cloud scheme
- Moist turbulence
- We have started testing KFRK at 10 km
resolutions. - In the near future we should evaluate its
performance at lower resolutions. - Probably further tuning is needed
54The End