Megapolitan America: New Geography, New Reality

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Megapolitan America New Geography, New Reality

• Handley Wood
• Presidential Seminar
• Santa Barbara, CA March 22, 2007
• Robert Lang, Ph.D.
• Professor and Co-Director
• Metropolitan Institute at Virginia Tech

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Two Key Concepts Megapolitan and World Cities

• Megapolitans are the New Geography of Mid-21st
  Century America
• Megapolitans Give a Physical Focus to the
  Projection Numbers for American Population Growth
• Megapolitans Vividly Profile the Nations Biggest
  Market Opportunities and Planning Challenges
• World Cities Show Global Connectivity

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Original Mega Geography
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Megapolitans in The NewsUSA Today July 2005
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Megapolitans in The NewsBusiness 2.0 November
2005
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Business 2.0 November 2005Megapolitan Area
Centerfold
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American Development to 2043
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Original 2005 Megapolitan Geography
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Origin of Concept in Urban Regions by Jerome
Pickard
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Pickards Projection of the US Urban Regions in
2000
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New Mega Geography
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Fall 2006 Megapolitan Map
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The New Megas Also

• Will Reach a Census-Defined Employment
  Interchange Measure (or EIM) of 15 Percent by
  2040
• Have Two or More Metropolitan Areas with Anchor
  Principal Cities Between 50 and 200 miles apart
• Are Never More Than a Days Drive from End to End
• Are Large-Scale, But Not Enormous

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2006 Metropolitan Hierarchy
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MIs Urban Hierarchy
Megapolitan
CSA
MSA
Metropolitan Statistical Area
Combined Statistical Area
Megapolitan Area
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Evolving 20th CenturyMetropolitan Form
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21st Century Megapolitan Form
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Megapolitan Projections
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Megapolitan Applications
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Megapolitan High-Speed Rail
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U.S. and China Megas
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World Cities
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World City Network Ranks
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Robert E. Lang and Arthur C. Nelson
Megapolitan America BookDue out in Summer 2007
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www.mi.vt.edu
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New From the Brookings Press
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US Housing Projections
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People Turning 65 ? 1950-2025
Thousands
Source Rosen Consulting
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Housing Choices of Seniors

• Housing Type All Seniors Senior Movers
• Detached 69 35
• All Attached 24 54
• Owner 80 41
• Source American Housing Survey 2003. New movers
  means moved in past year. Annual elderly movers
  are about 5 of all elderly households 75 of
  all elderly will change housing type between ages
  65 and 80. Manufactured homes excluded.

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US Future Housing Shares

• Housing Type 2004 2020
• Apartment 24 28
• Owner Attached 11 18
• Small Lot (lt7k sf) 15 20
• Large Lot (gt7k sf) 51 35
• From Arthur C. Nelson, Metropolitan Institute at
  Virginia Tech
• Source 2003 data from American Housing Survey
  2003. 2020 figures derived from preference
  surveys.