Fictional District Demographics

1
Fictional District Demographics

• Ethnicity White 85, Black 10, Hispanic 4,
  Other 1
• Median age 60
• Median household income 150,000
• Home ownership 75
• Religious breakdown Baptist 60, Catholic 20,
  Jewish 10, other 10
• Partisan breakdown Republican 45, Democratic
  20, Conservative 15, Independent 10,
  Unaffiliated/other 10

2
Take-home point

• Representatives tend to share characteristics
  with the people they represent.
• If you dont, youre going to have to address
  your difference in your campaign.

3
NYS Governor General Election Stats
4
Approximate votes needed to win

• 2.5 Million

5
NYS Gubernatorial Democratic Primary
6
Approximate votes needed to win

• 352,000

7
Determining Swing Votes

• 2002 General Election

• 1998 General Election

Dem base 1.5 million Rep base 1.2 million Total
base votes 2.7 million
Average total voters 4.7 million Swing total
base 2 million swing votes
8
Fictional District Demographics

• Ethnicity White 85, Black 10, Hispanic 4,
  Other 1
• Median age 60
• Median household income 150,000
• Home ownership 75
• Religious breakdown Baptist 60, Catholic 20,
  Jewish 10, other 10
• Partisan breakdown Republican 45, Democratic
  20, Conservative 15, Independent 10,
  Unaffiliated/other 10

9
Procedure for revising exam

• You have the option of revising your mid term by
  turning in complete, corrected answers by the
  beginning of next weeks class (October 26).
• Be sure that your answers are word-processed,
  using 12-point Times New Roman font. Make sure
  your spelling and grammar is correct. Properly
  cite your sources. If you remain unclear on how
  to cite sources, please visit the Writing Center
  or review The Chicago Manual of Style, which can
  be found in the library or linked to at
  http//library.osu.edu/sites/guides/chicagogd.php
  and elsewhere.
• Number your answers to correspond to the
  questions on the exam. Be sure to answer all
  aspects of each question.
• There is no need for you to revise answers to
  questions that received a grade of 2.

10
Procedure for revising exam

• Additionally, include the following material.
  Revised mid-terms will not be graded without
  inclusion of the following
• A one or two paragraph summary of the weeks
  major developments in the campaign you are
  tracking. Note, as you saw in the syllabus, you
  will be asked to make an oral presentation about
  the state of the campaign you are tracking in
  class on November 2nd.
• A typed/word processed version of the notes you
  take while reading the Buffalo News for each day
  of the week from Friday, October 20 through and
  including Wednesday, October 25th. Be sure to
  include notes from your reading of the political
  stories from each day.
• A typed/word processed version of the notes you
  take while reading the assigned material
  (including the on-line material and the chapters
  you are being asked to review from How to Win a
  Local Election). Be sure to include notes from
  each assigned reading.

11
Procedure for revising exam Pt. 3

• Again, revised mid-terms will not be graded
  without inclusion of the above material.
• The grade of the revised exam will be averaged
  together with standing grade

12
Next Class

• Week 9 October 26
• Topic The air war, indirect lobbying and
  mobilizing public opinion
• Required Reading Kush Ch. 18 Geer pgs. p.42-47
  and 49-63 The Internet as a Get Out the Vote
  Tool at http//www.campaignline.com/printedition/p
  age.cfm?pageid407navid44
• Ned Lamont's Digital Constituency at
• http//news.yahoo.com/s/thenation/20060809/cm_then
  ation/20060814melber
• also review Grey chs. 20-21
• Quiz/exam Quiz, turn in revised exam